Larne vs Tre Fiori Prediction

Larne
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Tre Fiori
Inver Park, Larne·S. Kringstad 14/07/2026
LarneLarne
2-1
Finished
Tre FioriTre Fiori

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.51
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.51
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+11.9%
Larne Rest
7 days
Tre Fiori Rest
7 days

Larne vs Tre Fiori: the result in context

Larne beat Tre Fiori 2-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 14 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.14
X
11%7.00
2
13%16.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.01
X2
23%5.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.56
No
47%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.24 + 1.02 = 3.26
Over 1.5
82%1.15
Over 2.5
71%1.51
Over 3.5
41%2.37
Under 1.5
18%4.60
Under 2.5
29%2.35
Under 3.5
59%1.54
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'P. MengucciAssist: M. Prandelli
25'M. RidleyAssist: R. Doherty
32'Alessandro D'AddarioFoul
49'Tom SykuFoul
53'Conor McKendryFoul
58'Simone ReaFoul
58'M. Gibson INK. O'Hara out
58'C. McKendry INJ. McEneff out
59'A. D'Addario INM. Ben Kacem out
59'M. Prandelli ING. Ponticelli out
63'Simone ReaFoul
63'Simone ReaFoul
67'Nico ManaraFoul
69'D. Bent(Penalty)
72'N. Manara INT. L. Bernardi out
76'R. Doherty IND. Sloan out
80'M. Lusty INP. O'Neill out
80'S. Graham INJ. Simpson out
83'R. Bertani INL. Censoni out
83'P. Mengucci INL. Terenzi out
90'Tommaso BernardiFoul
90'Giulio PonticelliFoul
90'Tommaso BernardiFoul
90'Tommaso BernardiFoul

Lineups

Larne
4-3-3Coach: Gary Haveron
Tre Fiori
4-2-3-1Coach: Matteo Cecchetti
Rohan Ferguson1R. Ferguson
Tomas Cosgrove23T. Cosgrove
Dan Bent26D. Bent
Matt Ridley3M. Ridley
Aaron Donnelly4A. Donnelly
Chris Gallagher6C. Gallagher
Ronan Doherty15R. Doherty
Sean Graham11S. Graham
Conor McKendry7C. McKendry
Montel Gibson45M. Gibson
Matthew Lusty30M. Lusty
Michele Nardi17M. Nardi
Alessandro D'Addario2A. D'Addario
Tom Syku6T. Syku
Simone Rea5S. Rea
Mattia Sancisi3M. Sancisi
Brando Sami4B. Sami
Romeo Bertani29R. Bertani
Federico Benedettini20F. Benedettini
Nico Manara76N. Manara
Pietro Mengucci24P. Mengucci
Matteo Prandelli9M. Prandelli

Larne Substitutes

22Jordan McEneff58'for C. McKendry
19Kevin O'Hara
25Dylan Sloan76'for R. Doherty
47James Simpson80'for S. Graham
9Paul O'Neill80'for M. Lusty
36Dylan Graham
31Daniel Collett
2Logan Wallace
14Benji Magee
17Joshua Ukek

Tre Fiori Substitutes

99Giulio Ponticelli59'for M. Prandelli90'
27Mohamed Ben Kacem
10Tommaso Bernardi72'for N. Manara90'90'90'
28Luca Terenzi83'for P. Mengucci
8Luca Censoni83'for R. Bertani
25Alex Castagnoli
12Federico Pesaresi
23Alex Sirri
16Federico Dolcini

Match Stats

LarneTre Fiori
68%Ball Possession32%
5Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards2
12Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

LarneLarne
Tre FioriTre Fiori
1657Elo Rating 1587
2.36Attack 1.26
1.41Defense 2.42
58%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.26 goals
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

LarneLarne
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tre FioriTre Fiori
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

LarneLarne1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Tre FioriTre Fiori0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

LarneLarne
6W2D2L
07/07/2026
Tre FioriLarne
01
W
29/06/2026
H&W WeldersLarne
12
W
20/06/2026
StranraerLarne
00
D
25/04/2026
LarneDungannon Swifts
80
W
17/04/2026
GlentoranLarne
00
D
11/04/2026
LinfieldLarne
02
W
07/04/2026
LarneColeraine FC
14
L
04/04/2026
Coleraine FCLarne
2111
L
28/03/2026
LarneCliftonville FC
20
W
20/03/2026
Glenavon FCLarne
03
W
Tre FioriTre Fiori
6W2D2L
07/07/2026
Tre FioriLarne
01
L
23/05/2026
Tre FioriLa Fiorita
13
L
26/04/2026
Tre FioriPennarossa
11
D
19/04/2026
FaetanoTre Fiori
01
W
12/04/2026
Tre FioriLibertas
30
W
08/04/2026
MurataTre Fiori
03
W
22/03/2026
Tre FioriLa Fiorita
00
D
18/03/2026
Tre FioriVirtus
10
W
14/03/2026
Tre FioriVirtus
41
W
08/03/2026
Tre FioriCailungo
32
W

Referee Profile

S. Kringstad96 matches

3.65Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Kringstad3.65
Other referees3.38

3.65 cards a match, 0.27 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded

About the Larne vs Tre Fiori forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Larne have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Larne and Tre Fiori have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.