Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction

24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Puszcza Niepołomice Rest
4 days
Lechia Gdansk Rest
5 days

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk: the result in context

Puszcza Niepołomice beat Lechia Gdansk 2-1 in the I Liga on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Lechia Gdansk had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Puszcza Niepołomice.

Puszcza Niepołomice have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.70
X
25%3.49
2
41%2.25
Double Chance
1X
59%1.53
X2
66%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.54 = 2.95
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
37%2.45
Under 1.5
20%4.50
Under 2.5
42%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'B. Szczepankiewicz
36'Goal Disallowed - video reviewM. Cholewiak
45+2'M. Cholewiak
46'O. Kocar INK. Wolowiec out
53'K. Iwao
58'H. Ivanov INJ. Adkonis out
58'J. Mena INT. Wojtowicz out
58'M. Glogowski INV. Blanuta out
60'A. TrubehaAssist: F. Nascimento
71'A. Trubeha INW. Kaminski out
71'K. Iwao INO. Gerstenstein out
80'K. Dodaj INI. Bambecki out
80'B. Szczepankiewicz INB. Sonko out
80'A. Gjoni
83'A. Gjoni INB. Kurzeja out
88'K. Kasolik
90+2'F. Nascimento INI. Pieprzyca out
90+5'

Team Comparison

Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice
Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk
1478Elo Rating 1489
1.22Attack 1.94
1.81Defense 0.42
39%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Cup29/10/2025
Puszcza NiepołomiceLechia Gdansk
1131
Ekstraklasa23/02/2025
Lechia GdanskPuszcza Niepołomice
02
Ekstraklasa16/08/2024
Puszcza NiepołomiceLechia Gdansk
41
Cup09/02/2021
Puszcza NiepołomiceLechia Gdansk
31

Recent Form

Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice
3W0D7L
19/10/2026
NiecieczaPuszcza Niepołomice
20
L
15/10/2026
Pogoń SiedlcePuszcza Niepołomice
13
W
11/10/2026
Puszcza NiepołomicePolonia Bytom
01
L
02/10/2026
Wieczysta KrakówPuszcza Niepołomice
43
L
18/09/2026
Warta PoznańPuszcza Niepołomice
32
L
11/09/2026
Puszcza NiepołomiceŁKS Łódź
12
L
01/09/2026
Wisła Płock IIPuszcza Niepołomice
02
W
29/08/2026
Puszcza NiepołomicePodbeskidzie
20
W
23/08/2026
Puszcza NiepołomiceUnia Skierniewice
01
L
17/08/2026
Arka GdyniaPuszcza Niepołomice
30
L
Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk
8W0D2L
18/10/2026
Lechia GdanskArka Gdynia
21
W
12/10/2026
Stal RzeszówLechia Gdansk
12
W
03/10/2026
Ruch ChorzówLechia Gdansk
13
W
19/09/2026
Lechia GdanskStal Mielec
71
W
13/09/2026
Lechia GdanskMiedz Legnica
21
W
04/09/2026
NiecieczaLechia Gdansk
21
L
01/09/2026
KluczborkLechia Gdansk
12
W
29/08/2026
Polonia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
24
W
21/08/2026
Lechia GdanskPogoń Siedlce
10
W
14/08/2026
Ruch ChorzówLechia Gdansk
10
L

League Table

I Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1364320:15+522DDWWW
2Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1371525:21+422WLWWW
3ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1364316:12+422DWWLL
4Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1363419:12+721LLLWW
5Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1263316:11+521WWWDD
6Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1356223:20+321WWWWD
7NiecieczaNieciecza1363420:18+221DLWDW
8Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1354419:12+719DDWLL
9Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1361620:17+319DLWLW
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1353518:24-618DLWLW
11Stal MielecStal Mielec1344517:27-1016WDLWL
12PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1329216:17-115DWLWD
13Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1243514:15-115WLLLW
14Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1242616:16014WLLLL
15Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1234513:15-213DLLLD
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1341815:19-413DWLWL
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole133378:16-812LLLWL
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1332815:23-811LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1320:1522
2Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1325:2122
3ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1316:1222
4Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1319:1221
5Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1216:1121
6Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1323:2021
7NiecieczaNieciecza1320:1821
8Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1319:1219
9Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1320:1719
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1318:2418
11Stal MielecStal Mielec1317:2716
12PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1316:1715
13Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1214:1515
14Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1216:1614
15Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1213:1513
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1315:1913
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole138:1612
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1315:2311
PromotionRelegation

About the Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk forecast

The forecasts for this I Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Puszcza Niepołomice and Lechia Gdansk in the I Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: Lechia Gdansk are 2nd in the I Liga, while Puszcza Niepołomice sit 16th, 9 points behind. League goal record so far: Puszcza Niepołomice 15-19, Lechia Gdansk 25-21. The full standings are on the I Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lechia Gdansk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.