Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction

Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion·David Ojeda, Paraguay 30/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
Libertad Asuncion Rest
4 days
Deportivo Recoleta Rest
5 days

Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta: result, form and history

Libertad Asuncion beat Deportivo Recoleta 4-1 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 30 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them. Referee David Ojeda averages 5.61 cards a game, 1.04 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%1.85
X
28%3.42
2
32%4.00
Double Chance
1X
68%1.20
X2
59%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.78
No
56%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.30
Over 2.5
38%1.95
Over 3.5
19%3.30
Under 1.5
36%3.27
Under 2.5
62%1.80
Under 3.5
81%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

-5'Alejandro SilvaArgument
10'Aldo GonzalezAssist: Giuseppe Guggiari
12'Claudio Figueredo INFacundo Echeguren out
14'Agustín ManzurAssist: Ivan Ramirez
23'Ivan RamirezFoul
39'Juan FrancoFoul
52'Giuseppe GuggiariFoul
60'Matías EspinozaAssist: Álvaro Campuzano
61'Dairon Mosquera INAlejandro Silva out
61'Giuseppe Guggiari INWilfrido Baez out
61'Richard Ortiz INKevin Parzajuk out
66'Marcelo Fernandez INElvio Vera out
66'Federico Carrizo INJoaquin Bogarin out
66'Ivan Ramirez INIván Franco out
72'Álvaro Campuzano INLucas Sanabria out
77'Rodrigo Villalba INNéstor Giménez out
78'Juan Franco INOrlín Barreto out
85'Joaquin BogarinAssist: Elvio Vera
89'Nelson FerreiraFoul
90+1'Elvio VeraAssist: Iván Franco

Lineups

Libertad Asuncion
Coach: Francisco Arce
Deportivo Recoleta
Coach: Jorge Gonzalez

Libertad Asuncion Starting XI

12Rodrigo Morínigo6.9
2Alan Benítez6.9
5Gilberto Flores7.2
23Nicolás Freire7.0
17Matías EspinozaC60'8.0
6Álvaro Campuzano72'replaced by Lucas Sanabria7.9
8Federico Carrizo66'replaced by Joaquin Bogarin6.9
24Rodrigo Villalba77'replaced by Néstor Giménez6.6
7Agustín Manzur14'8.2
28Marcelo Fernandez66'replaced by Elvio Vera6.9
26Ivan Ramirez23'66'replaced by Iván Franco6.6
Avg rating7.28

Deportivo Recoleta Starting XI

12Nelson Ferreira89'6.9
14Claudio Figueredo12'replaced by Facundo Echeguren6.7
5Nicolás Marotta6.2
3Luis CardozoC6.3
25Dairon Mosquera61'replaced by Alejandro Silva6.7
39Giuseppe Guggiari52'61'replaced by Wilfrido Baez6.7
38Juan Franco39'78'replaced by Orlín Barreto6.9
6Jose Espinola7.0
18Pedro Rios6.3
9Richard Ortiz61'replaced by Kevin Parzajuk6.2
33Aldo Gonzalez10'7.5
Avg rating6.56

Libertad Asuncion Substitutes

19Iván Franco66'for Ivan Ramirez7.2
13Joaquin Bogarin66'for Federico Carrizo85'7.7
11Elvio Vera66'for Marcelo Fernandez90+1'8.9
21Lucas Sanabria72'for Álvaro Campuzano6.6
4Néstor Giménez77'for Rodrigo Villalba6.9
29Victor Rojas
3Robert Rojas
14Alexis Fretes
34Estiven Villalba
22Pedro Villalba
33Cristhian Martínez
30Oscar Acuña

Deportivo Recoleta Substitutes

2Facundo Echeguren12'for Claudio Figueredo5.6
17Wilfrido Baez61'for Giuseppe Guggiari6.5
10Alejandro Silva-5'61'for Dairon Mosquera6.7
11Kevin Parzajuk61'for Richard Ortiz6.2
22Orlín Barreto78'for Juan Franco6.5
13Oscar Toledo
32Lucas Monzon
4Marcos Pereira
37Juan Falcon
7Ronal Dominguez
19Héctor López
30Paul Charpentier

Match Stats

Libertad AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
60%Ball Possession40%
6Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal0
12Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots4
7Fouls9
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
566Total Passes367
500Passes Accurate290
88%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
1559Elo Rating 1453
0.99Attack 0.89
2.07Defense 2.24
44%Hit Rate 41%
13.1Shots per Game 12.4
4.2Shots on Target 2.3
3.3Corners per Game 6.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+106 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1Wins · 25%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Apertura31/03/2026
Libertad AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
10
Division Profesional - Apertura02/02/2026
Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
21
Division Profesional - Apertura14/04/2025
Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
11
Division Profesional - Apertura03/02/2025
Libertad AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
52

Recent Form

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
4W1D5L
26/07/2026
OlimpiaLibertad Asuncion
01
W
28/05/2026
Libertad AsuncionUCV
01
L
24/05/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
21
L
20/05/2026
Independiente del ValleLibertad Asuncion
41
L
14/05/2026
Libertad Asuncion2 de Mayo
00
D
11/05/2026
Sportivo LuquenoLibertad Asuncion
23
W
06/05/2026
Rosario CentralLibertad Asuncion
10
L
02/05/2026
Libertad AsuncionClub Sp. San Lorenzo
50
W
29/04/2026
Libertad AsuncionIndependiente del Valle
23
L
26/04/2026
Libertad AsuncionOlimpia
32
W
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
3W4D3L
25/07/2026
Deportivo RecoletaClub Sp. San Lorenzo
11
D
27/05/2026
San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
01
W
23/05/2026
Deportivo RecoletaClub Guarani
21
W
20/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Recoleta
22
D
15/05/2026
OlimpiaDeportivo Recoleta
32
L
11/05/2026
Sportivo AmelianoDeportivo Recoleta
32
L
06/05/2026
Deportivo RecoletaSantos
11
D
03/05/2026
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteno
21
W
29/04/2026
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Cuenca
00
D
24/04/2026
Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
21
L

Referee Profile

David Ojeda103 matches

5.61Cards per match
5.22Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

David Ojeda5.61
Other referees4.57

5.61 cards a match, 1.04 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1673623:17+624WDWLL
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1604128:29-214LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1623:1724
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo168:294
Promotion

About the Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Libertad Asuncion and Deportivo Recoleta in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

The table shows a wide gap: Libertad Asuncion are 3rd in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while Deportivo Recoleta sit 11th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Libertad Asuncion 24-17, Deportivo Recoleta 16-28. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.