Mgarr United vs Zurrieq Prediction

Mgarr United
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Zurrieq
25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
Mgarr United Rest
8 days
Zurrieq Rest
8 days

Mgarr United vs Zurrieq: the result in context

Zurrieq beat Mgarr United 1-0 in the Challenge League on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.75
X
26%3.45
2
26%3.90
Double Chance
1X
74%1.19
X2
52%1.91
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'S. Grech

Team Comparison

Mgarr UnitedMgarr United
ZurrieqZurrieq
1477Elo Rating 1487
1.32Attack 0.86
2.14Defense 2.33
59%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Mgarr UnitedMgarr United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ZurrieqZurrieq
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Mgarr UnitedMgarr United0Wins · 0%
Draws250%
ZurrieqZurrieq2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Challenge League18/04/2026
ZurrieqMgarr United
42
Challenge League01/02/2026
ZurrieqMgarr United
11
Challenge League05/04/2025
Mgarr UnitedZurrieq
02
Challenge League09/02/2025
ZurrieqMgarr United
11

Recent Form

Mgarr UnitedMgarr United
4W2D4L
17/10/2026
St. AndrewsMgarr United
02
W
10/10/2026
Mgarr UnitedVittoriosa Stars
20
W
19/09/2026
MelitaMgarr United
12
W
13/09/2026
Mgarr UnitedTarxien Rainbows
13
L
18/04/2026
ZurrieqMgarr United
42
L
12/04/2026
Mgarr UnitedGudja United
02
L
06/04/2026
Mgarr UnitedSanta Lucía
11
D
15/03/2026
Mgarr UnitedVittoriosa Stars
11
D
08/03/2026
Zebbug RangersMgarr United
02
W
04/03/2026
Mgarr UnitedMelita
3252
L
ZurrieqZurrieq
4W2D4L
17/10/2026
ZurrieqGudja United
10
W
11/10/2026
Santa LucíaZurrieq
11
D
19/09/2026
ZurrieqVictoria Hotspurs
12
L
12/09/2026
SirensZurrieq
10
L
18/04/2026
ZurrieqMgarr United
42
W
12/04/2026
Santa LucíaZurrieq
30
L
01/04/2026
ZurrieqMarsa
21
W
15/03/2026
ZurrieqZebbug Rangers
33
D
07/03/2026
MtarfaZurrieq
02
W
04/03/2026
ZurrieqNaxxar Lions
1121
L

League Table

Challenge League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows660015:6+918WWWWW
2Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United641113:9+413WWWLW
3Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions641112:8+413WDWWW
4Fgura UnitedFgura United633012:4+812DWDWD
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs640213:8+512WWWLL
6MelitaMelita63129:5+410WWLDL
7Mgarr UnitedMgarr United63129:7+210DLWWW
8ZurrieqZurrieq62134:7-37LWWDL
9St. AndrewsSt. Andrews62133:9-67LWLWD
10AttardAttard61329:906WLDDL
11Victoria HotspursVictoria Hotspurs62047:9-26LLLLW
12Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars61325:7-26DLDLW
13Santa LucíaSanta Lucía60513:5-25LDDDD
14SirensSirens61147:12-54LLLLD
15Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers61145:12-74DLLWL
16Gudja UnitedGudja United60062:11-90LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows615:618
2Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United613:913
3Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions612:813
4Fgura UnitedFgura United612:412
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs613:812
6MelitaMelita69:510
7Mgarr UnitedMgarr United69:710
8ZurrieqZurrieq64:77
9St. AndrewsSt. Andrews63:97
10AttardAttard69:96
11Victoria HotspursVictoria Hotspurs67:96
12Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars65:76
13Santa LucíaSanta Lucía63:55
14SirensSirens67:124
15Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers65:124
16Gudja UnitedGudja United62:110
PromotionRelegation

About the Mgarr United vs Zurrieq forecast

The forecasts for this Challenge League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mgarr United and Zurrieq in the Challenge League table

Mgarr United and Zurrieq are close in the Challenge League table, 7th and 8th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Mgarr United 9-7, Zurrieq 4-7. The full standings are on the Challenge League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mgarr United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Zurrieq have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.