NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin Prediction

Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš, Koprivnica·Duje Strukan, Croatia 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+11.9%
NK Slaven Belupo Rest
8 days
NK Varazdin Rest
7 days

NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin: the result in context

NK Varazdin beat NK Slaven Belupo 4-1 in the HNL on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: NK Varazdin had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for NK Slaven Belupo.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Duje Strukan averages 5.17 cards a game, 0.70 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%2.46
X
25%3.25
2
51%2.67
Double Chance
1X
49%1.40
X2
76%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.67
No
46%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.78 = 2.83
Over 1.5
81%1.27
Over 2.5
57%1.85
Over 3.5
32%3.20
Under 1.5
19%3.50
Under 2.5
43%1.85
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.9 = 9.4
Over 8.5
62%1.66
Over 9.5
50%2.04
Over 10.5
39%2.67
Under 8.5
38%2.13
Under 9.5
50%1.69
Under 10.5
61%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
51%1.33
Over 4.5
31%1.74
Under 3.5
49%2.72
Under 4.5
69%1.92

Match Events

19'L. SkaricicFoul
26'I. CanjugaAssist: G. Sikosek
28'L. MamicAssist: G. Sikosek
29'L. Skaricic INN. Tepsic out
44'A. LatkovicAssist: I. Mamut
46'A. Jonsson INL. Bosnjak out
46'A. Adeshina INM. Dabro out
69'M. Marina INT. Duvnjak out
69'A. Latkovic INM. Vuk out
69'F. Maglica INL. Posinkovic out
71'I. NestorovskiAssist: M. Dabro
78'I. CanjugaAssist: M. Vuk
82'D. KovacicFoul
83'J. Mitrovic INA. Grgic out
83'L. Crepulja IND. Bosak out
85'I. Tavares INE. Uchegbu out
90+2'L. Banovec INP. Maric out

Lineups

NK Slaven Belupo
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Gregurina
NK Varazdin
4-2-3-1Coach: Nikola Safaric
Avg rating6.31
Avg rating7.11
Karlo Sentić5.630K. Sentić
Filip Krušelj5.318F. Krušelj
Dominik Kovačić5.94D. Kovačić
Ivan Cvetko5.95I. Cvetko
Itsuki Urata5.777I. Urata
Arnór Gauti Jónsson6.223A. Gauti Jónsson
Ljuban CrepuljaC7.021L. Crepulja
Josip Mitrović6.211J. Mitrović
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina6.222A. Rasaq Adeshina
Lovro Banovec6.38L. Banovec
Ilija Nestorovski8.390I. Nestorovski
Josip Silić7.033J. Silić
Frane Maglica7.323F. Maglica
Mario Mladenovski7.013M. Mladenovski
Luka Škaričić6.34L. Škaričić
Gregor Sikošek7.220G. Sikošek
Mario MarinaC6.324M. Marina
Ivan Canjuga9.328I. Canjuga
Aleksa Latković8.010A. Latković
Luka Mamić7.222L. Mamić
Iuri Tavares6.938I. Tavares
Ivan Mamut7.517I. Mamut

NK Slaven Belupo Substitutes

32Ivan Čović
13Ante Bilobrk
20Marko Petrović
88David Bosak83'for L. Crepulja6.6
99Filip Kutleša
16Leon Geci
24Leon Bošnjak46'for A. Jonsson6.0
27Alen Grgić83'for J. Mitrovic6.3
45Vito Papac
7Marko Dabro46'replaced by A. Adeshina7.2
28Patrik Marić90+2'for L. Banovec
29Lovre Lončar

NK Varazdin Substitutes

16Novak Tepšić29'for L. Skaricic6.5
1Oliver Zelenika
5Sven Lesjak
12Petar Bočkaj
30Luka Posinković69'for F. Maglica6.3
6David Puclin
7Matej Vuk69'for A. Latkovic7.3
8Tomislav Duvnjak69'for M. Marina6.5
11Emma Uchegbu
21Ivan Posavec
9Stipe Jurić
18Filipe Jose Quissequel

Match Stats

NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots24
6Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box16
7Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots7
8Fouls12
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
481Total Passes375
403Passes Accurate305
84%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
1513Elo Rating 1619
1.60Attack 0.39
0.81Defense 2.35
39%Hit Rate 17%
12.3Shots per Game 12.5
4.1Shots on Target 2.4
4.5Corners per Game 3.6
1.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin5Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL12/04/2026
NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
21
HNL31/01/2026
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
02
HNL25/10/2025
NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
13
HNL10/08/2025
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
31
HNL22/04/2025
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
01
HNL16/02/2025
NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
01
HNL10/11/2024
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
11
HNL24/08/2024
NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
20
HNL06/04/2024
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
01
HNL26/01/2024
NK VarazdinNK Slaven Belupo
12

Recent Form

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
2W1D7L
31/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
20
L
25/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSesvete
40
W
21/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoShakhtar Donetsk
22
D
16/07/2026
PaksNK Slaven Belupo
53
L
14/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima
13
L
10/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoDebreceni VSC
01
L
08/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoCsikszereda
31
W
04/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoZalaegerszegi TE
23
L
22/05/2026
NK OsijekNK Slaven Belupo
20
L
17/05/2026
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
14
L
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
8W0D2L
02/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
21
W
30/07/2026
FK JablonecNK Varazdin
20
L
23/07/2026
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
32
W
12/07/2026
Bihor OradeaNK Varazdin
13
W
10/07/2026
RadomljeNK Varazdin
01
W
04/07/2026
NK VarazdinCSKA 1948
10
W
02/07/2026
NK VarazdinFC Voluntari
21
W
27/06/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
21
L
23/05/2026
NK VarazdinIstra 1961
20
W
15/05/2026
VukovarNK Varazdin
02
W

Referee Profile

Duje Strukan175 matches

5.17Cards per match
4.96Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Duje Strukan5.17
Other referees4.47

5.17 cards a match, 0.70 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526WDWWL
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122LWWLW
3NK OsijekNK Osijek1262422:17+520WLDLD
4NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1254316:11+519DLLWD
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1153318:15+318DLWLW
6Istra 1961Istra 19611244421:18+316WDLWL
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113LWLWD
8RudesRudes1241715:27-1213WWLWD
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1232714:20-611LDWLL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica121477:20-137LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1226:1126
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1125:1422
3NK OsijekNK Osijek1222:1720
4NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1216:1119
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1118:1518
6Istra 1961Istra 19611221:1816
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1214:2513
8RudesRudes1215:2713
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1214:2011
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica127:207
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin forecast

The forecasts for this HNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NK Slaven Belupo and NK Varazdin in the HNL table

The table shows a wide gap: NK Varazdin are 4th in the HNL, while NK Slaven Belupo sit 7th, 6 points behind. League goal record so far: NK Slaven Belupo 14-25, NK Varazdin 16-11. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.