Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin·Bartosz Frankowski, Poland 24/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel38%SurpriseHighGap+7.6%
Pogon Szczecin Rest
9 days
Legia Warszawa Rest
6 days

Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa: the result in context

Legia Warszawa beat Pogon Szczecin 1-0 in the Ekstraklasa on 24 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Legia Warszawa had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Pogon Szczecin.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.80
X
29%3.25
2
44%2.45
Double Chance
1X
57%1.50
X2
73%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.74
No
41%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.39 = 2.77
Over 1.5
78%1.30
Over 2.5
54%2.00
Over 3.5
31%3.40
Under 1.5
22%3.20
Under 2.5
46%1.78
Under 3.5
69%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Leo BorgesDelay of game
62'N. Lawa INM. Agger out
62'M. Juwara INF. Ulvestad out
62'J. Nsame INK. Grosicki out
67'W. UrbanskiFoul
81'L. Zjawinski INJ. Zewlakow out
81'B. Kapustka INV. Bichakhchyan out
83'D. Szymanski INH. Arreiol out
88'R. Vinagre INA. Reca out
88'R. Deziel INZ. Arsenic out
90'P. Mukairu INF. Cuic out
90'K. Acosta INJ. Bieganski out
90+6'Z. ArsenicAssist: P. Wszolek

Lineups

Pogon Szczecin
4-2-3-1Coach: Oscar Garcia Junyent
Legia Warszawa
4-2-3-1Coach: Marek Papszun
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.84
Valentin Cojocaru8.377V. Cojocaru
Linus WahlqvistC6.628L. Wahlqvist
Dimitrios Keramitsis6.913D. Keramitsis
Attila Szalai7.341A. Szalai
Léo Borges6.94L. Borges
Patryk Dziczek7.216P. Dziczek
Kellyn Acosta6.33K. Acosta
Musa Juwara6.57M. Juwara
Natan Ława6.547N. Ława
Paul Mukairu6.518P. Mukairu
Jean-Pierre Nsame6.717J. Nsame
Ottó Hindrich8.289O. Hindrich
Kamil Piątkowski7.391K. Piątkowski
Rafał Augustyniak7.58R. Augustyniak
Damian Szymański6.74D. Szymański
Robert Deziel Jr.7.35R. Deziel Jr.
Wojciech Urbański6.253W. Urbański
Bartosz KapustkaC6.567B. Kapustka
Paweł Wszołek6.922P. Wszołek
Mileta Rajović6.229M. Rajović
Rúben Vinagre7.319R. Vinagre
Łukasz Zjawiński6.279Ł. Zjawiński

Pogon Szczecin Substitutes

33Alex Peskovic
23Benjamin Mendy
15Hussein Ali
75Andrzej Ossowski
25Mads Agger62'for N. Lawa6.3
8Fredrik Ulvestad62'for M. Juwara7.3
6Jan Biegański90'for K. Acosta
11Kamil Grosicki62'for J. Nsame6.9
55Maciej Wojciechowski
19Mor Ndiaye
10Filip Čuić90'for P. Mukairu
30Jacek Czaplinski

Legia Warszawa Substitutes

1Ivan Brkić
13Arkadiusz Reca88'for R. Vinagre6.7
24Zoran Arsenić88'for R. Deziel90+6'7.2
11Kacper Chodyna
20Jakub Żewłakow81'for L. Zjawinski6.5
6Henrique Arreiol83'for D. Szymanski6.3
77Filip Przybyłko
21Vahan Bichakhchyan81'for B. Kapustka6.5
23Michal Ševčík
99Samuel Kovacik

Match Stats

Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots25
5Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal10
7Shots Inside Box19
3Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots8
15Fouls14
1Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves4
340Total Passes477
262Passes Accurate406
77%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1634Elo Rating 1648
2.31Attack 1.18
2.03Defense 2.21
100%Hit Rate 31%
11.3Shots per Game 11.8
4.6Shots on Target 4.2
2.7Corners per Game 4.0
1.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa06/04/2026
Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
02
Cup30/10/2025
Legia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
1121
Ekstraklasa28/09/2025
Legia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
10
Cup02/05/2025
Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
34
Ekstraklasa28/03/2025
Legia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
00
Ekstraklasa20/09/2024
Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
10
Ekstraklasa02/03/2024
Legia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
11
Ekstraklasa27/09/2023
Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
34
Ekstraklasa07/05/2023
Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
21
Ekstraklasa22/10/2022
Legia WarszawaPogon Szczecin
11

Recent Form

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
4W2D4L
15/07/2026
Sturm GrazPogon Szczecin
10
L
11/07/2026
FenerbahçePogon Szczecin
40
L
08/07/2026
Pogon SzczecinChrobry Głogów
21
W
04/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
20
L
27/06/2026
BFC DynamoPogon Szczecin
03
W
23/05/2026
Pogon SzczecinGKS Katowice
11
D
15/05/2026
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
01
W
09/05/2026
JagielloniaPogon Szczecin
32
L
03/05/2026
Pogon SzczecinWisla Plock
30
W
25/04/2026
Cracovia KrakowPogon Szczecin
11
D
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
8W1D1L
18/07/2026
Legia WarszawaAris
02
L
18/07/2026
Legia WarszawaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
21
W
14/07/2026
Legia WarszawaRadomiak Radom
31
W
10/07/2026
Legia WarszawaAS Trencin
10
W
07/07/2026
Legia WarszawaHapoel Beer Sheva
31
W
02/07/2026
1. FC NürnbergLegia Warszawa
22
D
27/06/2026
Bayern München IILegia Warszawa
02
W
23/05/2026
Legia WarszawaMotor Lublin
40
W
17/05/2026
Lechia GdanskLegia Warszawa
12
W
10/05/2026
NiecieczaLegia Warszawa
01
W

Referee Profile

Bartosz Frankowski191 matches

4.26Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bartosz Frankowski4.26
Other referees4.39

4.26 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.39).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan12101132:11+2131WWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1384121:11+1028DDDWD
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1366123:11+1224DLDWW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1273220:12+824LWWWW
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1364316:15+122WDWLL
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1370625:19+621WLLWW
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1363424:20+421DWDWL
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1363420:18+221LWDLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1260617:18-118WWLLL
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1353514:19-518LWLLW
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1344519:22-316WDWWD
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1243512:18-615DLWLW
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1333715:21-612LLDWL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1318417:19-211LDDLD
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1332815:29-1411WLLLL
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1323817:25-89LWLLL
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa13301019:29-109WLWLL
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1322917:26-98LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1232:1131
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1321:1128
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1323:1124
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1220:1224
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1316:1522
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1325:1921
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1324:2021
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1320:1821
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1217:1818
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1314:1918
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1319:2216
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1212:1815
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1315:2112
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1317:1911
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1315:2911
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1317:259
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1319:299
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1317:268
Relegation

About the Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pogon Szczecin and Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Pogon Szczecin (4th) and Legia Warszawa (3rd) are level on 24 points. League goal record so far: Pogon Szczecin 20-12, Legia Warszawa 23-11. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.