Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence Prediction

City Stadium 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalGOODModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-10.2%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseHighGap+4.3%
Richmond Kickers Rest
2 days
Charlotte Independence Rest
2 days

Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence: the result in context

Charlotte Independence beat Richmond Kickers 2-1 in the USL League One on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Charlotte Independence had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Richmond Kickers.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%3.50
X
20%3.90
2
60%1.73
Double Chance
1X
40%1.91
X2
80%1.22
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'O. O'MalleyOG
12'T. PannholzerAssist: O. O'Malley
15'R. ManinFoul
42'J. SkinnerAssist: J. Bakero
44'T. FreemanUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'J. RomeroUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'M. Murana INM. Bolduc out
62'R. Manin INJ. Fuchs out
67'C. ManzingaFoul
68'D. Barnathan INA. Sasankhah out
72'H. HansonFoul
74'T. Freeman INLucca Dourado out
74'T. Pannholzer INZ. Vazquez out
74'C. DimickFoul
76'E. Martinez INJ. Amaya out
76'C. Manzinga INV. Ortiz out
78'H. Hanson IND. Moore out
80'A. SasankhahUnsportsmanlike conduct
82'S. Marou INStefano Pinho out
82'J. Bakero INF. Ngah out
90+2'J. AmayaFoul

Team Comparison

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
1361Elo Rating 1577
2.58Attack 2.18
0.90Defense 1.45
44%Hit Rate 59%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence5Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

USL League One26/07/2026
Charlotte IndependenceRichmond Kickers
31
USL League One21/09/2025
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
23
USL League One16/03/2025
Charlotte IndependenceRichmond Kickers
10
USL League One27/10/2024
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
01
USL League One15/09/2024
Charlotte IndependenceRichmond Kickers
01
USL League One16/07/2023
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
22
USL League One02/04/2023
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
12
USL League One18/03/2023
Charlotte IndependenceRichmond Kickers
00
USL League One09/07/2022
Charlotte IndependenceRichmond Kickers
11
USL League One12/06/2022
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
40

Recent Form

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
2W2D6L
17/09/2026
Westchester SCRichmond Kickers
52
L
13/09/2026
Richmond KickersChattanooga Red Wolves
11
D
03/09/2026
Fort WayneRichmond Kickers
20
L
30/08/2026
Richmond KickersForward Madison
12
L
23/08/2026
Richmond KickersPortland Hearts of Pine
11
D
17/08/2026
Union OmahaRichmond Kickers
51
L
06/08/2026
Richmond KickersNY Cosmos
20
W
02/08/2026
Richmond KickersAlta
32
W
26/07/2026
Charlotte IndependenceRichmond Kickers
31
L
19/07/2026
Richmond KickersSpokane Velocity
02
L
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
6W2D2L
17/09/2026
BoiseCharlotte Independence
11
D
13/09/2026
Charlotte IndependenceWestchester SC
54
W
06/09/2026
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
20
L
03/09/2026
Charlotte IndependencePortland Hearts of Pine
32
W
29/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceAlta
50
W
23/08/2026
Forward MadisonCharlotte Independence
11
D
16/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
31
W
13/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceHartford Athletic
24
L
09/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph
10
W
02/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceOne Knoxville
31
W

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Richmond Kickers and Charlotte Independence in the USL League One table

The table shows a wide gap: Charlotte Independence are 1st in the USL League One, while Richmond Kickers sit 17th, 40 points behind. League goal record so far: Richmond Kickers 37-65, Charlotte Independence 74-46. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.