Santiago Morning vs Real San Joaquín Prediction

Estadio Municipal de La Pintana, Santiago de Chile 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.7%
Santiago Morning Rest
29 days
Real San Joaquín Rest
8 days

Santiago Morning vs Real San Joaquín: the result in context

Real San Joaquín beat Santiago Morning 2-1 in the Segunda División on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.83
X
27%3.35
2
24%3.72
Double Chance
1X
76%1.19
X2
51%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.83
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.15 = 2.79
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
48%1.99
Over 3.5
28%3.48
Under 1.5
28%3.05
Under 2.5
52%1.72
Under 3.5
72%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'
5'
17'
32'
35'
45'
46'
69'
70'
75'
76'
90+3'

Team Comparison

Santiago MorningSantiago Morning
Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín
1408Elo Rating 1368
0.83Attack 0.99
1.94Defense 1.21
0%Hit Rate 27%

Game State Tendencies

Santiago MorningSantiago Morning
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Santiago MorningSantiago Morning0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División10/08/2026
Real San JoaquínSantiago Morning
22
Copa Chile15/06/2024
Real San JoaquínSantiago Morning
1000

Recent Form

Santiago MorningSantiago Morning
1W6D3L
12/09/2026
Santiago MorningGeneral Velásquez
00
D
06/09/2026
Deportes RengoSantiago Morning
22
D
30/08/2026
Santiago MorningProvincial Ovalle
00
D
22/08/2026
Lota SchwagerSantiago Morning
11
D
17/08/2026
Santiago MorningColina
21
W
10/08/2026
Real San JoaquínSantiago Morning
22
D
04/07/2026
Deportes RengoSantiago Morning
31
L
28/06/2026
Santiago MorningLinares Unido
01
L
21/06/2026
Lota SchwagerSantiago Morning
11
D
07/06/2026
Santiago MorningGeneral Velásquez
01
L

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Provincial OsornoProvincial Osorno1266015:5+1024WDWDD
2Municipal SalamancaMunicipal Salamanca1257011:5+622LWWDW
3ColchaguaColchagua1264215:11+422LLWDD
4Concón NationalConcón National1263316:10+621LWLDW
5Santiago CitySantiago City1255218:19-120LWLWD
6Linares UnidoLinares Unido1261516:12+419WWWLD
7TrasandinoTrasandino1253419:17+218LLWWD
8General VelásquezGeneral Velásquez1251611:15-416WLWWD
9Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín1234516:17-113LLDWL
10Lota SchwagerLota Schwager1234511:13-213DWLDW
11ColinaColina1233615:14+112WLDLL
12Deportes RengoDeportes Rengo1232710:17-711WLWLL
13Santiago MorningSantiago Morning122469:14-510LLDLD
14Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle1213811:24-136LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Provincial OsornoProvincial Osorno1215:524
2Municipal SalamancaMunicipal Salamanca1211:522
3ColchaguaColchagua1215:1122
4Concón NationalConcón National1216:1021
5Santiago CitySantiago City1218:1920
6Linares UnidoLinares Unido1216:1219
7TrasandinoTrasandino1219:1718
8General VelásquezGeneral Velásquez1211:1516
9Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín1216:1713
10Lota SchwagerLota Schwager1211:1313
11ColinaColina1215:1412
12Deportes RengoDeportes Rengo1210:1711
13Santiago MorningSantiago Morning129:1410
14Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle1211:246

About the Santiago Morning vs Real San Joaquín forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Santiago Morning and Real San Joaquín in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Real San Joaquín are 9th and Santiago Morning 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Santiago Morning 9-14, Real San Joaquín 16-17. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Santiago Morning and Real San Joaquín have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.