San Marcos de Arica vs Magallanes Prediction

Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
San Marcos de Arica Rest
20 days
Magallanes Rest
15 days

San Marcos de Arica vs Magallanes: the result in context

San Marcos de Arica beat Magallanes 2-0 in the Primera B on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.18
X
27%3.20
2
28%3.00
Double Chance
1X
72%1.32
X2
55%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.67
No
53%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 0.99 = 2.28
Over 1.5
65%1.27
Over 2.5
38%1.85
Over 3.5
18%3.15
Under 1.5
35%3.40
Under 2.5
62%1.85
Under 3.5
82%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'G. Cubillos
33'C. Rencoret
36'A. Walters
41'C. Melivilu Fuentes
46'E. Benavides
52'C. Meneses
59'S. Coronel INF. Yanez out
59'M. Fredes INE. Neira out
68'Y. M. Aguila Bastias
69'C. Rencoret INC. Guerra out
69'E. Benavides INM. Iturra out
69'A. Maidana ING. Reyes out
70'F. Peraza INM. Alegre out
70'J. Quiroz INM. Osorio out
75'A. Walters
75'A. Walters
77'A. Barboza
82'A. Toledo INJ. James out
83'C. Melivilu Fuentes INN. Zedan out
83'J. Rivera INA. Cazula out
84'J. James
87'
87'M. Alegre
87'E. Neira
90+4'

Team Comparison

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
MagallanesMagallanes
1473Elo Rating 1466
1.29Attack 1.11
1.98Defense 1.50
58%Hit Rate 50%

Game State Tendencies

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MagallanesMagallanes
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
MagallanesMagallanes2Wins · 28%
2.4Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera B02/03/2026
MagallanesSan Marcos de Arica
11
Primera B29/07/2025
San Marcos de AricaMagallanes
22
Primera B07/03/2025
MagallanesSan Marcos de Arica
01
Primera B31/08/2024
San Marcos de AricaMagallanes
01
Primera B20/04/2024
MagallanesSan Marcos de Arica
02
Primera B22/08/2021
San Marcos de AricaMagallanes
12
Primera B04/04/2021
MagallanesSan Marcos de Arica
13

Recent Form

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
3W2D5L
06/07/2026
Deportes LimacheSan Marcos de Arica
41
L
27/06/2026
San Marcos de AricaCoquimbo Unido
01
L
20/06/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Limache
13
L
06/06/2026
San LuisSan Marcos de Arica
10
L
31/05/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Temuco
01
L
24/05/2026
D. Puerto MonttSan Marcos de Arica
02
W
17/05/2026
San Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
11
D
12/05/2026
Curico UnidoSan Marcos de Arica
22
D
05/05/2026
San Marcos de AricaRecoleta
10
W
25/04/2026
Deportes CopiapoSan Marcos de Arica
03
W
MagallanesMagallanes
2W1D7L
11/07/2026
MagallanesA. Italiano
01
L
04/07/2026
MagallanesPalestino
12
L
27/06/2026
A. ItalianoMagallanes
21
L
20/06/2026
PalestinoMagallanes
41
L
07/06/2026
AntofagastaMagallanes
00
D
31/05/2026
MagallanesDeportes Iquique
43
W
25/05/2026
San LuisMagallanes
21
L
16/05/2026
MagallanesRecoleta
32
W
09/05/2026
D. Puerto MonttMagallanes
20
L
03/05/2026
MagallanesDeportes Copiapo
23
L

League Table

Primera B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CobreloaCobreloa29159552:30+2254WWLWW
2San LuisSan Luis29159544:30+1454DWWWW
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers29148748:32+1650WWLLL
4AntofagastaAntofagasta29139751:26+2548WDWWL
5MagallanesMagallanes29137945:44+146LLWWW
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica291110835:28+743WDLWW
7RecoletaRecoleta29119941:43-242DLLWD
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo291181043:42+141DLWWW
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola291161234:37-339LWLLD
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique29911942:33+938WDWWW
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt291151329:36-738WDLLL
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco30991246:45+136LLDWL
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido308101230:47-1734WLDWL
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz294121329:43-1424DDLLD
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe29581619:53-3423LDLLL
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca29561828:47-1921LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CobreloaCobreloa2952:3054
2San LuisSan Luis2944:3054
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers2948:3250
4AntofagastaAntofagasta2951:2648
5MagallanesMagallanes2945:4446
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2935:2843
7RecoletaRecoleta2941:4342
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2943:4241
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola2934:3739
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique2942:3338
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt2929:3638
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco3046:4536
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido3030:4734
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz2929:4324
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe2919:5323
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca2928:4721

About the San Marcos de Arica vs Magallanes forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Marcos de Arica and Magallanes in the Primera B table

Magallanes and San Marcos de Arica are close in the Primera B table, 5th and 6th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: San Marcos de Arica 35-28, Magallanes 45-44. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Marcos de Arica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.