San Martin Formosa vs Atenas Prediction

San Martin Formosa
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Atenas
Estadio 17 de Octubre, Formosa 04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
San Martin Formosa Rest
6 days
Atenas Rest
6 days

San Martin Formosa vs Atenas: the result in context

San Martin Formosa and Atenas drew 1-1 in the Torneo Federal A on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

San Martin Formosa have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.60
X
26%3.33
2
16%5.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.10
X2
42%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.31
No
62%1.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 0.65 = 2.01
Over 1.5
62%1.44
Over 2.5
37%2.36
Over 3.5
19%4.40
Under 1.5
38%2.54
Under 2.5
63%1.51
Under 3.5
81%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'
34'
65'Nicolas Castro
67'
67'Mauro siergiejuk
89'
90+3'

Lineups

San Martin Formosa
Atenas
Coach: G. Leva

San Martin Formosa Starting XI

11G. Alegre
1K. Humeler
9M. Siergiejuk67'
2O. Piris
10G. Núñez
6D. Leiva
3A. Griego
4B. Finardi
7L. Ceratto
5M. Bobadilla
8R. Tapia

Atenas Starting XI

1F. Perez
2A. Arcando
5I. Castro
11N. Castro65'
3V. Duco
4G. Guzman
9A. Mainero
10F. Quiroga
8M. Rosales
7M. Vera
6Augusto Suarez

San Martin Formosa Substitutes

19A. Aquino
17E. Cuevas
15F. Illanes Machuca
14Matias Leguizamon
20A. Lopez
12P. Morichi
18B. Peralta
16R. Riquelme
13L. Sanchez

Atenas Substitutes

18E. Gomez
20D. Haseney
12Mateo Ledesma
15M. Martínez
19P. Oballes
13T. Pagliaricci
16M. Rivadero
17F. Schiavoni
14J. Barrera

Match Stats

San Martin FormosaAtenas
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
AtenasAtenas
1622Elo Rating 1518
1.13Attack 1.00
2.58Defense 1.77
44%Hit Rate 27%
14.0Shots per Game 8.6
5.4Shots on Target 2.8
4.7Corners per Game 4.9
0.8Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AtenasAtenas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa4Wins · 100%
Draws00%
AtenasAtenas0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A28/09/2026
AtenasSan Martin Formosa
01
Torneo Federal A16/11/2025
San Martin FormosaAtenas
31
Torneo Federal A08/11/2025
AtenasSan Martin Formosa
01
Torneo Federal A01/09/2024
San Martin FormosaAtenas
20

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Seeded
Cipolletti
Seeded
San Martin Formosa
Seeded
Alvarado
Seeded
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Seeded
Cipolletti
Seeded
San Martin Formosa
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the San Martin Formosa vs Atenas forecast

As a knockout tie in the Torneo Federal A, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Martin Formosa and Atenas in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, San Martin Formosa are 4th and Atenas 18th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: San Martin Formosa 25-19, Atenas 12-13. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.