Libertad vs Leones del Norte Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 17
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Libertad vs Leones del Norte: the result in context
Leones del Norte beat Libertad 3-1 in the Liga Pro on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Libertad
Avg ratingAvg rating
12D. Cabezas
17E. Patta
6B. Caicedo
11H. Batalla
70V. Germán Branda Merlín
10G. Cortéz
45M. Ramírez
23N. Monserrat
6E. Griffa
11M. Caramuto
70D. Pazmiño
7M. LuqueLibertad Substitutes
Leones del Norte Substitutes
Match Stats
LibertadLeones del Norte Team Comparison
LibertadLeones del NorteAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Libertad- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Leones del Norte- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Libertad0Wins · 0%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
28/02/2026Leones del NorteLibertadRecent Form
Libertad
Manta FCLibertad
Independiente del ValleLibertad
LDU PortoviejoLibertadLibertad
Deportivo Cuenca
EmelecLibertadLibertad
Aucas
MacaraLibertadLibertad
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad CatolicaLibertad
Orense SCLibertadLeones del NorteLeones del NorteMacara
HuaquillasLeones del Norte
Tecnico UniversitarioLeones del NorteLeones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SCLeones del NorteLeones del NorteEmelecIndependiente del ValleLeones del NorteLeones del NorteManta FCLeones del NorteAucas
Barcelona SCLeones del NorteLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Placement Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:39 | +4 | 50 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:40 | -3 | 43 | WLLDL |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:41 | -10 | 42 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 43:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 38:43 | 46 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 31:41 | 42 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- LDU de Quito vs Orense SC 02/07/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC 04/07/26
- Macara vs LDU de Quito 05/07/26
- Delfin SC vs Emelec 06/07/26
- Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC 06/07/26
- Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario 07/07/26
- Tecnico Universitario vs Macara 11/07/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Delfin SC 12/07/26
About the Libertad vs Leones del Norte forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Libertad and Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro table
Libertad and Leones del Norte are close in the Liga Pro table, 7th and 8th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Libertad 33-34, Leones del Norte 31-32. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Libertad and Leones del Norte have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.