LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional Prediction

LDU Portoviejo
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
El Nacional
Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.48
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
LDU Portoviejo Rest
8 days
El Nacional Rest
7 days

LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional: result, form and history

LDU Portoviejo beat El Nacional 3-2 in the Liga Pro Serie B on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

LDU Portoviejo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.48
X
21%3.80
2
13%5.85
Double Chance
1X
87%1.09
X2
34%2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.02
No
54%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 0.81 = 2.45
Over 1.5
70%1.32
Over 2.5
48%1.95
Over 3.5
27%3.34
Under 1.5
30%3.15
Under 2.5
52%1.77
Under 3.5
73%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'
16'
19'
85'
90'

Team Comparison

LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo
El NacionalEl Nacional
1443Elo Rating 1332
1.21Attack 1.80
1.93Defense 1.13
14%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+111 Elo

Game State Tendencies

LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
El NacionalEl Nacional
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo6Wins · 86%
Draws114%
El NacionalEl Nacional0Wins · 0%
2.3Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Liga Pro Serie B05/09/2026
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
02
Liga Pro Serie B31/05/2026
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
01
Liga Pro Serie B28/03/2026
LDU PortoviejoEl Nacional
21
Liga Pro Serie B01/09/2021
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
11
Liga Pro Serie B14/07/2021
LDU PortoviejoEl Nacional
20
Liga Pro Serie B03/06/2021
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
12
Liga Pro Serie B31/03/2021
LDU PortoviejoEl Nacional
30

Recent Form

LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo
3W5D2L
24/09/2026
LDU Portoviejo22 de Julio
22
D
19/09/2026
Gualaceo SCLDU Portoviejo
00
D
17/09/2026
LDU PortoviejoDelfin SC
02
L
11/09/2026
LDU PortoviejoSanto Domingo
10
W
05/09/2026
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
02
W
26/08/2026
CumbayáLDU Portoviejo
00
D
21/08/2026
LDU Portoviejo22 de Julio
20
W
13/08/2026
CuniburoLDU Portoviejo
00
D
08/08/2026
LDU PortoviejoCumbayá
00
D
06/08/2026
LDU PortoviejoBarcelona SC
01
L
El NacionalEl Nacional
3W2D5L
26/09/2026
El NacionalCumbayá
03
L
18/09/2026
Santo DomingoEl Nacional
10
L
12/09/2026
El Nacional22 de Julio
30
W
05/09/2026
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
02
L
29/08/2026
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
30
L
20/08/2026
Ind. JuniorsEl Nacional
11
D
13/08/2026
El NacionalSan Antonio
01
L
06/08/2026
El Nacional9 de Octubre
10
W
31/07/2026
22 de JulioEl Nacional
13
W
24/07/2026
El NacionalGualaceo SC
00
D

League Table

Liga Pro Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors22109328:16+1239DDWWW
2Atletico FCAtletico FC22911225:14+1138WDLWD
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre22910322:14+837DDLDW
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2297620:23-334LWLDD
5CuniburoCuniburo2287725:17+831DDWLL
6San AntonioSan Antonio22710524:21+331DWWWD
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2278719:16+329WDLLD
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo22610617:16+128DDWDL
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2276917:22-527WDDLW
10CumbayáCumbayá22511622:22026LDDDD
1122 de Julio22 de Julio22431510:31-2115LLLLL
12El NacionalEl Nacional22261415:32-1712DLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors2228:1639
2Atletico FCAtletico FC2225:1438
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre2222:1437
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2220:2334
5CuniburoCuniburo2225:1731
6San AntonioSan Antonio2224:2131
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2219:1629
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo2217:1628
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2217:2227
10CumbayáCumbayá2222:2226
1122 de Julio22 de Julio2210:3115
12El NacionalEl Nacional2215:3212

About the LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

LDU Portoviejo and El Nacional in the Liga Pro Serie B table

In the Liga Pro Serie B table, LDU Portoviejo are 9th and El Nacional 12th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: LDU Portoviejo 17-22, El Nacional 15-32. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.