Maardu vs Tartu Welco Prediction

Maardu
1-8
Finished
HT 1-4
Tartu Welco
Maardu linnastaadion 13/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Maardu Rest
4 days
Tartu Welco Rest
11 days

Maardu vs Tartu Welco: the result in context

Tartu Welco beat Maardu 8-1 in the Esiliiga A on 13 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Maardu have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%5.13
X
18%4.90
2
67%1.40
Double Chance
1X
33%2.55
X2
85%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.33
No
56%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.05
Over 2.5
39%1.20
Over 3.5
18%1.53
Under 1.5
37%9.00
Under 2.5
61%3.75
Under 3.5
82%2.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'K. LaasnerAssist: M. Magi
10'A. VolkovAssist: V. Malinin
17'K. LaasnerAssist: T. Teniste
31'M. Magi
35'V. TsurilkinOG
79'K. LaasnerAssist: H. Kablik
80'H. Kablik
87'K. LaasnerAssist: E. Mottus
90+2'K. Laasner(Penalty missed)
90+2'K. Laasner

Team Comparison

MaarduMaardu
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
1619Elo Rating 1735
2.18Attack 4.03
1.91Defense 1.77
83%Hit Rate 100%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MaarduMaardu
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

MaarduMaardu3Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco2Wins · 40%
4.8Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Esiliiga A24/05/2026
MaarduTartu Welco
01
Esiliiga A21/03/2026
Tartu WelcoMaardu
51
Esiliiga A18/09/2021
MaarduTartu Welco
70
Esiliiga A14/07/2021
Tartu WelcoMaardu
04
Esiliiga A31/05/2021
MaarduTartu Welco
60

Recent Form

MaarduMaardu
5W2D3L
09/07/2026
MaarduFlora II
32
W
03/07/2026
Tallinna KalevMaardu
33
D
22/06/2026
MaarduViimsi
10
W
18/06/2026
MaarduNõmme Kalju II
21
W
11/06/2026
ElvaMaardu
43
L
28/05/2026
FC TallinnMaardu
00
D
24/05/2026
MaarduTartu Welco
01
L
16/05/2026
FCI Levadia IIMaardu
12
W
09/05/2026
MaarduNõmme United II
21
W
01/05/2026
Flora IIMaardu
50
L
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
7W2D1L
02/07/2026
Tartu WelcoViimsi
22
D
21/06/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme United II
52
W
18/06/2026
FCI Levadia IITartu Welco
13
W
13/06/2026
Tartu WelcoFC Tallinn
40
W
01/06/2026
ElvaTartu Welco
02
W
28/05/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme Kalju II
42
W
24/05/2026
MaarduTartu Welco
01
W
17/05/2026
Tartu WelcoFlora II
33
D
09/05/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
20
L
01/05/2026
FC TallinnTartu Welco
02
W

League Table

Esiliiga A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco352456101:45+5677WWWWW
2ViimsiViimsi351771162:35+2758LDWDW
3FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II341731469:59+1054WDWWW
4Flora IIFlora II341571278:60+1852DWDLD
5ElvaElva3514101150:51-152DDDDL
6MaarduMaardu321291147:59-1245DDDDD
7Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev341181559:63-441DWLLL
8FC TallinnFC Tallinn341081643:77-3438WLLWD
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II341071755:70-1537DLLLW
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II35662340:85-4524LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco35101:4577
2ViimsiViimsi3562:3558
3FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3469:5954
4Flora IIFlora II3478:6052
5ElvaElva3550:5152
6MaarduMaardu3247:5945
7Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3459:6341
8FC TallinnFC Tallinn3443:7738
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II3455:7037
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3540:8524

About the Maardu vs Tartu Welco forecast

The forecasts for this Esiliiga A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maardu and Tartu Welco in the Esiliiga A table

In the Esiliiga A table, Tartu Welco are 1st and Maardu 6th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Maardu 47-59, Tartu Welco 101-45. The full standings are on the Esiliiga A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Maardu have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Tartu Welco have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.