Metz vs PAU Prediction
France · Regular Season - 11
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz·Bastein Dechepy 30/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Metz Rest
7 days
PAU Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.08
X28%3.42
228%3.29
Double Chance
1X72%1.30
X256%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.67
No44%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.05 = 2.69
Over 1.575%1.28
Over 2.551%1.86
Over 3.530%3.25
Under 1.525%3.50
Under 2.549%1.91
Under 3.570%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.5 = 9.5
Over 8.559%1.67
Over 9.547%2.15
Over 10.535%2.81
Under 8.541%2.10
Under 9.553%1.64
Under 10.565%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.563%-
Over 4.544%-
Under 3.537%-
Under 4.556%-
Match Events
11'Cheikh FallAssist: Jessy Benet
18'Jessy Benet(Penalty missed)
45'Abdourahmane Mbodj INJahyann Pandore out
45'Bryan Song INIbou Sane out
45+3'Cristian CastroFoul
58'Axel BambaDissent
61'Abdel Hakim Abdallah INSouleymane Basse out
61'Jeremy Sebas INBabacar Leye out
62'Urie-Michel Mboula INFlorian Miguel out
64'Cheikh FallAssist: Babacar Leye
67'Idris Mohamed INAbdoulaye Agne Ba out
68'Hacene Benali
75'Teji Savanier(Penalty)
76'Hacene Benali INAlexis Lefebvre out
79'Nathan Mbala INHamza Kadamani out
85'Teji SavanierFoul
Lineups
MetzPAU
5-3-2Coach: Thierry DebesAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Fischer
70B. Sarr
42C. Devenish
5J. Ruiz
4U. Mboula
98I. Mohamed3333A. Mbodj
8J. Deminguet
10T. Savanier
39B. Song
22N. Mbala
1B. Maubleu
39M. Tourraine
29G. Paquiez
23A. Briançon
88A. Bamba
97A. Abdallah
6C. Fall
21J. Benet
5L. Rajot
7H. Benali
18J. SebasMetz Substitutes
12A. Touré
38H. Kadamani79'for Nathan Mbala
2M. Colin
88A. Agne Ba67'for Idris Mohamed
3F. Miguel62'for Urie-Michel Mboula
18B. Munongo
21J. Pandore45'replaced by Abdourahmane Mbodj
7Ibou Sané45'for Bryan Song
61P. Sy
PAU Substitutes
10B. Brahimi
4A. Dodote
27L. Gadegbeku
11A. Lefebvre76'for Hacene Benali
9B. Leye61'for Jeremy Sebas
22R. Baheng
19T. Saettel
8S. Basse61'for Abdel Hakim Abdallah
30E. Salles
Match Stats
MetzPAU 69%Ball Possession31%
8Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots1
12Fouls9
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
726Total Passes332
674Passes Accurate250
8Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
MetzPAU1605Elo Rating 1594
1.68Attack 1.91
1.02Defense 1.97
23%Hit Rate 86%
12.4Shots per Game 14.2
4.7Shots on Target 5.5
3.6Corners per Game 3.5
1.7Cards per Game 3.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Metz- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PAU- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Metz1Wins · 25%Draws250%
PAU1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%1.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
26/04/2025PAUMetz21
04/01/2025MetzPAU00
08/04/2023PAUMetz11
01/10/2022MetzPAU10
Recent Form
Metz3W5D2L
23/10/2026
DunkerqueMetzMetz
Sochaux
DijonMetz
DunkerqueMetz11
D17/10/2026MetzSochaux32
W12/10/2026DijonMetz42
L19/09/2026Metz
Saint Etienne
MetzSaint Etienne22
D14/09/2026
RED Star FC 93Metz
RED Star FC 93Metz10
L05/09/2026Metz
Rodez
MetzRodez41
W29/08/2026
AnnecyMetz
AnnecyMetz11
D22/08/2026Metz
Laval
MetzLaval11
D14/08/2026
GrenobleMetz
GrenobleMetz00
D08/08/2026Metz
Guingamp
MetzGuingamp21
WPAU6W2D2L
23/10/2026PAUGrenobleGuingampPAUPAULavalPAUDunkerquePAUSochaux
PAUGrenoble21
W16/10/2026GuingampPAU12
W09/10/2026PAULaval32
W03/10/2026
ToulousePAU
18/09/2026ToulousePAU23
WPAUDunkerque20
W11/09/2026
MontpellierPAU
04/09/2026MontpellierPAU10
LPAUSochaux11
D28/08/2026RodezPAU
RodezPAU22
D21/08/2026PAU
Nancy
PAUNancy01
L14/08/2026DijonPAU
DijonPAU01
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 21 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20:12 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 |  Boulogne | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 | DWDLD |
| 14 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 15 |  Nantes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 | LDLDD |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 23:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Nancy | 10 | 12:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Reims | 10 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 10 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 14 | Rodez | 10 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | 13:21 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Ligue 2 matches
About the Metz vs PAU forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Metz and PAU in the Ligue 2 table
In the Ligue 2 table, PAU are 5th and Metz 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Metz 16-14, PAU 13-10. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.