Paysandu vs Ferroviária Prediction

Paysandu
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ferroviária
04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-9.7%
Paysandu Rest
7 days
Ferroviária Rest
6 days

Paysandu vs Ferroviária: result, form and history

Paysandu beat Ferroviária 1-0 in the Serie C on 3 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Ferroviária had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Paysandu.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.13
X
27%3.17
2
31%3.08
Double Chance
1X
69%1.28
X2
58%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.75
No
48%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.16 = 2.32
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
45%2.01
Over 3.5
25%3.42
Under 1.5
30%3.15
Under 2.5
55%1.75
Under 3.5
75%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'Caio Mello
44'Bruno Bispo
45+2'
45+3'Fernandinho
53'Rafael Carillho INIgor Henrique out
55'Fernandinho INRaoni out
57'
58'M. Thiago INJuninho out
65'Raoni
71'Marcinho
73'Albano INFau out
73'Maranhao INDenilson Chaves out
83'Marcinho INRadsley out
85'Jean Drosny
88'

Team Comparison

PaysanduPaysandu
FerroviáriaFerroviária
1522Elo Rating 1565
0.83Attack 1.03
1.87Defense 1.93
23%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

PaysanduPaysandu
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
FerroviáriaFerroviária
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PaysanduPaysandu1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
FerroviáriaFerroviária2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie C13/09/2026
FerroviáriaPaysandu
10
Serie C18/08/2026
FerroviáriaPaysandu
40
Serie B21/10/2025
FerroviáriaPaysandu
22
Serie B01/07/2025
PaysanduFerroviária
21

Recent Form

PaysanduPaysandu
3W1D6L
27/09/2026
Inter De LimeiraPaysandu
20
L
20/09/2026
PaysanduInter De Limeira
22
D
13/09/2026
FerroviáriaPaysandu
10
L
07/09/2026
PaysanduBrusque
12
L
29/08/2026
PaysanduMaringá
01
L
22/08/2026
ItuanoPaysandu
01
W
18/08/2026
FerroviáriaPaysandu
40
L
11/08/2026
PaysanduConfiança
21
W
27/07/2026
AmazonasPaysandu
21
L
12/07/2026
PaysanduGuarani Campinas
32
W
FerroviáriaFerroviária
5W4D1L
27/09/2026
BrusqueFerroviária
11
D
20/09/2026
FerroviáriaBrusque
32
W
13/09/2026
FerroviáriaPaysandu
10
W
05/09/2026
Inter De LimeiraFerroviária
33
D
29/08/2026
FerroviáriaConfiança
10
W
23/08/2026
Ypiranga-RSFerroviária
10
L
18/08/2026
FerroviáriaPaysandu
40
W
08/08/2026
FigueirenseFerroviária
22
D
25/07/2026
FerroviáriaMaranhão
00
D
12/07/2026
ItuanoFerroviária
13
W

League Table

Serie C 2026

First stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB19103628:19+933LLLLW
2BrusqueBrusque1995528:22+632WDWWD
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1986522:15+730DWDDL
4MaringáMaringá1986532:30+230LWLLW
5FlorestaFloresta1986522:20+230DLWDD
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1986522:20+230LWDDW
7PaysanduPaysandu1992826:27-129WWWDD
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1985620:15+529WLLLD
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1985627:24+329DWDWW
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1977534:24+1028DLDLW
11FigueirenseFigueirense1977519:22-328WDWDW
12MaranhãoMaranhão1976619:18+127LWWWD
13AmazonasAmazonas1975721:23-226DDDWW
14CaxiasCaxias1967617:16+125DLLWL
15ItuanoItuano1964918:21-322LLLWL
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda19631013:25-1221LLWLL
17BarraBarra1956821:21021WLWLL
18AnápolisAnápolis19541017:22-519DWLWW
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana19451014:27-1317LLLLD
20ConfiançaConfiança19341211:20-913LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB1928:1933
2BrusqueBrusque1928:2232
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1922:1530
4MaringáMaringá1932:3030
5FlorestaFloresta1922:2030
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1922:2030
7PaysanduPaysandu1926:2729
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1920:1529
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1927:2429
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1934:2428
11FigueirenseFigueirense1919:2228
12MaranhãoMaranhão1919:1827
13AmazonasAmazonas1921:2326
14CaxiasCaxias1917:1625
15ItuanoItuano1918:2122
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda1913:2521
17BarraBarra1921:2121
18AnápolisAnápolis1917:2219
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana1914:2717
20ConfiançaConfiança1911:2013

Second stage - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FerroviáriaFerroviária632110:7+311DWDDL
2Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira614111:1107LWDDW
3BrusqueBrusque614110:1007WDWWD
4PaysanduPaysandu61235:8-35WWWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FerroviáriaFerroviária610:711
2Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira611:117
3BrusqueBrusque610:107
4PaysanduPaysandu65:85
PromotionRelegation

About the Paysandu vs Ferroviária forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Paysandu and Ferroviária in the Serie C table

In the Serie C table, Ferroviária are 3rd and Paysandu 7th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Paysandu 26-27, Ferroviária 22-15. The full standings are on the Serie C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.