Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction

BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe·Michael Bacher, Germany 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel33%SurpriseHighGap+5.6%
Karlsruher SC Rest
6 days
Arminia Bielefeld Rest
13 days

Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld: the result in context

Karlsruher SC beat Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 8 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Arminia Bielefeld had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Karlsruher SC.

Karlsruher SC have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.5 goals a game. Referee Michael Bacher averages 5.48 cards a game, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.62
X
27%3.70
2
42%2.40
Double Chance
1X
58%1.53
X2
69%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.44
No
48%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.28 = 2.50
Over 1.5
72%1.17
Over 2.5
49%1.55
Over 3.5
27%2.35
Under 1.5
28%4.85
Under 2.5
51%2.35
Under 3.5
73%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Sam SchreckFoul
35'M. BroschinskiAssist: M. Wanitzek
45'Deniz OfliFoul
46'M. Franke INP. Scholl out
46'L. Egloff INK. Wiethaup out
46'S. Schreck INB. Boakye out
64'M. Worl INM. Mehlem out
64'T. Handwerker INA. Sicker out
65'D. H. Zor INS. Vaananen out
65'D. Ofli INV. Bergh out
75'S. Russo INR. Uldrikis out
78'R. Pinto Pedrosa INT. Civeja out
78'M. BroschinskiAssist: M. Wanitzek
79'T. Momuluh INI. Young out
80'M. MehlemAssist: I. Young
89'Tim CivejaArgument

Lineups

Karlsruher SC
4-1-3-2Coach: Maximilian Senft
Arminia Bielefeld
4-4-2Coach: Oliver Kirch
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.55
C. Bernat7.21C. Bernat
S. Jung6.32S. Jung
C. Kobald7.022C. Kobald
M. Franke6.928M. Franke
D. Ofli7.23D. Ofli
D. H. Zor7.026D. H. Zor
R. Pinto Pedrosa7.336R. Pinto Pedrosa
M. WanitzekC8.510M. Wanitzek
L. Egloff6.325L. Egloff
M. Broschinski9.29M. Broschinski
N. Eichinger7.311N. Eichinger
J. Kersken6.61J. Kersken
H. Koudossou6.77H. Koudossou
M. BauerC6.75M. Bauer
M. Grosser6.919M. Grosser
T. Handwerker6.229T. Handwerker
T. Momuluh6.314T. Momuluh
S. Schreck6.38S. Schreck
S. Russo6.321S. Russo
J. Rochelt6.610J. Rochelt
J. Grodowski6.611J. Grodowski
M. Worl6.238M. Worl

Karlsruher SC Substitutes

30R. Himmelmann
6S. Vaananen65'for D. H. Zor6.2
37J. Ponente-Ramirez
33V. Bergh65'for D. Ofli6.5
23T. Civeja78'for R. Pinto Pedrosa89'6.3
15P. Scholl46'for M. Franke6.5
7K. Wiethaup46'for L. Egloff7.0
19L. Ben Farhat
27J. D. Meyer

Arminia Bielefeld Substitutes

18L. Oppermann
3J. Felix
30I. Young79'for T. Momuluh6.9
2F. Hagmann
28R. Uldrikis75'for S. Russo6.3
6M. Mehlem64'for M. Worl80'7.3
17A. Sicker64'for T. Handwerker6.3
27B. Boakye46'for S. Schreck6.6
42T. Wegener

Match Stats

Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box9
11Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
15Fouls12
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
463Total Passes345
378Passes Accurate258
82%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
1565Elo Rating 1644
1.01Attack 1.65
0.61Defense 2.02
19%Hit Rate 63%
13.0Shots per Game 10.9
4.6Shots on Target 2.8
5.2Corners per Game 3.8
1.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1Wins · 25%
4.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga10/04/2026
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
41
2. Bundesliga08/11/2025
Arminia BielefeldKarlsruher SC
40
2. Bundesliga16/04/2023
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
42
2. Bundesliga07/10/2022
Arminia BielefeldKarlsruher SC
12

Recent Form

Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC
2W3D5L
01/08/2026
1899 HoffenheimKarlsruher SC
30
L
26/07/2026
Karlsruher SCInter
12
L
18/07/2026
Karlsruher SCShimizu S-pulse
11
D
09/07/2026
Karlsruher SCSGV Freiberg
44
D
17/05/2026
Karlsruher SCVfL Bochum
12
L
08/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07Karlsruher SC
22
D
03/05/2026
Karlsruher SCSV Darmstadt 98
21
W
25/04/2026
Karlsruher SCHannover 96
13
L
17/04/2026
SV ElversbergKarlsruher SC
30
L
10/04/2026
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
41
W
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
6W3D1L
25/07/2026
Arminia BielefeldMSV Duisburg
11
D
18/07/2026
BolognaArminia Bielefeld
04
W
14/07/2026
ImstArminia Bielefeld
010
W
08/07/2026
FC GuterslohArminia Bielefeld
03
W
02/07/2026
PeckelohArminia Bielefeld
37
W
17/05/2026
Arminia BielefeldHertha BSC
61
W
08/05/2026
1. FC KaiserslauternArminia Bielefeld
20
L
02/05/2026
Arminia BielefeldVfL Bochum
11
D
25/04/2026
Preußen MünsterArminia Bielefeld
23
W
18/04/2026
Arminia Bielefeld1. FC Nürnberg
11
D

Referee Profile

Michael Bacher130 matches

5.48Cards per match
5.29Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Bacher5.48
Other referees4.58

5.48 cards a match, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC1091023:8+1528WWDWW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1063124:13+1121WLDDW
3VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1054125:14+1119WDWDW
41. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern105329:7+218LWWDW
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1052321:13+817DWLWD
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1043317:18-115LDLDD
7Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1042416:15+114WLWWD
8FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1026212:12012LDDWD
9SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1033413:16-312WLWLD
10VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1032514:17-311LWLDD
11VfL BochumVfL Bochum103258:11-311WDLLL
12Hannover 96Hannover 961032510:16-611WLDLW
13Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1032513:21-811WLWLL
14Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1024418:20-210LDDLD
15Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1031616:18-210LWLWL
16SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98102359:19-109DDLWL
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1015410:12-28LWDLD
18Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1022612:20-88LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC1023:828
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1024:1321
3VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1025:1419
41. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern109:718
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1021:1317
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1017:1815
7Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1016:1514
8FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1012:1212
9SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1013:1612
10VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1014:1711
11VfL BochumVfL Bochum108:1111
12Hannover 96Hannover 961010:1611
13Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1013:2111
14Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1018:2010
15Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1016:1810
16SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98109:199
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1010:128
18Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1012:208
PromotionRelegation

About the Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld forecast

The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Karlsruher SC and Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga table

In the 2. Bundesliga table, Arminia Bielefeld are 7th and Karlsruher SC 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Karlsruher SC 13-21, Arminia Bielefeld 16-15. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.