Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra Prediction

Newroz
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Al Minaa Basra
16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Newroz Rest
7 days
Al Minaa Basra Rest
6 days

Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra: the result in context

Newroz beat Al Minaa Basra 2-0 in the Iraqi League on 16 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Newroz had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Al Minaa Basra.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.86
X
29%3.13
2
21%3.88
Double Chance
1X
78%1.19
X2
50%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.95
No
53%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 0.86 = 2.40
Over 1.5
68%1.35
Over 2.5
44%2.17
Over 3.5
25%4.05
Under 1.5
32%2.74
Under 2.5
56%1.59
Under 3.5
75%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'H. Oueslati
45+3'H. Oueslati

Team Comparison

NewrozNewroz
Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
1569Elo Rating 1477
0.93Attack 0.93
3.00Defense 2.24
56%Hit Rate 39%

Game State Tendencies

NewrozNewroz
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.1 in second half)
Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

NewrozNewroz2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Iraqi League02/04/2025
NewrozAl Minaa Basra
10
Iraqi League04/02/2025
Al Minaa BasraNewroz
15

Recent Form

NewrozNewroz
4W3D3L
09/10/2026
ZakhoNewroz
01
W
19/09/2026
Ghaz Al ShamalNewroz
00
D
14/09/2026
Al-Jolan SCNewroz
02
W
09/09/2026
NewrozMosul
30
W
04/09/2026
Naft MaysanNewroz
02
W
30/08/2026
NewrozDuhok
00
D
26/08/2026
Al TalabaNewroz
10
L
22/08/2026
GharrafNewroz
10
L
14/08/2026
NewrozAl Quwa Al Jawiya
33
D
01/06/2026
NaftNewroz
21
L
Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
3W4D3L
10/10/2026
Al Minaa BasraGhaz Al Shamal
20
W
18/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraDuhok
11
D
13/09/2026
Al KahrabaaAl Minaa Basra
21
L
09/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraNaft Maysan
11
D
05/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraNaft
03
L
31/08/2026
ErbilAl Minaa Basra
20
L
26/08/2026
Al Minaa BasraGharraf
30
W
20/08/2026
Al Minaa BasraZakho
21
W
15/08/2026
Al Zawra'aAl Minaa Basra
00
D
02/06/2026
Al ShortaAl Minaa Basra
00
D

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1283119:9+1027WLDWW
2NaftNaft1274114:5+925WDWWW
3NewrozNewroz1265117:5+1223DDWWD
4Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1263317:9+821LLLWW
5Al ShortaAl Shorta1256113:6+721DW
6Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1255216:12+420WWWDD
7ErbilErbil1254315:8+719DLLDW
8Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1244412:13-116DWLWD
9DuhokDuhok1236319:16+315LWLWD
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal123637:8-115DWWLD
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1236313:16-315DWWDD
12Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1227314:13+113DLDWD
13DiyalaDiyala1234515:18-313DWLDW
14ZakhoZakho123459:15-613DWLLL
15GharrafGharraf123458:14-613WDWDL
16MosulMosul1233613:20-712LDWLL
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1223715:21-69LDDLW
18Naft MaysanNaft Maysan121657:15-89DLLDL
19Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa121567:14-78LLLDL
20KarbalaKarbala1214711:24-137DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1219:927
2NaftNaft1214:525
3NewrozNewroz1217:523
4Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1217:921
5Al ShortaAl Shorta1213:621
6Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1216:1220
7ErbilErbil1215:819
8Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1212:1316
9DuhokDuhok1219:1615
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal127:815
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1213:1615
12Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1214:1313
13DiyalaDiyala1215:1813
14ZakhoZakho129:1513
15GharrafGharraf128:1413
16MosulMosul1213:2012
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1215:219
18Naft MaysanNaft Maysan127:159
19Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa127:148
20KarbalaKarbala1211:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Newroz and Al Minaa Basra in the Iraqi League table

In the Iraqi League table, Newroz are 3rd and Al Minaa Basra 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Newroz 17-5, Al Minaa Basra 12-13. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Newroz have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Newroz and Al Minaa Basra have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.