Lugo vs Mérida AD Prediction
Spain · Group 1 - 10
Lugo vs Mérida AD in numbers
This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 4 wins from five for Lugo and 3 for Mérida AD. They meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 1 Nov 2026.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Team Comparison
Lugo
Mérida ADAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Lugo- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
Mérida AD- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Lugo2Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
03/05/2026Mérida ADLugo03/01/2026LugoMérida ADRecent Form
Lugo
Real UniónLugoLugo
Deportivo La Coruña IILugo
UD Logroñés
Real AvilésLugoLugo
Racing Ferrol
ZamoraLugoLugo
CD Coria
PonferradinaLugo
Unionistas de SalamancaLugoLugo
Ourense CFMérida ADMérida ADCD Coria
Arenas GetxoMérida AD
PontevedraMérida ADMérida AD
CacereñoMérida ADUD LogroñésPonferradinaMérida ADMérida AD
Mirandes
Cultural LeonesaMérida ADMérida ADDeportivo La Coruña IIMérida AD
AlcorconLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | +8 | 22 | LWWWW |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | +2 | 16 | LWWWL |
| 4 | Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 15 | WLDLD |
| 5 | Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 14 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 14 | WWLLD |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:10 | +6 | 13 | WDWWL |
| 8 | Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | +5 | 13 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:12 | +3 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 13 | DDLWD |
| 11 |  Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 12 | LLDLW |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 12 | LDDWW |
| 13 | Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 12 | LDWLD |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 11 | LWWLD |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 | DWLDD |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | WLDWL |
| 17 | CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:15 | -12 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 | WLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 9 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 9 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 9 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 9 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 16:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Real Unión | 9 | 19:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Mérida AD | 9 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 9 | 6:6 | 13 |
| 11 | Athletic Club II | 9 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 9 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 9 | 12:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 9 | 3:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 7:22 | 5 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches
- Ponferradina vs Barakaldo 24/10/26
- Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra 24/10/26
- Mérida AD vs CD Coria 25/10/26
- Barakaldo vs Pontevedra 01/11/26
- CD Coria vs Arenas Getxo 01/11/26
- UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa 01/11/26
- Zamora vs Deportivo La Coruña II 01/11/26
- Extremadura 1924 vs Unionistas de Salamanca 01/11/26
About the Lugo vs Mérida AD forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División RFEF - Group 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lugo and Mérida AD in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Lugo are 1st and Mérida AD 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Lugo 16-8, Mérida AD 15-12. The full standings are on the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Lugo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lugo and Mérida AD have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.