Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners Prediction

Leevon / PPK
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Riga Mariners
18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Leevon / PPK Rest
7 days
Riga Mariners Rest
6 days

Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners: the result in context

Leevon / PPK beat Riga Mariners 2-1 in the 1. Liga on 18 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Riga Mariners had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Leevon / PPK.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%3.10
X
18%3.85
2
63%1.91
Double Chance
1X
37%1.74
X2
81%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.43
No
56%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.44
Over 3.5
18%2.05
Under 1.5
37%5.50
Under 2.5
61%2.60
Under 3.5
82%1.63
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'A. GrazisAssist: E. Bokans
37'A. Baturinskis
57'R. Baumanis

Team Comparison

Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
1605Elo Rating 1690
2.37Attack 3.34
1.36Defense 0.37
36%Hit Rate 66%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

1. Liga22/08/2025
Leevon / PPKRiga Mariners
23
1. Liga19/04/2025
Riga MarinersLeevon / PPK
11

Recent Form

Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
6W1D3L
10/07/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga
23
L
05/07/2026
Valmiera / BSSLeevon / PPK
41
L
28/06/2026
Leevon / PPKMetta / LU
13
L
20/06/2026
JFK VentspilsLeevon / PPK
13
W
13/06/2026
JDFS AlbertsLeevon / PPK
00
D
29/05/2026
DSVK TraktorsLeevon / PPK
35
W
23/05/2026
Leevon / PPKJFK Ventspils
21
W
16/05/2026
Rīgas FS IILeevon / PPK
12
W
10/05/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga FC II
32
W
02/05/2026
Leevon / PPKTukums II
41
W
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
7W2D1L
11/07/2026
Riga MarinersBFC Daugavpils
5363
L
04/07/2026
JDFS AlbertsRiga Mariners
04
W
27/06/2026
Riga MarinersMārupe
20
W
20/06/2026
Riga MarinersJDFS Alberts
10
W
14/06/2026
SkansteRiga Mariners
02
W
30/05/2026
RFK/RFSRiga Mariners
011
W
23/05/2026
Riga MarinersMetta / LU
22
D
16/05/2026
Riga MarinersValmiera / BSS
31
W
09/05/2026
Riga MarinersSmiltene
10
W
02/05/2026
Rēzekne FARiga Mariners
22
D

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU252131100:19+8166WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS25176266:26+4057DWDDL
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners25175363:32+3156WWWLW
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK25166349:29+2054DLDWW
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts25135752:36+1644LWDWL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2597940:40034DWDWD
7MārupeMārupe251041139:41-234DLDWD
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 225781035:40-529LWLDL
9SkansteSkanste25821548:53-526LLLLL
10SmilteneSmiltene25661338:63-2524DWDWW
11Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II25631641:70-2921WLWLL
12Tukums IITukums II25551532:69-3720DLDLW
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils25471429:48-1919WLDLL
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA25132117:83-666LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU25100:1966
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2566:2657
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2563:3256
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2549:2954
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2552:3644
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2540:4034
7MārupeMārupe2539:4134
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22535:4029
9SkansteSkanste2548:5326
10SmilteneSmiltene2538:6324
11Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2541:7021
12Tukums IITukums II2532:6920
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2529:4819
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2517:836

About the Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leevon / PPK and Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Riga Mariners are 3rd in the 1. Liga, 2 points ahead of Leevon / PPK in 4th. League goal record so far: Leevon / PPK 49-29, Riga Mariners 63-32. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leevon / PPK have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Leevon / PPK and Riga Mariners have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.