San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento Resistencia Prediction

17 De Octubre, Formosa 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel100%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalHIGHModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
San Martin Formosa Rest
7 days
Sarmiento Resistencia Rest
7 days

San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento Resistencia: the result in context

San Martin Formosa beat Sarmiento Resistencia 3-0 in the Torneo Federal A on 21 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: San Martin Formosa had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sarmiento Resistencia.

San Martin Formosa have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.47
X
14%3.90
2
13%6.08
Double Chance
1X
87%1.09
X2
27%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.83
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.27 + 0.76 = 3.03
Over 1.5
81%1.20
Over 2.5
62%1.72
Over 3.5
39%2.74
Under 1.5
19%3.70
Under 2.5
38%1.96
Under 3.5
61%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'M. Siergiejuk
32'D. Leiva
36'
47'R. Tapia
59'
66'

Team Comparison

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia
1642Elo Rating 1370
1.50Attack 0.46
2.64Defense 1.04
64%Hit Rate 19%
12.1Shots per Game 11.6
4.5Shots on Target 4.0
4.8Corners per Game 5.3
1.2Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+272 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A18/04/2026
Sarmiento ResistenciaSan Martin Formosa
11
Torneo Federal A13/07/2025
Sarmiento ResistenciaSan Martin Formosa
11
Torneo Federal A10/05/2025
San Martin FormosaSarmiento Resistencia
50
Torneo Federal A15/06/2024
Sarmiento ResistenciaSan Martin Formosa
01
Torneo Federal A21/04/2024
San Martin FormosaSarmiento Resistencia
20
Torneo Federal A01/10/2023
Sarmiento ResistenciaSan Martin Formosa
12
Torneo Federal A02/08/2023
San Martin FormosaSarmiento Resistencia
50
Torneo Federal A11/06/2023
Sarmiento ResistenciaSan Martin Formosa
10
Torneo Federal A16/04/2023
San Martin FormosaSarmiento Resistencia
10
Torneo Federal A09/10/2022
San Martin FormosaSarmiento Resistencia
10

Recent Form

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
5W2D3L
14/06/2026
Boca UnidosSan Martin Formosa
31
L
07/06/2026
San Martin FormosaTucuman Central
32
W
25/05/2026
Defensores de VilelasSan Martin Formosa
23
W
17/05/2026
Bartolomé MitreSan Martin Formosa
20
L
10/05/2026
San Martin FormosaSarmiento de La Banda
42
W
03/05/2026
Juventud AntonianaSan Martin Formosa
03
W
26/04/2026
San Martin FormosaSol de América
10
W
18/04/2026
Sarmiento ResistenciaSan Martin Formosa
11
D
12/04/2026
San Martin FormosaBoca Unidos
11
D
05/04/2026
Tucuman CentralSan Martin Formosa
20
L
Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia
1W5D4L
14/06/2026
Sarmiento ResistenciaDefensores de Vilelas
20
W
06/06/2026
Bartolomé MitreSarmiento Resistencia
20
L
31/05/2026
Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento de La Banda
01
L
23/05/2026
Juventud AntonianaSarmiento Resistencia
20
L
17/05/2026
Sol de AméricaSarmiento Resistencia
30
L
03/05/2026
Sarmiento ResistenciaBoca Unidos
11
D
25/04/2026
Tucuman CentralSarmiento Resistencia
11
D
18/04/2026
Sarmiento ResistenciaSan Martin Formosa
11
D
14/04/2026
Defensores de VilelasSarmiento Resistencia
22
D
05/04/2026
Sarmiento ResistenciaBartolomé Mitre
00
D

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento Resistencia forecast

The forecasts for this Torneo Federal A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Martin Formosa and Sarmiento Resistencia in the Torneo Federal A table

The table shows a wide gap: San Martin Formosa are 4th in the Torneo Federal A, while Sarmiento Resistencia sit 35th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: San Martin Formosa 25-19, Sarmiento Resistencia 12-23. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Martin Formosa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.