Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay Prediction

Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty·S. Karabaev 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Kairat Almaty Rest
4 days
FK Tobol Kostanay Rest
7 days

Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay: result, form and history

FK Tobol Kostanay beat Kairat Almaty 4-1 in the Premier League on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.5 goals, and both sides scored in 9 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.38
X
17%4.35
2
8%7.00
Double Chance
1X
92%1.07
X2
25%2.76
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'U. Milovanovic(Penalty)
28'M. Myakish
34'L. Kurgin INA. Tuyakbaev out
40'M. GualAssist: Edmilson
44'U. MilovanovicAssist: V. Lisakovich
46'O. Baybek INLucas Africo out
58'O. Jukkola INI. Bekbolat out
63'V. LisakovichAssist: A. Tagybergen
64'M. Gual
81'L. Guerra
82'A. Talal IND. Zhumat out
83'A. Martynovich INA. Shirobokov out
84'Edmilson INM. Birkurmanov out

Lineups

Kairat Almaty
4-2-3-1Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin
FK Tobol Kostanay
4-2-3-1Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko
Temirlan Anarbekov1T. Anarbekov
Aleksandr Mrynskiy24A. Mrynskiy
Aleksandr Martynovich14A. Martynovich
Olzhas Baibek8O. Baibek
Lev Kurgin5L. Kurgin
Gustavo Mendonca22G. Mendonca
Jaakko Oksanen13J. Oksanen
Oiva Jukkola19O. Jukkola
Marc Gual28M. Gual
Luís Mata3L. Mata
Edmilson9Edmilson
Sultan Busurmanov1S. Busurmanov
Nauryzbek Zhagorov21N. Zhagorov
Nemanja Cavnić4N. Cavnić
Pape Alioune Ndiaye5P. Alioune Ndiaye
Antonio Boršić25A. Boršić
Askhat Tagybergen8A. Tagybergen
Maksim Myakish6M. Myakish
Luis Guerra30L. Guerra
Amine Talal14A. Talal
Vitaliy Lisakovich99V. Lisakovich
Uroš Milovanović18U. Milovanović

Kairat Almaty Substitutes

17Azamat Tuyakbayev34'for L. Kurgin
44Lucas Áfrico46'for O. Baybek
81Ismail Bekbolat58'for O. Jukkola
82Sherkhan Kalmurza
20Erkin Tapalov
25Aleksandr Shirobokov83'for A. Martynovich
4Damir Kasabulat
6Adilet Sadybekov
27Mukhamedali Abish
71Karim Makhametzhan
15Mansur Birkurmanov84'for Edmilson

FK Tobol Kostanay Substitutes

35Yuriy Melikhov
3Roman Asrankulov
22Aleksandr Marochkin
72Rayan Senhadji
17Aleksander Zuev
57Azamat Zinadin
19Dauren Zhumat82'for A. Talal
34Sultan Bakhytkiriev
56Emin Musaev

Team Comparison

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
1650Elo Rating 1578
1.78Attack 2.14
1.32Defense 1.61
39%Hit Rate 56%
12.8Shots per Game -
2.8Shots on Target -
4.2Corners per Game -
2.4Cards per Game -

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2Wins · 20%
3.5Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League11/04/2026
FK Tobol KostanayKairat Almaty
11
Super Cup28/02/2026
Kairat AlmatyFK Tobol Kostanay
4252
Premier League26/07/2025
FK Tobol KostanayKairat Almaty
13
Premier League27/04/2025
Kairat AlmatyFK Tobol Kostanay
21
Premier League25/08/2024
Kairat AlmatyFK Tobol Kostanay
22
Premier League15/06/2024
FK Tobol KostanayKairat Almaty
10
Premier League13/08/2023
Kairat AlmatyFK Tobol Kostanay
21
Premier League06/05/2023
FK Tobol KostanayKairat Almaty
23
Premier League05/09/2022
Kairat AlmatyFK Tobol Kostanay
23
Premier League16/04/2022
FK Tobol KostanayKairat Almaty
22

Recent Form

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
6W0D4L
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
5W1D4L
06/09/2026
FK Tobol KostanayUlytau
31
W
30/08/2026
KaspiyFK Tobol Kostanay
10
L
25/08/2026
FK Tobol KostanayKaisar
32
W
16/08/2026
IrtyshFK Tobol Kostanay
02
W
13/08/2026
FK Tobol KostanayFK Partizan
12
L
06/08/2026
FK PartizanFK Tobol Kostanay
30
L
02/08/2026
OrdabasyFK Tobol Kostanay
20
L
30/07/2026
FK Tobol KostanayPanevėžys
3121
W
26/07/2026
FK Tobol KostanayAtyrau
10
W
23/07/2026
PanevėžysFK Tobol Kostanay
11
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy29215359:21+3868DWWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty29197359:22+3764DWWLL
3FC AstanaFC Astana29158646:29+1753DDWLW
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes29156845:37+851WWLWL
5AktobeAktobe29137944:37+746DLWDW
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey29129842:40+245DWWLW
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay291251240:39+141DWWLW
8UlytauUlytau29981227:35-835LLWDL
9ZhenysZhenys29891230:39-933DLLLW
10KaspiyKaspiy29961431:42-1133LDWWL
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar29861529:41-1230WLWDL
12IrtyshIrtysh29781429:44-1529WLLLW
13AltayAltay29691430:41-1127DDLLW
14AtyrauAtyrau295121224:35-1127LDLWL
15ZhetysuZhetysu29681529:47-1826DWLLL
16KaisarKaisar294131224:39-1525DLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2959:2168
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2959:2264
3FC AstanaFC Astana2946:2953
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2945:3751
5AktobeAktobe2944:3746
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2942:4045
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2940:3941
8UlytauUlytau2927:3535
9ZhenysZhenys2930:3933
10KaspiyKaspiy2931:4233
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2929:4130
12IrtyshIrtysh2929:4429
13AltayAltay2930:4127
14AtyrauAtyrau2924:3527
15ZhetysuZhetysu2929:4726
16KaisarKaisar2924:3925
Relegation

About the Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kairat Almaty and FK Tobol Kostanay in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Kairat Almaty are 2nd and FK Tobol Kostanay 7th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Kairat Almaty 59-22, FK Tobol Kostanay 40-39. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Tobol Kostanay have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.