Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano Prediction

Leandro N. Alem
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Lugano
22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.45
SignalGOODModel26%SurpriseHighGap+7.0%
Leandro N. Alem Rest
7 days
Lugano Rest
6 days

Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano: the result in context

Lugano beat Leandro N. Alem 1-0 in the Primera C on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lugano had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Leandro N. Alem.

Leandro N. Alem have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.67
X
31%2.88
2
31%2.60
Double Chance
1X
68%1.39
X2
62%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.05
No
54%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 1.06 = 2.08
Over 1.5
61%1.47
Over 2.5
31%2.42
Over 3.5
16%5.00
Under 1.5
39%2.36
Under 2.5
69%1.45
Under 3.5
84%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

47'M. Gelpi

Team Comparison

Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem
LuganoLugano
1324Elo Rating 1441
0.62Attack 0.47
0.95Defense 1.67
19%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LuganoLugano
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem3Wins · 60%
Draws240%
LuganoLugano0Wins · 0%
1.8Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera C25/04/2026
LuganoLeandro N. Alem
22
Primera C24/08/2025
Leandro N. AlemLugano
00
Primera C11/05/2025
LuganoLeandro N. Alem
02
Primera C06/07/2024
Leandro N. AlemLugano
20
Primera C05/02/2024
LuganoLeandro N. Alem
01

Recent Form

Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem
2W3D5L
15/08/2026
Central BallesterLeandro N. Alem
30
L
08/08/2026
Defensores de CambaceresLeandro N. Alem
20
L
27/07/2026
SacachispasLeandro N. Alem
11
D
18/07/2026
CanuelasLeandro N. Alem
10
L
12/07/2026
Leandro N. AlemArgentino Rosario
20
W
04/07/2026
Estrella Del SurLeandro N. Alem
30
L
28/06/2026
Leandro N. AlemBerazategui
11
D
13/06/2026
Leandro N. AlemVictoriano Arenas
00
D
06/06/2026
Centro EspañolLeandro N. Alem
30
L
31/05/2026
Leandro N. AlemJJ Urquiza
20
W
LuganoLugano
5W3D2L
16/08/2026
LuganoLujan
12
L
09/08/2026
LuganoVictoriano Arenas
00
D
31/07/2026
Defensores de CambaceresLugano
12
W
25/07/2026
LuganoCentro Español
10
W
17/07/2026
LuganoSportivo Barracas
32
W
12/07/2026
Juventud UnidaLugano
00
D
04/07/2026
LuganoJJ Urquiza
00
D
27/06/2026
SacachispasLugano
01
W
14/06/2026
LuganoMercedes
10
W
06/06/2026
Argentino RosarioLugano
21
L

League Table

Primera C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BerazateguiBerazategui321312740:24+1651WLWDW
2SacachispasSacachispas321481033:26+750WDLLL
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur321212833:30+348WDWDD
4Centro EspañolCentro Español321211943:30+1347LWWLD
5MercedesMercedes321211931:24+747WDWWD
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas321114726:19+747WWDWL
7LuganoLugano321113835:29+646LLDDD
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida321291139:33+645LWDWL
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3210111130:36-641WLLLL
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres32991425:34-936LLLDW
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza327141121:26-535WWLDD
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo327111423:41-1832LDDWL
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem32871730:58-2831LLWLD
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario324151330:42-1227LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BerazateguiBerazategui3240:2451
2SacachispasSacachispas3233:2650
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur3233:3048
4Centro EspañolCentro Español3243:3047
5MercedesMercedes3231:2447
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas3226:1947
7LuganoLugano3235:2946
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida3239:3345
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3230:3641
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres3225:3436
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza3221:2635
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo3223:4132
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem3230:5831
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario3230:4227
PromotionRelegation

About the Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leandro N. Alem and Lugano in the Primera C table

In the Primera C table, Lugano are 7th and Leandro N. Alem 13th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Leandro N. Alem 30-58, Lugano 35-29. The full standings are on the Primera C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.