Louletano vs União Santarém Prediction

Louletano
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
União Santarém
Estadio Algarve 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Louletano Rest
5 days
União Santarém Rest
7 days

Louletano vs União Santarém: the result in context

União Santarém beat Louletano 2-1 in the Liga 3 on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Louletano had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for União Santarém.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%2.23
X
20%2.92
2
21%3.10
Double Chance
1X
78%1.28
X2
41%1.54
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Daniel PaulinoAssist: E. Mendes
11'R. Mordomo
19'A. Soumare
45+1'D. Almeida
46'B. Sousa INL. Martins out
63'Helder Sa INTiago Andre out
64'A. Soumare ING. Isnaba out
65'Daniel Paulino INT. Vilela out
65'A. Dias IND. Teixeira out
67'J. Simoes
71'N. Martelo INR. Teixeira out
71'G. Teixeira INT. Sousa out
74'A. Sousa
82'A. Sousa INJ. Nobrega out
82'V. Goncalves INM. Cruz out
85'R. Mordomo(Penalty)
87'L. van der Gaag
89'L. Martins
90+1'

Team Comparison

LouletanoLouletano
União SantarémUnião Santarém
1570Elo Rating 1530
0.85Attack 2.69
1.59Defense 2.13
0%Hit Rate 77%

Game State Tendencies

LouletanoLouletano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
União SantarémUnião Santarém
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Recent Form

LouletanoLouletano
4W4D2L
06/09/2026
LouletanoLusitano Évora 1911
10
W
30/08/2026
CastrenseLouletano
01
W
23/08/2026
CaldasLouletano
24
W
15/08/2026
LouletanoCF Os Belenenses
13
L
08/08/2026
OliveirenseLouletano
00
D
31/05/2026
Vitória de SernacheLouletano
11
D
23/05/2026
LouletanoOliveira Hospital
21
W
17/05/2026
LouletanoAtlético Malveira
11
D
10/05/2026
LouletanoVitória de Sernache
12
L
03/05/2026
Oliveira HospitalLouletano
11
D
União SantarémUnião Santarém
0W6D4L
04/09/2026
União SantarémCaldas
01
L
22/08/2026
CF Os BelenensesUnião Santarém
50
L
14/08/2026
União SantarémOliveirense
11
D
08/08/2026
SC CovilhaUnião Santarém
20
L
31/07/2026
União SantarémAcademica
00
D
16/05/2026
União SantarémVarzim
22
D
10/05/2026
AmaranteUnião Santarém
10
L
02/05/2026
CF Os BelenensesUnião Santarém
11
D
26/04/2026
União SantarémAcademica
11
D
19/04/2026
Guimaraes BUnião Santarém
11
D

League Table

Liga 3 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses862018:6+1220WDDWW
2Atlético CPAtlético CP852117:7+1017WDWLW
3MafraMafra833216:11+512WDDLW
4CaldasCaldas832310:12-211WDLWW
5OliveirenseOliveirense824210:11-110LDDWL
6União SantarémUnião Santarém83149:14-510LWWWL
7LouletanoLouletano822410:12-28LDLLW
8SC CovilhaSC Covilha81435:8-37LDDDL
9Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache82156:15-97WLWLL
10Lusitano Évora 1911Lusitano Évora 191181346:11-56LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses818:620
2Atlético CPAtlético CP817:717
3MafraMafra816:1112
4CaldasCaldas810:1211
5OliveirenseOliveirense810:1110
6União SantarémUnião Santarém89:1410
7LouletanoLouletano810:128
8SC CovilhaSC Covilha85:87
9Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache86:157
10Lusitano Évora 1911Lusitano Évora 191186:116
PromotionRelegation

About the Louletano vs União Santarém forecast

The forecasts for this Liga 3 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Louletano and União Santarém in the Liga 3 table

União Santarém and Louletano are close in the Liga 3 table, 6th and 7th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Louletano 10-12, União Santarém 9-14. The full standings are on the Liga 3 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

União Santarém have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Louletano and União Santarém have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.