Mariehamn vs Gnistan Prediction
Finland · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Mariehamn vs Gnistan: the result in context
Gnistan beat Mariehamn 3-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 13 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gnistan had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Mariehamn.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Mariehamn
1K. Lund
38Y. Amankwah
2N. Nurmi
4P. Lindgren
28J. Nissinen
18A. Stroud
6N. Dosis
31S. Ngulube
10S. Dahlström
16A. Huttunen
7A. Larsson
1A. Craninx
27O. Hannula
24R. Gnanou
67A. Obileye
4M. Costa
26R. Eremenko
31A. Jouhi
15G. Europaeus
10J. Latonen
23S. Ylätupa
17A. AkinyemiMariehamn Substitutes
Gnistan Substitutes
Team Comparison
MariehamnGnistanAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Mariehamn- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gnistan- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Mariehamn1Wins · 10%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
30/01/2026GnistanMariehamn
09/08/2025MariehamnGnistan03/05/2025GnistanMariehamn08/02/2025GnistanMariehamn15/09/2024GnistanMariehamn21/08/2024GnistanMariehamn26/05/2024MariehamnGnistan01/03/2024MariehamnGnistan29/10/2023MariehamnGnistan25/10/2023GnistanMariehamnRecent Form
Mariehamn
HJK HelsinkiMariehamnMariehamn
Lahti
FF JaroMariehamnMariehamn
KuPSMariehamn
PuiU HelsinkiLahtiMariehamnMariehamn
VPS
HPSMariehamn
Inter TurkuMariehamnMariehamn
IlvesGnistanGnistan
SJKIlvesGnistanGnistanFF JaroVPSGnistanGnistanInter Turku
Turku PSGnistanGnistanHJK Helsinki
POHUGnistanKuPSGnistanGnistan
AC OuluReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.06 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.02).
Cards come from 49 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | +15 | 43 | DWLLW |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | +13 | 42 | WLWDW |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | +9 | 37 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | +7 | 36 | LLLDD |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 | DWWLW |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | +7 | 33 | DLLWL |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | +7 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 8 | Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | +5 | 31 | LLLLD |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 10 | SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 | LWWDD |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 | DWDDL |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 | DDLWL |
Champion Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35:20 | +15 | 55 | WLWDW |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55:34 | +21 | 52 | DWWWD |
| 3 | KuPS | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 45:28 | +17 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 44 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Gnistan | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | +2 | 42 | LLLDD |
| 6 | VPS | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31:34 | -3 | 40 | DLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 29 | 35:20 | 55 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 29 | 55:34 | 52 |
| 3 | KuPS | 29 | 45:28 | 52 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 30 | 36:37 | 44 |
| 5 | Gnistan | 29 | 43:41 | 42 |
| 6 | VPS | 30 | 31:34 | 40 |
Relegration Group
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About the Mariehamn vs Gnistan forecast
The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Mariehamn and Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga table
The table shows a wide gap: Gnistan are 4th in the Veikkausliiga, while Mariehamn sit 12th, 22 points behind. League goal record so far: Mariehamn 17-43, Gnistan 36-29. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.