Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje Prediction

Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Celje
Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana·B. Mertik 28/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap-3.7%
Olimpija Ljubljana Rest
12 days
Celje Rest
3 days

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje: the result in context

Olimpija Ljubljana and Celje drew 1-1 in the 1. SNL on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee B. Mertik is among the more lenient referees we track, at 4.1 cards a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.45
X
26%3.30
2
35%2.61
Double Chance
1X
65%1.41
X2
61%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.63
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.36 = 2.83
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
54%1.80
Over 3.5
32%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
46%1.95
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'A. MarinAssist: D. Kojic
21'M. Ristic INL. Perea out
24'M. Zabukovnik
38'S. Seslar(Penalty)
49'L. Perea
52'A. Tutyskinas
61'M. Ivansek INP. Sirvys out
70'A. Marin INM. Brest out
70'D. Mitrovski INDiga out
70'K. Bendra INB. Lourenco out
72'B. Verbic INY. Dukuly out
73'B. Kramer INA. Kucys out
82'I. Tuci INF. Rose out
84'J. Urbancic

Team Comparison

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana
CeljeCelje
1610Elo Rating 1635
2.07Attack 0.70
1.76Defense 1.88
58%Hit Rate 17%
-Shots per Game 10.3
-Shots on Target 2.6
-Corners per Game 2.4
-Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CeljeCelje
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
CeljeCelje4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

1. SNL08/08/2026
CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
10
1. SNL15/04/2026
CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
20
1. SNL08/02/2026
Olimpija LjubljanaCelje
31
Cup04/12/2025
Olimpija LjubljanaCelje
10
1. SNL18/10/2025
CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
00
1. SNL03/08/2025
Olimpija LjubljanaCelje
05
1. SNL27/04/2025
CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
33
Cup24/04/2025
CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
21
1. SNL02/03/2025
Olimpija LjubljanaCelje
20
1. SNL03/11/2024
CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
01

Recent Form

CeljeCelje
3W3D4L
25/10/2026
Korotan PrevaljeCelje
02
W
22/10/2026
CeljeRed Bull Salzburg
22
D
18/10/2026
MariborCelje
00
D
15/10/2026
CeljeOmonia Nicosia
03
L
10/10/2026
CeljeAluminij
10
W
20/09/2026
MuraCelje
00
D
16/09/2026
Bayer LeverkusenCelje
20
L
12/09/2026
BravoCelje
21
L
06/09/2026
CeljeKoper
01
L
02/09/2026
AluminijCelje
02
W

Referee Profile

B. Mertik17 matches analysed

4.08Cards per match
3.84Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 7% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. SNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KoperKoper1374223:11+1225WWDWL
2MariborMaribor1366121:13+824LDWDW
3BravoBravo1355314:13+120DDLWW
4Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana1354415:12+319DWDLW
5NaftaNafta1353518:16+218DDWLW
6CeljeCelje1245313:12+117DDWDL
7AluminijAluminij1335516:13+314DLLDW
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje1333715:25-1012DLLWL
9MuraMura1326514:25-1112DDDDL
10RadomljeRadomlje1215615:24-98DDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1KoperKoper1323:1125
2MariborMaribor1321:1324
3BravoBravo1314:1320
4Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana1315:1219
5NaftaNafta1318:1618
6CeljeCelje1213:1217
7AluminijAluminij1316:1314
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje1315:2512
9MuraMura1314:2512
10RadomljeRadomlje1215:248
Relegation

About the Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje forecast

The forecasts for this 1. SNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Olimpija Ljubljana and Celje in the 1. SNL table

Olimpija Ljubljana and Celje are close in the 1. SNL table, 4th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Olimpija Ljubljana 15-12, Celje 13-12. The full standings are on the 1. SNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.