Milsami Orhei vs Velež Prediction

Milsami Orhei
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Velež
Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei·D. Nicolson 16/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.57
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseHighGap+9.8%
Milsami Orhei Rest
4 days
Velež Rest
7 days

Milsami Orhei vs Velež: result, form and history

Velež beat Milsami Orhei 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.23
X
22%3.10
2
43%3.15
Double Chance
1X
57%1.31
X2
65%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.01
No
53%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.31 = 2.67
Over 1.5
70%1.44
Over 2.5
50%2.38
Over 3.5
21%4.50
Under 1.5
30%2.60
Under 2.5
50%1.52
Under 3.5
79%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

-5'Radu GînsariArgument
39'Aldin MešićFoul
40'Hennos AsmelashFoul
43'Decio NetoFoul
56'William FonkeuFoul
63'S. Chele INV. Luchita out
66'Vasile LuchitaFoul
75'P. Odubia INS. Izountouemoi out
76'D. Salcin INM. Besic out
80'Vasile LuchitaFoul
80'Vasile LuchitaFoul
83'A. MesicAssist: A. Spahic
85'Ajdin NukićFoul
86'A. Angelov INC. Silcenco out
86'D. Muringen IND. Sirbu out

Lineups

Milsami Orhei
5-3-2Coach: Alexei Savinov
Velež
4-4-2Coach: Ibro Rahimic
Filip Dujmović31F. Dujmović
Hennos Asmelash29H. Asmelash
Aleksandar Angelov4A. Angelov
Decio Neto34D. Neto
Dehninio Muringen24D. Muringen
Frederick Takyi30F. Takyi
William Fonkeu33W. Fonkeu
Christopher Nwaeze5C. Nwaeze
Sorin Chele11S. Chele
Kabamba Kalabatama28K. Kalabatama
Philip Odubia14P. Odubia
Faris Ribić1F. Ribić
Ajdin Nukić7A. Nukić
Ante Hrkać8A. Hrkać
Anes Omerović13A. Omerović
Said Duranović18S. Duranović
Nino Stojanović80N. Stojanović
Rafidine Abdullah6R. Abdullah
Andro Babić29A. Babić
Aldin Mešić11A. Mešić
Armin Spahic9A. Spahic
Đani Salčin10Đ. Salčin

Milsami Orhei Substitutes

13Vasile Luchita66'80'80'
21Samouil Izountouemoi75'replaced by P. Odubia
15David Sîrbu86'for D. Muringen
7Chiril Silcenco86'for A. Angelov
35Denis Vornic
10Radu Gînsari-5'
17Leonard Bulmaga

Velež Substitutes

83Mahir Bešić76'replaced by D. Salcin
22Elmin Mataradžić
66Faruk Setic
55Adin Bajrić
17Ayham Shhade
20Damir Halilović
38Dženan Puce
21Alan Pajević
88Leonid Ignatov

Team Comparison

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei
VeležVelež
1513Elo Rating 1498
1.41Attack 0.50
1.34Defense 1.90
17%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VeležVelež
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
VeležVelež0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei
1W3D6L
12/07/2026
Milsami OrheiDacia-Buiucani
01
L
09/07/2026
VeležMilsami Orhei
11
D
04/07/2026
PetrocubMilsami Orhei
50
L
27/06/2026
Milsami OrheiZimbru
00
D
17/05/2026
Milsami OrheiSheriff Tiraspol
00
D
09/05/2026
Dacia-BuiucaniMilsami Orhei
12
W
02/05/2026
Milsami OrheiPetrocub
03
L
26/04/2026
CSF BălțiMilsami Orhei
10
L
18/04/2026
ZimbruMilsami Orhei
31
L
11/04/2026
Sheriff TiraspolMilsami Orhei
31
L
VeležVelež
3W4D3L
09/07/2026
VeležMilsami Orhei
11
D
26/05/2026
ZrinjskiVelež
30
L
21/05/2026
VeležFK Sarajevo
23
L
16/05/2026
VeležRudar Prijedor
42
W
13/05/2026
VeležZrinjski
11
D
09/05/2026
PosušjeVelež
11
D
06/05/2026
ZrinjskiVelež
10
L
01/05/2026
VeležRadnik Bijeljina
10
W
25/04/2026
Zeljeznicar SarajevoVelež
00
D
21/04/2026
VeležSiroki Brijeg
30
W

Referee Profile

D. Nicolson85 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.88Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Nicolson4.00
Other referees4.11

4.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.11).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded

About the Milsami Orhei vs Velež forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Milsami Orhei and Velež have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.