Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar Prediction

Mbeya City
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Kagera Sugar
Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Mbeya City Rest
27 days
Kagera Sugar Rest
25 days

Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar: result, form and history

Kagera Sugar beat Mbeya City 3-1 in the Ligi kuu Bara on 9 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Mbeya City had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Kagera Sugar.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 6 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.84
X
27%3.04
2
21%3.95
Double Chance
1X
79%1.22
X2
48%1.75
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+3'E. Mvuyekule
45+8'
61'M. Said
76'

Team Comparison

Mbeya CityMbeya City
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar
1445Elo Rating 1400
0.42Attack 0.83
0.55Defense 2.00
0%Hit Rate 17%

Game State Tendencies

Mbeya CityMbeya City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Mbeya CityMbeya City1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar2Wins · 33%
1.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligi kuu Bara23/04/2023
Kagera SugarMbeya City
10
Ligi kuu Bara17/11/2022
Mbeya CityKagera Sugar
22
Ligi kuu Bara12/03/2022
Mbeya CityKagera Sugar
01
Ligi kuu Bara16/10/2021
Kagera SugarMbeya City
00
Ligi kuu Bara08/04/2021
Mbeya CityKagera Sugar
00
Ligi kuu Bara24/10/2020
Kagera SugarMbeya City
12

Recent Form

Mbeya CityMbeya City
4W4D2L
12/09/2026
Polisi TanzaniaMbeya City
20
L
04/09/2026
Tabora UnitedMbeya City
00
D
28/08/2026
Fountain GateMbeya City
02
W
23/08/2026
Mbeya CityMashujaa
21
W
19/08/2026
Mbeya CityDodoma Jiji
20
W
14/08/2026
Mbeya CityGeita Gold
01
L
08/07/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMbeya City
00
D
05/07/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMbeya City
02
W
30/06/2026
Mbeya CityTabora United
00
D
27/06/2026
Dodoma JijiMbeya City
11
D
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar
0W3D7L
13/09/2026
Kagera SugarFountain Gate
11
D
31/08/2026
Kagera SugarAzam
02
L
27/08/2026
MashujaaKagera Sugar
21
L
22/08/2026
Geita GoldKagera Sugar
62
L
19/08/2026
Kagera SugarSingida Black Stars
11
D
16/08/2026
Kagera SugarSimba
02
L
22/06/2025
SimbaKagera Sugar
10
L
18/06/2025
NamungoKagera Sugar
00
D
12/05/2025
Kagera SugarMashujaa
01
L
19/04/2025
Kagera SugarAzam
24
L

League Table

Ligi kuu Bara 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SimbaSimba990020:4+1627WWWWW
2Young AfricansYoung Africans971119:5+1422WDLWW
3AzamAzam962117:7+1020WWLWW
4JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania1052312:12017DWWWL
5Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji94328:5+315DWDWW
6NamungoNamungo1050510:12-215WWWLL
7Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars942315:11+414WLDLW
8Coastal UnionCoastal Union104159:13-413WLWLW
9Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania1033412:12012LDDLW
10MashujaaMashujaa940510:15-512LLWWL
11Mbeya CityMbeya City93158:13-510LLLLD
12Geita GoldGeita Gold1023511:17-69DDLLL
13Tabora UnitedTabora United91537:8-18DDLWD
14Pamba JijiPamba Jiji1013610:16-66LDDWL
15Kagera SugarKagera Sugar101369:18-96LLDWD
16Fountain GateFountain Gate101365:14-96LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SimbaSimba920:427
2Young AfricansYoung Africans919:522
3AzamAzam917:720
4JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania1012:1217
5Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji98:515
6NamungoNamungo1010:1215
7Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars915:1114
8Coastal UnionCoastal Union109:1313
9Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania1012:1212
10MashujaaMashujaa910:1512
11Mbeya CityMbeya City98:1310
12Geita GoldGeita Gold1011:179
13Tabora UnitedTabora United97:88
14Pamba JijiPamba Jiji1010:166
15Kagera SugarKagera Sugar109:186
16Fountain GateFountain Gate105:146
Champions LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mbeya City and Kagera Sugar in the Ligi kuu Bara table

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Mbeya City are 11th and Kagera Sugar 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Mbeya City 8-13, Kagera Sugar 9-18. The full standings are on the Ligi kuu Bara Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.