Minnesota United II vs Sporting KC II Prediction

Allianz Field 09/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalHIGHModel100%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSTRONGModel72%SurpriseMedium
Minnesota United II Rest
15 days
Sporting KC II Rest
9 days

Minnesota United II vs Sporting KC II: the result in context

Minnesota United II beat Sporting KC II 4-3 in the MLS Next Pro on 9 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Minnesota United II have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.44
X
13%4.53
2
11%5.28
Double Chance
1X
89%1.13
X2
24%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.48
No
50%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.38 + 0.89 = 3.27
Over 1.5
82%1.07
Over 2.5
66%1.34
Over 3.5
45%1.88
Under 1.5
18%5.90
Under 2.5
34%2.80
Under 3.5
55%1.78
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'C. Derksen
14'M. CaldeiraAssist: J. Friedman
24'M. CaldeiraAssist: A. Kabia
31'A. Kabia
45'T. IkobaAssist: S. Donovan
46'Z. Loyo Reynaga INJ. Ortiz out
46'T. Haas INM. Rodriguez out
49'M. Rodriguez
53'T. PuttAssist: M. Caldeira
54'S. Vigilante INM. Bojang out
63'Z. Wantland INA. Cunningham out
63'J. Friedman INJ. Adebayo-Smith out
63'T. Putt INM. Harwood out
63'A. Kabia INH. Cruz out
65'N. Dang
67'S. Donovan ING. Quintero out
69'J. Farris
71'M. Bojang
80'J. Francka INS. Worcester out
82'T. IkobaAssist: J. Ortiz
86'M. Bojang INW. Maynes out
86'W. Maynes
90+7'A. Cunningham
90+11'M. Rodriguez

Team Comparison

Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II
Sporting KC IISporting KC II
1518Elo Rating 1299
2.34Attack 1.40
1.84Defense 0.00
54%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+219 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.27 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sporting KC IISporting KC II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II7Wins · 70%
Draws00%
Sporting KC IISporting KC II3Wins · 30%
4.3Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

MLS Next Pro23/03/2026
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
01
MLS Next Pro05/10/2025
Minnesota United IISporting KC II
31
MLS Next Pro09/08/2025
Minnesota United IISporting KC II
32
MLS Next Pro10/04/2025
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
24
MLS Next Pro23/09/2024
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
24
MLS Next Pro03/06/2024
Minnesota United IISporting KC II
34
MLS Next Pro28/04/2024
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
41
MLS Next Pro18/09/2023
Minnesota United IISporting KC II
32
MLS Next Pro20/08/2023
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
10
MLS Next Pro05/06/2022
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
12

Recent Form

Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II
5W0D5L
24/05/2026
Minnesota United IIColorado Rapids II
20
W
17/05/2026
Minnesota United IIHouston Dynamo FC II
1131
L
14/05/2026
Portland Timbers IIMinnesota United II
21
L
10/05/2026
Minnesota United IINorth Texas
02
L
02/05/2026
Minnesota United IISt. Louis City II
4020
W
26/04/2026
Minnesota United IINorth Texas
10
W
20/04/2026
Colorado Rapids IIMinnesota United II
12
W
13/04/2026
The TownMinnesota United II
10
L
23/03/2026
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
01
W
16/03/2026
Vancouver Whitecaps IIMinnesota United II
21
L
Sporting KC IISporting KC II
3W0D7L
30/05/2026
Real MonarchsSporting KC II
13
W
23/05/2026
Sporting KC IIAustin II
03
L
17/05/2026
North TexasSporting KC II
51
L
11/05/2026
Colorado Rapids IISporting KC II
13
W
07/05/2026
Sporting KC IIVentura County
02
L
04/05/2026
Sporting KC IITacoma Defiance
2242
L
26/04/2026
Sporting KC IIHouston Dynamo FC II
12
L
20/04/2026
Sporting KC IIVancouver Whitecaps II
32
W
11/04/2026
North TexasSporting KC II
5242
L
05/04/2026
Sporting KC IINorth Texas
14
L

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Mls Next Pro: Regular season — Group 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
3Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
4St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
5North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
6Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
7Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
3Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
4St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
5North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
6Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
7Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221

Mls Next Pro: Regular season — Group 6

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
3Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
8The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
10North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
3Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
8The TownThe Town2851:3642
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
10North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221
Promotion

About the Minnesota United II vs Sporting KC II forecast

The forecasts for this MLS Next Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Minnesota United II and Sporting KC II in the MLS Next Pro table

In the MLS Next Pro table, Minnesota United II are 3rd and Sporting KC II 6th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Minnesota United II 43-39, Sporting KC II 36-75. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.