Nafta vs Mura Prediction

Nafta
5-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Mura
A. Matkovic 01/08/2026
NaftaNafta
5-2
Finished
MuraMura

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseHighGap+11.5%
Nafta Rest
6 days
Mura Rest
7 days

Nafta vs Mura: result, form and history

Nafta beat Mura 5-2 in the 1. SNL on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 5 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.41
X
30%3.27
2
25%2.69
Double Chance
1X
75%1.40
X2
55%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.67
No
49%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.03 = 2.53
Over 1.5
71%1.26
Over 2.5
49%1.87
Over 3.5
27%3.14
Under 1.5
29%3.37
Under 2.5
51%1.85
Under 3.5
73%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Goal Disallowed - video reviewA. Jasaragic
21'J. ZoricaAssist: L. Pihler
31'A. Marosa
35'Goal Disallowed - video reviewK. Trdin
39'K. TrdinAssist: Z. Petrovic
45+1'A. Pihler
46'L. Kambic INA. Ferreira out
51'L. Pihler
53'A. Zalaznik
56'J. ZoricaAssist: A. Jasaragic
59'A. Jasaragic
62'M. Ascic INK. Kurtovic out
62'I. Jelic INA. Zeljkovic out
62'N. Kasalo INL. Bobicanec out
63'S. Butic INA. Kozar out
70'A. Korosec
71'L. Pihler INS. Omrani out
76'R. Pirtovsek
83'A. Zalaznik INF. Jevsenak out
84'K. Lavrencic INM. Ogwuche out
90'A. Jasaragic IND. Brumec out
90'J. Zorica INA. Micic out

Team Comparison

NaftaNafta
MuraMura
1581Elo Rating 1427
0.39Attack 0.99
2.49Defense 1.30
17%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+154 Elo
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

NaftaNafta
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MuraMura
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

NaftaNafta2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
MuraMura1Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Cup03/12/2025
MuraNafta
12
1. SNL05/04/2025
NaftaMura
42
1. SNL02/02/2025
MuraNafta
00
1. SNL28/09/2024
NaftaMura
00
1. SNL20/07/2024
MuraNafta
10

Recent Form

NaftaNafta
4W2D4L
26/07/2026
BravoNafta
03
W
17/07/2026
NaftaKoper
02
L
11/07/2026
NaftaFK Partizan
14
L
04/07/2026
NaftaBudapest Honved
03
L
31/05/2026
NaftaPrimorje
10
W
27/05/2026
PrimorjeNafta
00
D
22/05/2026
NaftaTriglav
11
D
17/05/2026
Brinje-GrosupljeNafta
21
L
10/05/2026
NaftaBeltinci
21
W
06/05/2026
BiljeNafta
01
W
MuraMura
3W2D5L
25/07/2026
MuraOlimpija Ljubljana
10
W
17/07/2026
CeljeMura
22
D
05/07/2026
BeltinciMura
41
L
04/07/2026
MuraFC Noah
11
D
26/06/2026
Sturm GrazMura
50
L
22/05/2026
RadomljeMura
32
L
17/05/2026
MuraMaribor
21
W
10/05/2026
PrimorjeMura
02
W
03/05/2026
MuraKoper
01
L
19/04/2026
MuraCelje
02
L

League Table

1. SNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KoperKoper1374223:11+1225WWDWL
2MariborMaribor1466221:14+724LLDWD
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana1464416:12+422WDWDL
4BravoBravo1355314:13+120DDLWW
5NaftaNafta1353518:16+218DDWLW
6CeljeCelje1245313:12+117DDWDL
7AluminijAluminij1335516:13+314DLLDW
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje1333715:25-1012DLLWL
9MuraMura1326514:25-1112DDDDL
10RadomljeRadomlje1215615:24-98DDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1KoperKoper1323:1125
2MariborMaribor1421:1424
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana1416:1222
4BravoBravo1314:1320
5NaftaNafta1318:1618
6CeljeCelje1213:1217
7AluminijAluminij1316:1314
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje1315:2512
9MuraMura1314:2512
10RadomljeRadomlje1215:248
Relegation

About the Nafta vs Mura forecast

As a derby, this 1. SNL meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nafta and Mura in the 1. SNL table

In the 1. SNL table, Nafta are 5th and Mura 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Nafta 18-16, Mura 14-25. The full standings are on the 1. SNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.