San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro Prediction

San Martin Tucuman
3-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Almagro
Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
San Martin Tucuman Rest
7 days
Almagro Rest
8 days

San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro: result, form and history

San Martin Tucuman beat Almagro 3-0 in the Primera Nacional on 12 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Almagro had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for San Martin Tucuman.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.62
X
34%3.20
2
19%6.11
Double Chance
1X
81%1.09
X2
53%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.57
No
62%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 0.75 = 1.95
Over 1.5
55%1.57
Over 2.5
30%2.75
Over 3.5
14%5.55
Under 1.5
45%2.27
Under 2.5
70%1.40
Under 3.5
86%1.12
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'G. Carabajal
22'J. Marchioni
37'A. VeliezAssist: B. Cabrera
45'L. Arfaras
46'J. Vitale INM. Cortave out
46'J. Marchioni INM. Laba out
46'E. Martinez INT. Dornell out
47'L. Arfaras
58'J. Bustos INC. Salto out
60'L. Arfaras IND. Diellos out
72'B. Cabrera ING. Monroy out
72'A. Veliez ING. Rodriguez out
72' INP. Palacio out
80'A. Graneros INL. Rodriguez out
88'G. Carabajal

Lineups

San Martin Tucuman
Coach: Andres Yllana
Almagro
Coach: Carlos Mayor

San Martin Tucuman Starting XI

1N. Manganelli
4V. Salazar
2N. Ferreyra
6E. Parnisari
3R. Ayala
7A. Veliez37'72'replaced by G. Rodriguez
5S. Brinone
8A. Graneros80'replaced by L. Rodriguez
10G. Carabajal19'88'
9L. Arfaras45'47'60'replaced by D. Diellos
11B. Cabrera72'replaced by G. Monroy

Almagro Starting XI

1E. Gonzalez
4G. Asis
2J. Vitale46'replaced by M. Cortave
6L. Busto
3E. Silcan
8J. Bustos58'replaced by C. Salto
5J. Marchioni22'46'replaced by M. Laba
10F. Bustamante
11T. Macies
7J. Orlando
9E. Martinez46'replaced by T. Dornell

San Martin Tucuman Substitutes

12D. Sand
13G. Rodriguez72'for A. Veliez
14N. Gallardo
15N. Castro
16J. Juarez
17L. Rodriguez80'for A. Graneros
18G. Monroy72'for B. Cabrera
19G. Rodriguez72'for A. Veliez
20D. Diellos60'for L. Arfaras

Almagro Substitutes

12J. P. Zozaya
13M. Cortave46'for J. Vitale
14S. Chamorro
15N. Tolosa
16M. Laba46'for J. Marchioni
17J. Fernandes
20T. Dornell46'for E. Martinez
19P. Palacio72'
18C. Salto58'for J. Bustos

Team Comparison

San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
AlmagroAlmagro
1554Elo Rating 1507
1.40Attack 1.22
1.53Defense 1.77
39%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AlmagroAlmagro
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman5Wins · 50%
Draws550%
AlmagroAlmagro0Wins · 0%
1.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional21/02/2026
AlmagroSan Martin Tucuman
01
Primera Nacional14/06/2025
San Martin TucumanAlmagro
11
Primera Nacional08/02/2025
AlmagroSan Martin Tucuman
00
Primera Nacional23/07/2023
AlmagroSan Martin Tucuman
00
Primera Nacional19/03/2023
San Martin TucumanAlmagro
10
Primera Nacional19/03/2022
San Martin TucumanAlmagro
20
Primera Nacional09/02/2020
San Martin TucumanAlmagro
11
Primera Nacional25/10/2019
AlmagroSan Martin Tucuman
01
Primera Nacional17/03/2018
AlmagroSan Martin Tucuman
11
Primera Nacional11/06/2017
AlmagroSan Martin Tucuman
03

Recent Form

San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
3W2D5L
05/07/2026
PatronatoSan Martin Tucuman
01
W
20/06/2026
TemperleySan Martin Tucuman
11
D
13/06/2026
ColegialesSan Martin Tucuman
20
L
07/06/2026
San Martin TucumanQuilmes
00
D
31/05/2026
MidlandSan Martin Tucuman
20
L
25/05/2026
San Martin TucumanAtlanta
01
L
17/05/2026
Gimnasia Y TiroSan Martin Tucuman
10
L
13/05/2026
San Martin TucumanGimnasia Jujuy
20
W
09/05/2026
BanfieldSan Martin Tucuman
5141
L
03/05/2026
San Martin TucumanAtletico DE Rafaela
21
W
AlmagroAlmagro
5W2D3L
04/07/2026
AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
10
W
20/06/2026
AlmagroAtlanta
20
W
13/06/2026
AlmagroAgropecuario
21
W
07/06/2026
Tristan SuarezAlmagro
00
D
31/05/2026
AlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
20
W
24/05/2026
Chacarita JuniorsAlmagro
10
L
17/05/2026
AlmagroSan Martin S.J.
12
L
12/05/2026
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
12
W
03/05/2026
AlmagroTemperley
11
D
26/04/2026
Deportivo MaipuAlmagro
10
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez361616434:16+1864DDWDD
2AtlantaAtlanta361951242:34+862DWLWW
3TemperleyTemperley361613743:31+1261DLDWW
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3616101053:49+458LLWDL
5MidlandMidland3615101143:29+1455DWLWD
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3614101243:34+952DWLDW
7ColegialesColegiales3614101236:32+452DDWDW
8Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3614101237:35+252LLWDL
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3613121142:36+651WDDDL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3611141139:37+247DLWLW
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3612111329:35-647DDWLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3612101431:39-846WWLWD
13QuilmesQuilmes361291533:30+345WWLLD
14Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors361261829:35-642WWWLW
15AlmagroAlmagro361191633:44-1142LDLWW
16PatronatoPatronato367171229:35-638DLLWL
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago369101725:36-1137LDLLL
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes36692128:62-3427DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3634:1664
2AtlantaAtlanta3642:3462
3TemperleyTemperley3643:3161
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3653:4958
5MidlandMidland3643:2955
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3643:3452
7ColegialesColegiales3636:3252
8Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3637:3552
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3642:3651
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3639:3747
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3629:3547
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3631:3946
13QuilmesQuilmes3633:3045
14Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3629:3542
15AlmagroAlmagro3633:4442
16PatronatoPatronato3629:3538
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3625:3637
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3628:6227
PromotionRelegation

About the San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Martin Tucuman and Almagro in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th and Almagro 15th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: San Martin Tucuman 39-37, Almagro 33-44. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.