Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol' Prediction

OSC Metalist, Kharkiv 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.9%
Metal Kharkiv Rest
6 days
Yarud Mariupol' Rest
6 days

Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol': result, form and history

Yarud Mariupol' beat Metal Kharkiv 2-0 in the Persha Liga on 23 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Yarud Mariupol' had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Metal Kharkiv.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.05
X
29%3.08
2
39%2.20
Double Chance
1X
61%1.55
X2
68%1.31
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

59'Y. Gunichev INN. Grytsak out
67'D. Prykhodko INM. Orikhovskyi out
68'O. Nikolyshyn
75'P. Orikhovskyi INM. Podolyak out
77'S. Kyslenko
82'P. Maletsky
90'
90+1'

Team Comparison

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv
Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'
1472Elo Rating 1539
0.60Attack 1.99
2.02Defense 2.44
27%Hit Rate 69%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'0Wins · 0%
2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Persha Liga25/04/2026
Metal KharkivYarud Mariupol'
11
Persha Liga09/10/2025
Yarud Mariupol'Metal Kharkiv
01
Cup18/08/2021
Yarud Mariupol'Metal Kharkiv
13

Recent Form

Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv
4W3D3L
17/10/2026
Ahrobiznes VolochyskMetal Kharkiv
10
L
09/10/2026
Metal KharkivViktoriya Mykolaivka
22
D
03/10/2026
PrykarpattiaMetal Kharkiv
00
D
27/09/2026
Metal KharkivChernihiv
20
W
20/09/2026
SK PoltavaMetal Kharkiv
30
L
12/09/2026
InhuletsMetal Kharkiv
10
L
09/09/2026
Viktoriya MykolaivkaMetal Kharkiv
01
W
05/09/2026
Metal KharkivUCSA
31
W
30/08/2026
Metal KharkivNyva Ternopil
11
D
23/08/2026
PenuelMetal Kharkiv
01
W
Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'
6W3D1L
17/10/2026
Yarud Mariupol'Inhulets
41
W
11/10/2026
UCSAYarud Mariupol'
12
W
05/10/2026
Yarud Mariupol'Nyva Ternopil
00
D
27/09/2026
OleksandriaYarud Mariupol'
11
D
20/09/2026
Yarud Mariupol'Polissya II
21
W
13/09/2026
Probiy HorodenkaYarud Mariupol'
02
W
09/09/2026
Yarud Mariupol'Zorya Luhansk
02
L
05/09/2026
Yarud Mariupol'Kulykiv
11
D
28/08/2026
Lokomotiv KyivYarud Mariupol'
13
W
20/08/2026
Dinaz VyshhorodYarud Mariupol'
06
W

League Table

Persha Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka1484219:11+828LDWDW
2Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'1483323:14+927WWWWD
3Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk1382322:14+826WWWWD
4SK PoltavaSK Poltava1473425:13+1224WWWLW
5KulykivKulykiv1473428:17+1124WLDWL
6OleksandriaOleksandria1466219:11+824DWDLW
7Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv1455419:17+220WLDWD
8Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil1447317:13+419DWDWD
9Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv1453617:16+118WLLDD
10InhuletsInhulets1352614:18-417LWLLL
11PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia1444613:18-516LDLLD
12UCSAUCSA1435618:23-514LWDLL
13Kolos Kovalivka IIKolos Kovalivka II1441912:26-1413LLDLL
14ChernihivChernihiv1224613:19-610LLWLL
15Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka1424814:34-2010DLDWW
16Polissya IIPolissya II1416718:27-99DLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka1419:1128
2Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'1423:1427
3Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk1322:1426
4SK PoltavaSK Poltava1425:1324
5KulykivKulykiv1428:1724
6OleksandriaOleksandria1419:1124
7Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv1419:1720
8Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil1417:1319
9Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv1417:1618
10InhuletsInhulets1314:1817
11PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia1413:1816
12UCSAUCSA1418:2314
13Kolos Kovalivka IIKolos Kovalivka II1412:2613
14ChernihivChernihiv1213:1910
15Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka1414:3410
16Polissya IIPolissya II1418:279
PromotionRelegation

About the Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol' forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Metal Kharkiv and Yarud Mariupol' in the Persha Liga table

In the Persha Liga table, Yarud Mariupol' are 2nd and Metal Kharkiv 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Metal Kharkiv 17-16, Yarud Mariupol' 23-14. The full standings are on the Persha Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.