Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti Prediction

Samtredia
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Aragvi Dusheti
Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel81%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Samtredia Rest
7 days
Aragvi Dusheti Rest
6 days

Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti: the result in context

Aragvi Dusheti beat Samtredia 1-0 in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Samtredia had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Aragvi Dusheti.

Samtredia have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.25
X
16%5.20
2
9%8.95
Double Chance
1X
91%1.03
X2
25%3.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'E. Opongi INI. Zaridze out
32'I. Zaridze
35'V. Lazarevs
62'S. Suleimani INT. Bzekalava out
63'T. Odikadze INT. Chikovani out
63'D. Gvasalia INL. Gogitadze out
77'S. Dvalishvili INL. Kobakhidze out
77'P. Antwi ING. Pipia out
78'G. Kveladze INL. Patarkatsishvili out
84'T. BzekalavaAssist: L. Kobakhidze
85'B. Lopez INE. Barrios out
90+1'G. Mandzhgaladze
90+4'D. Dobranskyi

Team Comparison

SamtrediaSamtredia
Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti
1514Elo Rating 1447
1.45Attack 0.76
2.17Defense 1.91
34%Hit Rate 39%

Game State Tendencies

SamtrediaSamtredia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

SamtrediaSamtredia3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti1Wins · 25%
3.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Erovnuli Liga 208/08/2026
Aragvi DushetiSamtredia
24
Erovnuli Liga 206/05/2026
SamtrediaAragvi Dusheti
20
Erovnuli Liga 207/03/2026
Aragvi DushetiSamtredia
21
David Kipiani Cup21/07/2024
Aragvi DushetiSamtredia
02

Recent Form

SamtrediaSamtredia
8W0D2L
10/10/2026
SamtrediaSioni
30
W
26/09/2026
SamtrediaRustavi
12
L
20/09/2026
SamtrediaMerani Martvili
50
W
16/09/2026
Kolkheti PotiSamtredia
10
L
12/09/2026
SamtrediaGareji
61
W
07/09/2026
TelaviSamtredia
03
W
02/09/2026
SamtrediaFC Iberia 1999
20
W
28/08/2026
SamtrediaOdishi 1919
30
W
22/08/2026
ShturmiSamtredia
01
W
15/08/2026
SamtrediaGori
10
W
Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti
3W1D6L
10/10/2026
Aragvi DushetiTelavi
14
L
20/09/2026
SioniAragvi Dusheti
12
W
16/09/2026
Aragvi DushetiOdishi 1919
01
L
12/09/2026
Merani MartviliAragvi Dusheti
31
L
06/09/2026
Aragvi DushetiShturmi
34
L
30/08/2026
Kolkheti PotiAragvi Dusheti
11
D
26/08/2026
GagraAragvi Dusheti
4030
L
22/08/2026
Aragvi DushetiGori
10
W
15/08/2026
GarejiAragvi Dusheti
02
W
08/08/2026
Aragvi DushetiSamtredia
24
L

League Table

Erovnuli Liga 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GarejiGareji31159737:33+454LDWLL
2ShturmiShturmi311310834:30+449LWLWW
3TelaviTelavi311211835:31+447LDLWD
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili311271236:40-443WLWLL
5SamtrediaSamtredia311341455:43+1243WLLWW
6Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti311171332:41-940DDWLW
7Odishi 1919Odishi 1919311091233:41-839DWLWD
8SioniSioni319101236:38-237DLWLL
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti318111242:36+635WDWLD
10GoriGori318101330:37-734DWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1GarejiGareji3137:3354
2ShturmiShturmi3134:3049
3TelaviTelavi3135:3147
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3136:4043
5SamtrediaSamtredia3155:4343
6Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti3132:4140
7Odishi 1919Odishi 19193133:4139
8SioniSioni3136:3837
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3142:3635
10GoriGori3130:3734
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About the Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti forecast

The forecasts for this Erovnuli Liga 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Samtredia and Aragvi Dusheti in the Erovnuli Liga 2 table

Samtredia and Aragvi Dusheti are close in the Erovnuli Liga 2 table, 5th and 6th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Samtredia 55-43, Aragvi Dusheti 32-41. The full standings are on the Erovnuli Liga 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.