Libertas vs Folgore Prediction

Libertas
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Folgore
25/10/2026
LibertasLibertas
1-2
Finished
FolgoreFolgore

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.15
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseHighGap-7.3%
Libertas Rest
15 days
Folgore Rest
15 days

Libertas vs Folgore: the result in context

Folgore beat Libertas 2-1 in the Campionato on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Folgore had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Libertas.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.42
X
24%3.30
2
56%1.70
Double Chance
1X
44%1.91
X2
80%1.15
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

55'S. Pancotti
63'S. Pancotti(Penalty)
84'M. SocciarelliAssist: N. Greco

Team Comparison

LibertasLibertas
FolgoreFolgore
1391Elo Rating 1616
0.67Attack 2.00
1.81Defense 2.37
17%Hit Rate 73%

Game State Tendencies

LibertasLibertas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
FolgoreFolgore
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LibertasLibertas2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
FolgoreFolgore5Wins · 50%
3.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Coppa Titano09/09/2026
LibertasFolgore
02
Campionato01/03/2026
LibertasFolgore
24
Campionato01/11/2025
FolgoreLibertas
61
Campionato19/04/2025
FolgoreLibertas
30
Campionato21/12/2024
LibertasFolgore
01
Campionato20/02/2024
FolgoreLibertas
11
Campionato28/10/2023
LibertasFolgore
22
Campionato21/01/2023
FolgoreLibertas
23
Campionato04/09/2022
LibertasFolgore
00
Campionato20/04/2022
FolgoreLibertas
03

Recent Form

LibertasLibertas
2W3D5L
09/10/2026
CailungoLibertas
12
W
18/09/2026
LibertasFaetano
11
D
12/09/2026
VirtusLibertas
20
L
09/09/2026
LibertasFolgore
02
L
05/09/2026
LibertasJuvenes / Dogana
21
W
29/08/2026
CosmosLibertas
11
D
29/04/2026
Juvenes / DoganaLibertas
11
D
26/04/2026
LibertasVirtus
09
L
19/04/2026
LibertasTre Penne
13
L
12/04/2026
Tre FioriLibertas
30
L
FolgoreFolgore
9W0D1L
09/10/2026
PennarossaFolgore
15
W
19/09/2026
FolgoreSan Marino Academy
20
W
13/09/2026
Juvenes / DoganaFolgore
12
W
09/09/2026
LibertasFolgore
02
W
05/09/2026
FolgoreCailungo
10
W
28/08/2026
FolgoreMurata
50
W
05/05/2026
FolgoreDomagnano
13
L
02/05/2026
DomagnanoFolgore
01
W
25/04/2026
DomagnanoFolgore
37
W
19/04/2026
FolgoreSan Marino Academy
30
W

League Table

Campionato 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FolgoreFolgore871020:4+1622WDWWW
2Tre PenneTre Penne862015:3+1220WDDWW
3VirtusVirtus861113:4+919LWWWW
4Tre FioriTre Fiori852118:7+1117DWDWL
5CosmosCosmos851217:6+1116LWWWW
6La FioritaLa Fiorita844010:4+616WWDWW
7DomagnanoDomagnano831411:11010WLDLL
8FiorentinoFiorentino823312:9+39DLDWL
9LibertasLibertas82338:10-29DLLWD
10San GiovanniSan Giovanni82248:14-68DWDLL
11Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana82158:9-17WDLLL
12CailungoCailungo81349:11-26DDDLW
13PennarossaPennarossa812511:25-145LDDLW
14MurataMurata81166:19-134LLDLL
15San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy80442:15-134DDLLL
16FaetanoFaetano80352:19-173LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FolgoreFolgore820:422
2Tre PenneTre Penne815:320
3VirtusVirtus813:419
4Tre FioriTre Fiori818:717
5CosmosCosmos817:616
6La FioritaLa Fiorita810:416
7DomagnanoDomagnano811:1110
8FiorentinoFiorentino812:99
9LibertasLibertas88:109
10San GiovanniSan Giovanni88:148
11Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana88:97
12CailungoCailungo89:116
13PennarossaPennarossa811:255
14MurataMurata86:194
15San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy82:154
16FaetanoFaetano82:193
Champions LeaguePromotion

About the Libertas vs Folgore forecast

The forecasts for this Campionato match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Libertas and Folgore in the Campionato table

In the Campionato table, Folgore are 1st and Libertas 9th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Libertas 8-10, Folgore 20-4. The full standings are on the Campionato Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.