Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

Newcastle Jets
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Gamba Osaka
McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle·Ahmad Al Ali 13/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-9.4%
Newcastle Jets Rest
27 days
Gamba Osaka Rest
3 days

Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka: result, form and history

Gamba Osaka beat Newcastle Jets 3-1 in the AFC Champions League Elite on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%4.15
X
21%4.29
2
52%1.64
Double Chance
1X
48%2.13
X2
73%1.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.40
No
39%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.84 = 3.33
Over 1.5
80%1.07
Over 2.5
63%1.33
Over 3.5
42%1.92
Under 1.5
20%6.00
Under 2.5
37%2.83
Under 3.5
58%1.82
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'Nikos VergosAssist: Xavier Bertoncello
40'Yusei ToshidaAssist: Eli Adams
56'Xavier Bertoncello INJoe Lolley out
66'Tokuma SuzukiFoul
67'Will Dobson INEthan Debono out
68'Nikos Vergos INPatrick Wood out
70'Yusei Toshida INDeniz Hümmet out
70'Ryotaro Meshino INWelton out
71'Penalty confirmedDeniz Hümmet
73'Deniz HümmetAssist: Eli Adams
79'Tokuma Suzuki INRin Mito out
81'Zach Clough INJulian Recchia out
86'Patrick WoodTime wasting
86'WeltonAssist: Shuto Abe
88'Ethan DebonoFoul
90+2'Shuto Abe INShu Kurata out
90+2'Issam Jebali INTakashi Usami out
90+3'Takeru KishimotoFoul

Lineups

Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1Coach: Mark Milligan
Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Avg rating6.16
Avg rating7.05
J. Delianov6.41J. Delianov
J. Bertolissio5.822J. Bertolissio
J. Shaughnessy6.25J. Shaughnessy
T. Aquilina5.939T. Aquilina
D. Wilmering6.023D. Wilmering
M. Burgess6.314M. Burgess
W. Dobson5.628W. Dobson
Z. Schreiber6.36Z. Schreiber
Z. Clough5.710Z. Clough
X. Bertoncello6.543X. Bertoncello
N. Vergos7.59N. Vergos
J. Ichimori6.722J. Ichimori
T. Kishimoto6.215T. Kishimoto
S. Nakatani7.14S. Nakatani
S. Fukuoka7.32S. Fukuoka
S. Nakano6.847S. Nakano
S. Abe7.713S. Abe
T. Suzuki7.016T. Suzuki
E. Adams8.620E. Adams
I. Jebali6.711I. Jebali
R. Meshino6.68R. Meshino
Y. Toshida8.141Y. Toshida

Newcastle Jets Substitutes

11J. Lolley56'for Xavier Bertoncello6.2
52Nicholas Badolato
61Angus Reid
27Julian Recchia81'replaced by Zach Clough
64Jesse Hill
65Kaiden Walshe
24A. Nunes
40J. Baylis
54J. Goodwin
2A. Grant
8P. Wood68'for Nikos Vergos86'6.0
46E. Debono67'for Will Dobson88'6.1

Gamba Osaka Substitutes

21R. Hatsuse
1M. Higashiguchi
23D. Hümmet70'for Yusei Toshida73'7.7
10S. Kurata90+2'for Shuto Abe6.3
27R. Mito79'for Tokuma Suzuki6.3
67S. Sasaki
7T. Usami90+2'for Issam Jebali6.5
97Welton Felipe70'for Ryotaro Meshino86'7.3
17R. Yamashita
31Zhang Ao lin
28S. Fujiwara

Match Stats

Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka
38%Ball Possession62%
5Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots24
3Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal12
6Shots Inside Box17
3Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots5
10Fouls9
4Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves0
345Total Passes573
267Passes Accurate502
77%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
1540Elo Rating 1609
1.46Attack 1.87
0.00Defense 1.61
0%Hit Rate 34%
10.6Shots per Game 16.0
2.8Shots on Target 5.7
5.6Corners per Game 6.1
2.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
2W3D5L
15/09/2026
KashimaNewcastle Jets
71
L
21/07/2026
Preston LionsNewcastle Jets
32
L
16/05/2026
Newcastle JetsSydney
2141
L
09/05/2026
SydneyNewcastle Jets
11
D
25/04/2026
Newcastle JetsCentral Coast Mariners
40
W
17/04/2026
Melbourne VictoryNewcastle Jets
22
D
11/04/2026
Newcastle JetsAdelaide United
11
D
02/04/2026
MacarthurNewcastle Jets
32
L
22/03/2026
SydneyNewcastle Jets
12
W
14/03/2026
Newcastle JetsAuckland
12
L
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
3W2D5L
09/10/2026
KashimaGamba Osaka
20
L
03/10/2026
Kashiwa ReysolGamba Osaka
5343
L
23/09/2026
Gamba OsakaTokushima Vortis
50
W
20/09/2026
Gamba OsakaVissel Kobe
01
L
15/09/2026
Gamba OsakaCông An Nhân Dân
41
W
12/09/2026
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
02
L
06/09/2026
JEF United ChibaGamba Osaka
20
L
02/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiGamba Osaka
22
D
29/08/2026
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
00
D
26/08/2026
Gamba OsakaBiwako Shiga
20
W

Referee Profile

Ahmad Al Ali22 matches

4.11Cards per match
3.89Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ahmad Al Ali4.11
Other referees3.81

4.11 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.81).

Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

AFC Champions League Elite 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KashimaKashima330011:1+109WWW
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe33005:1+49WWW
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka32108:3+57DWW
4Johor Darul Takzim FCJohor Darul Takzim FC32106:1+57WWD
5Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan32106:3+37DWW
6Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga32016:3+36WWL
7Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol31116:3+34DWL
8SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG31119:8+14LDW
9Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen31112:204LDW
10Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors31114:5-14DLW
11Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân31024:7-33WLL
12Buriram UnitedBuriram United30212:3-12DLD
13RatchaburiRatchaburi30124:7-31DLL
14Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers30031:8-70LLL
15Port FCPort FC30032:10-80LLL
16Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets30034:15-110LLL

About the Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Elite cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Newcastle Jets and Gamba Osaka in the AFC Champions League Elite table

The table shows a wide gap: Gamba Osaka are 3rd in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Newcastle Jets sit 16th, 7 points behind. League goal record so far: Newcastle Jets 4-15, Gamba Osaka 8-3. The full standings are on the AFC Champions League Elite Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Newcastle Jets and Gamba Osaka have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.