Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer Prediction

Keçiörengücü
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Sarıyer
Aktepe Stadium, Ankara 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Keçiörengücü Rest
4 days
Sarıyer Rest
4 days

Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer: the result in context

Keçiörengücü beat Sarıyer 3-0 in the 1. Lig on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.15
X
28%3.27
2
29%3.04
Double Chance
1X
71%1.31
X2
57%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.66
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.23 = 2.97
Over 1.5
84%1.25
Over 2.5
62%1.84
Over 3.5
35%3.00
Under 1.5
16%3.40
Under 2.5
38%1.89
Under 3.5
65%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.4 = 8.6
Over 8.5
57%1.80
Over 9.5
45%2.30
Over 10.5
28%3.15
Under 8.5
43%1.88
Under 9.5
55%1.52
Under 10.5
72%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

16'İbrahim AkdağFoul
38'İbrahim AkdağAssist: Mame Biram Diouf
59'Batuhan Kor INEmeka Eze out
59'Tunahan Ergul INAndré Poko out
60'Dogan Can Davas INJoseph Attamah out
60'Barış Alıcı INFurkan Gedik out
63'Francis EzehAssist: Mame Biram Diouf
75'Odise Roshi INAlcídio Raice out
75'Halil Can Ayan INEnes Yılmaz out
81'Francis EzehFoul
82'Francis Ezeh INE. Develi out
82'Cebrail Karayel INMamadou Thiam out
84'Enes YılmazAssist: E. Develi
88'İbrahim Akdağ INOguzhan Ayaydin out
88'Mame Biram Diouf INHerculano·Nabian out

Lineups

Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1Coach: O. Korkmaz
Sarıyer
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Bölükbaşı
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.20
M. Erdoğan6.81M. Erdoğan
M. Keskin7.512M. Keskin
Wellington Nascimento7.13W. Nascimento
A. Çelik7.54A. Çelik
S. Luş7.133S. Luş
I. Karaogul7.68I. Karaogul
İ. Akdağ8.214İ. Akdağ
O. Roshi6.57O. Roshi
H. Ayan6.422H. Ayan
F. Ezeh7.921F. Ezeh
M. Diouf7.255M. Diouf
F. Akyüz5.91F. Akyüz
C. Karayel6.077C. Karayel
K. Arslan6.824K. Arslan
C. Osmanpaşa6.488C. Osmanpaşa
E. Korkmazoğlu6.25E. Korkmazoğlu
H. Yeşilyurt6.528H. Yeşilyurt
T. Ergül5.614T. Ergül
B. Alıcı6.17B. Alıcı
D. Davas5.917D. Davas
E. Karaca6.710E. Karaca
B. Kör6.39B. Kör

Keçiörengücü Substitutes

77M. Fofana
6E. Develi82'for Francis Ezeh6.9
45Herculano Nabian88'for Mame Biram Diouf6.5
16Oğuzhan Ayaydın88'for İbrahim Akdağ6.9
15Y. Metin
10Jefferson
20Alcídio Raice75'replaced by Odise Roshi
18E. Satılmış
19Enes Yilmaz75'for Halil Can Ayan84'7.7
5O. Çalışkan

Sarıyer Substitutes

3J. Attamah60'for Dogan Can Davas5.8
53A. Biyogo Poko59'for Tunahan Ergul6.0
4E. Dikmen
23Ü. Ergün
90E. Eze59'for Batuhan Kor6.2
41F. Gedik60'for Barış Alıcı6.4
11E. Karadağ
93M. Thiam82'for Cebrail Karayel6.3
19Yagiz Sen
13I. Šehić

Match Stats

KeçiörengücüSarıyer
39%Ball Possession61%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
18Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
16Fouls9
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
316Total Passes498
254Passes Accurate417
8Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
SarıyerSarıyer
1675Elo Rating 1608
1.67Attack 0.77
1.08Defense 1.54
34%Hit Rate 27%
12.0Shots per Game 14.8
3.6Shots on Target 3.3
2.8Corners per Game 3.6
3.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SarıyerSarıyer
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
SarıyerSarıyer1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

1. Lig15/03/2026
SarıyerKeçiörengücü
31
1. Lig01/11/2025
KeçiörengücüSarıyer
30

Recent Form

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
4W3D3L
01/09/2026
BolusporKeçiörengücü
02
W
28/08/2026
KeçiörengücüÜmraniyespor
22
D
23/08/2026
BandırmasporKeçiörengücü
11
D
16/08/2026
KeçiörengücüPendikspor
41
W
08/08/2026
AntalyasporKeçiörengücü
43
L
07/05/2026
Çorum FKKeçiörengücü
10
L
02/05/2026
ÜmraniyesporKeçiörengücü
14
W
26/04/2026
KeçiörengücüManisa F.K.
21
W
19/04/2026
Esenler EroksporKeçiörengücü
10
L
12/04/2026
KeçiörengücüSerik Spor
00
D
SarıyerSarıyer
6W2D2L
01/09/2026
SarıyerPendikspor
20
W
28/08/2026
AntalyasporSarıyer
12
W
23/08/2026
SarıyerBatman Petrolspor
12
L
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
09/08/2026
SarıyerMuğlaspor
20
W
02/05/2026
Bodrum FKSarıyer
01
W
26/04/2026
SarıyerEsenler Erokspor
10
W
19/04/2026
İstanbulsporSarıyer
31
L
11/04/2026
SarıyerHatayspor
40
W
07/04/2026
BandırmasporSarıyer
00
D

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor13101229:11+1831WWWWL
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1383218:10+827DWWDW
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691373318:12+624WWLWW
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1372426:23+323LWDWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1355325:18+720LLWDW
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1361619:20-119DLWLW
8MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1344516:16016LWLLD
11SarıyerSarıyer1344514:18-416LLDLD
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1336415:18-315WLWDW
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1335517:13+414LLLDW
14PendiksporPendikspor1335515:23-814WDLLL
15ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1334621:23-213WLLDL
17SivassporSivasspor1327416:20-413LLDDW
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1343614:22-813WWLWL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor13121010:33-235LLLLL
20BolusporBoluspor1211105:26-214LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1329:1131
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1318:1027
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691318:1224
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1326:2323
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1325:1820
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1319:2019
8MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1316:1616
11SarıyerSarıyer1314:1816
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1315:1815
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1317:1314
14PendiksporPendikspor1315:2314
15ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1321:2313
17SivassporSivasspor1316:2013
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1314:2213
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor1310:335
20BolusporBoluspor125:264
PromotionRelegation

About the Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Keçiörengücü and Sarıyer in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Keçiörengücü are 6th and Sarıyer 11th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Keçiörengücü 25-18, Sarıyer 14-18. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Keçiörengücü have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Keçiörengücü and Sarıyer have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.