Kongsvinger vs Sogndal Prediction

Kongsvinger
5-1
Finished
HT 4-1
Sogndal
Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger·H. Holthe 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 3.5 Goals
1.69
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+6.3%
Kongsvinger Rest
6 days
Sogndal Rest
5 days

Kongsvinger vs Sogndal: the result in context

Kongsvinger beat Sogndal 5-1 in the 1. Division on 3 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 9 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.46
X
20%4.65
2
13%5.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.14
X2
33%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.35
No
34%2.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.79 + 1.2 = 3.99
Over 1.5
91%1.05
Over 2.5
79%1.28
Over 3.5
62%1.69
Under 1.5
9%8.00
Under 2.5
21%3.48
Under 3.5
38%2.08
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'M. Oren
2'A. DybevikAssist: R. Christiansen
6'L. LangrekkenAssist: D. Job
18'M. SandeAssist: L. Langrekken
24'E. HovlandAssist: A. Barkarson
33'D. JobAssist: R. Christiansen
51'L. LangrekkenAssist: R. Christiansen
54'M. Oren IND. Bras out
54'V. Hagen INE. L. Hillestad out
54'S. Pedersen INE. Flo out
71'R. Christiansen INM. Flores out
71'S. Norheim INV. Lysell out
75'O. Helen INP. Asp out
78'D. Job INA. Chaminta out
90+1'T. Pippola INM. Aroy out

Team Comparison

KongsvingerKongsvinger
SogndalSogndal
1640Elo Rating 1436
2.29Attack 1.84
0.93Defense 1.40
34%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+205 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.98 goals
📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

KongsvingerKongsvinger
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SogndalSogndal
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

KongsvingerKongsvinger2Wins · 22%
Draws445%
SogndalSogndal3Wins · 33%
3.2Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

1. Division28/09/2025
SogndalKongsvinger
22
1. Division14/06/2025
KongsvingerSogndal
42
NM Cupen07/05/2025
SogndalKongsvinger
3343
1. Division02/11/2024
KongsvingerSogndal
01
1. Division22/06/2024
SogndalKongsvinger
20
1. Division19/08/2023
SogndalKongsvinger
33
1. Division29/05/2023
KongsvingerSogndal
10
1. Division03/10/2022
KongsvingerSogndal
00
1. Division09/05/2022
SogndalKongsvinger
21

Recent Form

KongsvingerKongsvinger
5W3D2L
27/06/2026
HaugesundKongsvinger
42
L
21/06/2026
KongsvingerStromsgodset
44
D
14/06/2026
hoddKongsvinger
12
W
31/05/2026
KongsvingerAsane
31
W
25/05/2026
StabaekKongsvinger
20
L
20/05/2026
KongsvingerODD Ballklubb
42
W
16/05/2026
LynKongsvinger
03
W
08/05/2026
RanheimKongsvinger
11
D
01/05/2026
KongsvingerEgersund
21
W
25/04/2026
StrommenKongsvinger
22
D
SogndalSogndal
4W3D3L
27/06/2026
SogndalEgersund
42
W
21/06/2026
RaufossSogndal
31
L
14/06/2026
SogndalMoss
24
L
31/05/2026
StrommenSogndal
23
W
25/05/2026
Sandnes ULFSogndal
20
L
20/05/2026
SogndalStabaek
22
D
16/05/2026
hoddSogndal
22
D
10/05/2026
SogndalHaugesund
51
W
01/05/2026
BryneSogndal
33
D
25/04/2026
SogndalAsane
20
W

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HaugesundHaugesund29212684:48+3665WWLWD
2StromsgodsetStromsgodset29196479:34+4563WLWWW
3KongsvingerKongsvinger29185683:47+3659LLWLW
4StabaekStabaek29184768:35+3358WWWWD
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb29137957:46+1146DLLWW
6BryneBryne291341243:41+243WDLDL
7RanheimRanheim291251273:69+441WWWDL
8EgersundEgersund291081148:57-938WDDDW
9hoddhodd291151349:59-1038LLWDL
10StrommenStrommen291061350:62-1236LWWWD
11LynLyn291041546:59-1334WLWLL
12SogndalSogndal29861548:63-1530LWWDL
13Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF29861542:58-1630DWLLD
14MossMoss29851641:62-2129LLLDW
15AsaneAsane29751741:65-2426LWLLW
16RaufossRaufoss29622131:78-4720LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1HaugesundHaugesund2984:4865
2StromsgodsetStromsgodset2979:3463
3KongsvingerKongsvinger2983:4759
4StabaekStabaek2968:3558
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb2957:4646
6BryneBryne2943:4143
7RanheimRanheim2973:6941
8EgersundEgersund2948:5738
9hoddhodd2949:5938
10StrommenStrommen2950:6236
11LynLyn2946:5934
12SogndalSogndal2948:6330
13Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF2942:5830
14MossMoss2941:6229
15AsaneAsane2941:6526
16RaufossRaufoss2931:7820
PromotionRelegation

About the Kongsvinger vs Sogndal forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kongsvinger and Sogndal in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, Kongsvinger are 3rd and Sogndal 12th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: Kongsvinger 83-47, Sogndal 48-63. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.