La Roche VF vs Aubagne Prediction

La Roche VF
3-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Aubagne
03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
La Roche VF Rest
7 days
Aubagne Rest
7 days

La Roche VF vs Aubagne: result, form and history

La Roche VF beat Aubagne 3-1 in the Ligue 3 on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.70
X
26%3.60
2
20%4.28
Double Chance
1X
80%1.17
X2
45%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.75
No
48%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 0.86 = 2.59
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.84
Over 3.5
30%3.02
Under 1.5
27%3.54
Under 2.5
49%1.93
Under 3.5
70%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'B. TafniAssist: S. Ahamada
17'A. Araujo
45+3'M. Ndiaye
45+3'A. Tafni
45+3'
53'D. Bangoura
55'M. Rabuel
56'T. Allemand
59'A. Oudjani INA. Faiz out
61'D. Bangoura
66'H. Lamy INM. Jacob out
66'D. Bangoura INK. Bensoula out
70'B. Tafni INY. Zemoura out
71'M. SambAssist: A. Araujo
77'M. Ndiaye INM. Vrignon out
77'A. Araujo INE. Morel out
90'S. Ahamada
90+3'M. Samb INM. Villette out
90+4'K. Cisse

Team Comparison

La Roche VFLa Roche VF
AubagneAubagne
1652Elo Rating 1446
1.84Attack 0.76
1.71Defense 1.40
59%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+206 Elo

Game State Tendencies

La Roche VFLa Roche VF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AubagneAubagne
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

La Roche VFLa Roche VF
6W4D0L
26/09/2026
Thionville LusitanosLa Roche VF
12
W
19/09/2026
La Roche VFValenciennes
32
W
12/09/2026
VillefrancheLa Roche VF
00
D
05/09/2026
La Roche VFQuevilly
11
D
29/08/2026
OrleansLa Roche VF
01
W
20/08/2026
La Roche VFCannes
11
D
14/08/2026
AmiensLa Roche VF
01
W
07/08/2026
La Roche VFVersailles
32
W
22/07/2026
NantesLa Roche VF
11
D
18/07/2026
Le MansLa Roche VF
23
W
AubagneAubagne
3W1D6L
26/09/2026
Fleury 91Aubagne
12
W
19/09/2026
RouenAubagne
10
L
12/09/2026
AubagneConcarneau
12
L
05/09/2026
GobelinsAubagne
00
D
29/08/2026
AubagneBourg-en-bresse 01
20
W
20/08/2026
CaenAubagne
10
L
14/08/2026
AubagneBastia
01
L
07/08/2026
AubagneThionville Lusitanos
03
L
11/07/2026
MontpellierAubagne
32
L
15/05/2026
AubagneCaen
31
W

League Table

Ligue 3 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1La Roche VFLa Roche VF1063116:10+621LWWWD
2RouenRouen1062218:8+1020LWLWW
3VersaillesVersailles1061315:13+219WWWDW
4CaenCaen1060419:13+618WLWLW
5ConcarneauConcarneau1045113:9+417DWDWW
6Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot1051412:9+316WWLWL
7AmiensAmiens1044213:4+916DWDWD
8CannesCannes1036112:6+615LWDDD
9Fleury 91Fleury 911043316:12+415WWLDW
10GobelinsGobelins1043310:10015WLWDL
11QuevillyQuevilly1034311:14-313WLDDW
12Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos1033415:16-112LLLDL
13BastiaBastia103348:12-412DDLDW
14ValenciennesValenciennes1023510:15-59DLWLL
15OrleansOrleans102359:14-59LDDLL
16AubagneAubagne102176:13-77LLWLL
17VillefrancheVillefranche102179:23-147WLLLD
18Bourg-en-bresse 01Bourg-en-bresse 01101275:16-115LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1La Roche VFLa Roche VF1016:1021
2RouenRouen1018:820
3VersaillesVersailles1015:1319
4CaenCaen1019:1318
5ConcarneauConcarneau1013:917
6Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot1012:916
7AmiensAmiens1013:416
8CannesCannes1012:615
9Fleury 91Fleury 911016:1215
10GobelinsGobelins1010:1015
11QuevillyQuevilly1011:1413
12Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos1015:1612
13BastiaBastia108:1212
14ValenciennesValenciennes1010:159
15OrleansOrleans109:149
16AubagneAubagne106:137
17VillefrancheVillefranche109:237
18Bourg-en-bresse 01Bourg-en-bresse 01105:165
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About the La Roche VF vs Aubagne forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

La Roche VF and Aubagne in the Ligue 3 table

The table shows a wide gap: La Roche VF are 1st in the Ligue 3, while Aubagne sit 16th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: La Roche VF 16-10, Aubagne 6-13. The full standings are on the Ligue 3 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

La Roche VF and Aubagne have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.