Pobeda vs Spartak Nalchik Prediction

Pobeda
4-3
Finished
HT 3-0
Spartak Nalchik
Stadion Spartak, Khasavyurt 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-10.9%
Pobeda Rest
5 days
Spartak Nalchik Rest
6 days

Pobeda vs Spartak Nalchik: result, form and history

Pobeda beat Spartak Nalchik 4-3 in the Second League - Group 1 on 26 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Pobeda had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Spartak Nalchik.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.96
X
23%3.22
2
28%3.38
Double Chance
1X
72%1.22
X2
51%1.65
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'M. Nasibov
44'M. Nasibov
45+2'I. Vagabov
71'
80'
90+1'
90+3'

Team Comparison

PobedaPobeda
Spartak NalchikSpartak Nalchik
1564Elo Rating 1462
1.72Attack 1.21
1.03Defense 1.31
61%Hit Rate 39%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+102 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

PobedaPobeda
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Spartak NalchikSpartak Nalchik
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Recent Form

PobedaPobeda
6W1D3L
20/09/2026
Dynamo Makhachkala IIPobeda
02
W
12/09/2026
PobedaAstrakhan
21
W
05/09/2026
IzberbashPobeda
12
W
29/08/2026
Rostov IIPobeda
40
L
22/08/2026
PobedaLugansk
30
W
12/08/2026
Volgar AstrakhanPobeda
20
L
08/08/2026
PobedaSevastopol
13
L
01/08/2026
FK Chayka 2Pobeda
02
W
25/07/2026
PobedaShahter Taganrog
43
W
04/07/2026
PobedaRostov II
22
D
Spartak NalchikSpartak Nalchik
3W2D5L
19/09/2026
DruzhbaSpartak Nalchik
21
L
12/09/2026
Angust NazranSpartak Nalchik
12
W
05/09/2026
Spartak NalchikNart Cherkessk
01
L
29/08/2026
SevastopolSpartak Nalchik
10
L
26/08/2026
Volgar AstrakhanSpartak Nalchik
30
L
16/08/2026
LuganskSpartak Nalchik
22
D
13/08/2026
Spartak NalchikAlaniya Vladikavkaz
4323
W
08/08/2026
Spartak NalchikRostov II
03
L
01/08/2026
KyzyltashSpartak Nalchik
23
W
25/07/2026
Spartak NalchikRubin Yalta
11
D

League Table

Second League - Group 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SevastopolSevastopol21162338:17+2150WDWWW
2Shahter TaganrogShahter Taganrog21144342:20+2246WWLLD
3Rostov IIRostov II21144345:16+2946WWDLD
4Rubin YaltaRubin Yalta2097429:19+1034WLWWL
5PobedaPobeda20103738:27+1133WLWLW
6KyzyltashKyzyltash2194836:30+631LWDWL
7Nart CherkesskNart Cherkessk2093827:19+830LWWDW
8Spartak NalchikSpartak Nalchik2077627:20+728LWLWL
9DruzhbaDruzhba2076723:25-227WDWLW
10LuganskLugansk2166924:30-624LLLLW
11AstrakhanAstrakhan20551022:32-1020LDLWD
12IzberbashIzberbash21601519:57-3818WDLDD
13Angust NazranAngust Nazran2044129:21-1216DLLWL
14FK Chayka 2FK Chayka 221421517:43-2614LWLWL
15Dynamo Makhachkala IIDynamo Makhachkala II21351319:39-2014DLLWL
16PSK DinskayaPSK Dinskaya00000:000LLDWD
#TeamMPGPts
1SevastopolSevastopol2138:1750
2Shahter TaganrogShahter Taganrog2142:2046
3Rostov IIRostov II2145:1646
4Rubin YaltaRubin Yalta2029:1934
5PobedaPobeda2038:2733
6KyzyltashKyzyltash2136:3031
7Nart CherkesskNart Cherkessk2027:1930
8Spartak NalchikSpartak Nalchik2027:2028
9DruzhbaDruzhba2023:2527
10LuganskLugansk2124:3024
11AstrakhanAstrakhan2022:3220
12IzberbashIzberbash2119:5718
13Angust NazranAngust Nazran209:2116
14FK Chayka 2FK Chayka 22117:4314
15Dynamo Makhachkala IIDynamo Makhachkala II2119:3914
16PSK DinskayaPSK Dinskaya00:00
PromotionRelegation

About the Pobeda vs Spartak Nalchik forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pobeda and Spartak Nalchik in the Second League - Group 1 table

In the Second League - Group 1 table, Pobeda are 5th and Spartak Nalchik 8th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Pobeda 38-27, Spartak Nalchik 27-20. The full standings are on the Second League - Group 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pobeda and Spartak Nalchik have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.