Meshakhte vs Gagra Prediction

Meshakhte
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Gagra
Agrano Vachadze Stadium 18/06/2026
MeshakhteMeshakhte
1-1
Finished
GagraGagra

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseHighGap-5.4%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
Meshakhte Rest
4 days
Gagra Rest
3 days

Meshakhte vs Gagra: the result in context

Meshakhte and Gagra drew 1-1 in the Erovnuli Liga on 18 Jun 2026. Gagra had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Meshakhte.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.05
X
22%2.94
2
50%2.23
Double Chance
1X
50%1.53
X2
72%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.83
No
56%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.35
Over 2.5
38%2.15
Over 3.5
18%3.78
Under 1.5
36%2.80
Under 2.5
62%1.62
Under 3.5
82%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'V. Arsic
17'B. Gabiskiria
45+1'Eric Pimentel
46'V. Arsic INP. Borges out
50'P. BorgesAssist: A. Peikrishvili
58'L. Ugrekhelidze INI. Dgebuadze out
58'M. Kvirkvia INL. Chikhradze out
58'M. Pyrogov INT. Shonia out
61'T. Sikalo
66'G. Burduli ING. Gegia out
68'A. Peikrishvili ING. Darsania out
72'T. Sikalo INL. Kvelaidze out
79'A. Andreychuk ING. Sadghobelashvili out
82'G. Sadghobelashvili
87'I. Skrypnyk INI. Katsiashvili out
90+4'G. Sadghobelashvili
90+4'G. Sadghobelashvili

Match Stats

MeshakhteGagra
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
6Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

MeshakhteMeshakhte
GagraGagra
1403Elo Rating 1468
0.90Attack 0.87
1.58Defense 1.51
27%Hit Rate 27%
10.8Shots per Game 8.5
3.8Shots on Target 4.1
4.1Corners per Game 5.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MeshakhteMeshakhte
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 40% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
GagraGagra
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MeshakhteMeshakhte0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
GagraGagra0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Erovnuli Liga27/04/2026
GagraMeshakhte
11
David Kipiani Cup20/07/2025
MeshakhteGagra
2111

Recent Form

MeshakhteMeshakhte
0W2D8L
13/06/2026
RustaviMeshakhte
10
L
30/05/2026
MeshakhteDinamo Tbilisi
16
L
25/05/2026
SpaeriMeshakhte
21
L
20/05/2026
MeshakhteTorpedo Kutaisi
14
L
16/05/2026
Dinamo BatumiMeshakhte
21
L
10/05/2026
MeshakhteDila
02
L
06/05/2026
SamguraliMeshakhte
31
L
02/05/2026
MeshakhteSaburtalo
14
L
27/04/2026
GagraMeshakhte
11
D
22/04/2026
MeshakhteRustavi
00
D
GagraGagra
4W2D4L
14/06/2026
GagraDinamo Tbilisi
21
W
28/05/2026
Torpedo KutaisiGagra
12
W
24/05/2026
GagraDila
20
W
20/05/2026
SaburtaloGagra
10
L
16/05/2026
GagraRustavi
11
D
11/05/2026
SpaeriGagra
30
L
06/05/2026
GagraDinamo Batumi
12
L
02/05/2026
SamguraliGagra
20
L
27/04/2026
GagraMeshakhte
11
D
21/04/2026
Dinamo TbilisiGagra
01
W

League Table

Erovnuli Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi30168653:37+1656WWWWD
2FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199930174945:33+1255WWWLW
3Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi30159650:32+1854WWLWW
4RustaviRustavi30157836:26+1052LWWLW
5DilaDila301241440:37+340LLLWL
6SamguraliSamgurali311161443:55-1239DLWWL
7Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi309101148:41+737LLDLW
8GagraGagra306121226:43-1730DLLDL
9SpaeriSpaeri315131338:49-1128DDLDL
10MeshakhteMeshakhte303111623:49-2620WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3053:3756
2FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 19993045:3355
3Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3050:3254
4RustaviRustavi3036:2652
5DilaDila3040:3740
6SamguraliSamgurali3143:5539
7Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3048:4137
8GagraGagra3026:4330
9SpaeriSpaeri3138:4928
10MeshakhteMeshakhte3023:4920
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Meshakhte vs Gagra forecast

The forecasts for this Erovnuli Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Meshakhte and Gagra in the Erovnuli Liga table

Gagra and Meshakhte are close in the Erovnuli Liga table, 8th and 10th, with 10 points between them. League goal record so far: Meshakhte 23-49, Gagra 26-43. The full standings are on the Erovnuli Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Meshakhte and Gagra have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.