Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Prediction

Panathinaikos
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
CSKA 1948
Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens·M. Marchetti 05/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Panathinaikos Rest
6 days
CSKA 1948 Rest
5 days

Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948: the result in context

Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 5 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Panathinaikos tend to win more corners, 8.7 a game to 3.3 for CSKA 1948.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.22
X
14%5.67
2
13%13.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.03
X2
26%4.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.42
No
52%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 0.83 = 2.48
Over 1.5
72%1.22
Over 2.5
49%1.73
Over 3.5
27%2.75
Under 1.5
28%4.00
Under 2.5
51%2.08
Under 3.5
73%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'A. JagusicAssist: S. Andino
31'G. RusevAssist: H. Cuellar
50'H. CuellarTripping
60'F. Pellistri INV. Taborda out
67'A. Iliev INM. Diallo out
67'E. Camara INA. Gnezda Cerin out
67'S. Andino INA. Zaroury out
69'T. TsaprasTripping
74'H. Cuellar INE. Franco out
85'A. Jagusic INS. Kontouris out
85'T. Tsapras ING. Katris out

Lineups

Panathinaikos
4-2-3-1Coach: Jacob Neestrup
CSKA 1948
4-4-1-1Coach: Yuriy Vasev
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.78
Iñaki Peña6.91I. Peña
Triantafyllos Tsapras7.019T. Tsapras
Stefan de VrijC7.06S. de Vrij
Rick Van Drongelen8.255R. Van Drongelen
Georgios Kyriakopoulos7.077G. Kyriakopoulos
Pedro Chirivella7.54P. Chirivella
Etienne Camara7.222E. Camara
Facundo Pellistri6.628F. Pellistri
Adriano Jagušić7.38A. Jagušić
Santino Andino6.710S. Andino
Elmin Rastoder6.374E. Rastoder
Petar Marinov6.21P. Marinov
Diego Medina6.32D. Medina
Andre Hoffmann6.24A. Hoffmann
Lasha DvaliC7.93L. Dvali
Ognjen Gašević6.722O. Gašević
Frédéric Maciel7.367F. Maciel
Héctor Cuellar6.633H. Cuellar
Moataz Zemzemi7.28M. Zemzemi
Jules Meyer6.930J. Meyer
Georgi Rusev7.311G. Rusev
Atanas Iliev6.29A. Iliev

Panathinaikos Substitutes

20Vicente Taborda60'for F. Pellistri6.9
11Anass Zaroury67'for S. Andino6.6
16Adam Gnezda Čerin67'for E. Camara6.5
3Georgios Katris6.7
18Sotiris Kontouris85'for A. Jagusic6.3
12Lucas Cháves
70Konstantinos Kotsaris
5Ahmed Touba
44Panagiotis Biniaris
30Georgios Kyriopoulos

CSKA 1948 Substitutes

93Mamadou Diallo6.7
77Elias Franco74'for H. Cuellar6.6
13Dimitar Sheytanov
31Aleks Bozhev
6Egor Parkhomenko
15Fourat Soltani
96Dragan Grivić
14Kaloyan Strinski
19Marto Boychev
20Brian Sobrero
23Florian Krebs
34Petar Vitanov

Match Stats

PanathinaikosCSKA 1948
69%Ball Possession31%
8Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots19
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal10
8Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box8
6Blocked Shots7
9Fouls11
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
637Total Passes279
567Passes Accurate200
89%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
1803Elo Rating 1675
2.85Attack 3.93
2.23Defense 2.09
100%Hit Rate 83%
22.2Shots per Game 16.2
7.0Shots on Target 7.9
8.7Corners per Game 3.3
0.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+128 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
4W3D3L
30/07/2026
PanathinaikosPaks
22
D
23/07/2026
PaksPanathinaikos
12
W
15/07/2026
Rapid ViennaPanathinaikos
41
L
11/07/2026
PanathinaikosGrasshoppers
30
W
04/07/2026
AjaxPanathinaikos
13
W
01/07/2026
Helmond SportPanathinaikos
04
W
17/05/2026
PanathinaikosPAOK
22
D
13/05/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusPanathinaikos
10
L
10/05/2026
AEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
21
L
03/05/2026
PanathinaikosAEK Athens FC
00
D
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
5W4D1L
31/07/2026
CSKA 1948Arda Kardzhali
21
W
28/07/2026
CSKA 1948Spartak Trnava
5030
W
25/07/2026
CSKA 1948Botev Vratsa
21
W
22/07/2026
Spartak TrnavaCSKA 1948
00
D
17/07/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
22
D
07/07/2026
Železničar PančevoCSKA 1948
01
W
04/07/2026
NK VarazdinCSKA 1948
10
L
01/07/2026
CSKA 1948Maribor
33
D
29/06/2026
CSKA 1948FK Partizan
30
W
25/05/2026
CSKA 1948Levski Sofia
00
D

Referee Profile

M. Marchetti120 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Marchetti4.32
Other referees4.67

4.32 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos22007:2+56WW
2FC LuganoFC Lugano22008:4+46WW
3BrannBrann22006:2+46WW
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor22006:2+46WW
5TwenteTwente22005:1+46WW
6MonacoMonaco22005:1+46WW
7St. TruidenSt. Truiden22003:0+36WW
8HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split22003:1+26WW
9BrightonBrighton21104:0+44DW
10FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen21105:2+34DW
11Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova21104:2+24WD
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF21103:1+24DW
13AjaxAjax21013:2+13WL
14Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka21013:2+13WL
15AtalantaAtalanta21013:303LW
16SC BragaSC Braga21012:3-13WL
17GentGent21011:2-13LW
18SC FreiburgSC Freiburg21013:5-23LW
19FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland20203:302DD
20Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë20202:202DD
21RigaRiga20202:202DD
22FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda20114:5-11DL
23CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia20113:4-11DL
24FK JablonecFK Jablonec20112:3-11DL
25FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland20111:2-11LD
26AarhusAarhus20111:2-11DL
27PafosPafos20112:4-21DL
28Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian20111:3-21LD
29FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199920111:3-21DL
30GetafeGetafe20113:6-31LD
31Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty20112:6-41LD
32FC ThunFC Thun20020:2-20LL
33Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC20022:6-40LL
34KuPSKuPS20022:6-40LL
35Inter Club d'EscaldesInter Club d'Escaldes20021:5-40LL
36Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris20021:8-70LL
Conference League

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded

About the Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Panathinaikos have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. CSKA 1948 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.