São Luiz vs Joinville Prediction

São Luiz
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Joinville
07/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel34%SurpriseHighGap-2.7%
São Luiz Rest
7 days
Joinville Rest
8 days

São Luiz vs Joinville: the result in context

São Luiz beat Joinville 3-1 in the Serie D on 7 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.32
X
30%2.56
2
23%3.40
Double Chance
1X
77%1.25
X2
53%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.41
No
50%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.74 = 2.00
Over 1.5
55%1.68
Over 2.5
31%3.10
Over 3.5
14%6.60
Under 1.5
45%2.00
Under 2.5
69%1.29
Under 3.5
86%1.05
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Brandao(Penalty)
20'Thomaz
22'Nathan Zamith
52'Thiago Andre

Team Comparison

São LuizSão Luiz
JoinvilleJoinville
1470Elo Rating 1477
0.97Attack 1.88
1.79Defense 2.11
19%Hit Rate 59%

Game State Tendencies

São LuizSão Luiz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
JoinvilleJoinville
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

São LuizSão Luiz0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
JoinvilleJoinville3Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie D04/04/2026
JoinvilleSão Luiz
20
Serie D14/06/2025
JoinvilleSão Luiz
21
Serie D27/05/2025
São LuizJoinville
01

Recent Form

São LuizSão Luiz
3W4D3L
31/05/2026
CascavelSão Luiz
00
D
23/05/2026
Santa CatarinaSão Luiz
10
L
16/05/2026
São LuizGuarany de Bagé
20
W
10/05/2026
CianorteSão Luiz
01
W
03/05/2026
São LuizCianorte
01
L
26/04/2026
Guarany de BagéSão Luiz
01
W
18/04/2026
São LuizSanta Catarina
44
D
11/04/2026
São LuizCascavel
00
D
04/04/2026
JoinvilleSão Luiz
20
L
07/03/2026
Novo HamburgoSão Luiz
11
D
JoinvilleJoinville
4W3D3L
30/05/2026
JoinvilleGuarany de Bagé
20
W
23/05/2026
JoinvilleCianorte
00
D
16/05/2026
Santa CatarinaJoinville
10
L
10/05/2026
CascavelJoinville
10
L
02/05/2026
JoinvilleCascavel
11
D
25/04/2026
JoinvilleSanta Catarina
21
W
19/04/2026
CianorteJoinville
12
W
12/04/2026
Guarany de BagéJoinville
00
D
04/04/2026
JoinvilleSão Luiz
20
W
10/03/2026
JoinvilleSão Bernardo
01
L

League Table

Serie D 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina1061315:9+619WWWWL
2CianorteCianorte105149:8+116WLDWL
3CascavelCascavel104339:4+515LDWLW
4São LuizSão Luiz1043311:9+215WDLWW
5JoinvilleJoinville1043310:8+215LWDLL
6Guarany de BagéGuarany de Bagé101182:18-164LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina1015:919
2CianorteCianorte109:816
3CascavelCascavel109:415
4São LuizSão Luiz1011:915
5JoinvilleJoinville1010:815
6Guarany de BagéGuarany de Bagé102:184
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About the São Luiz vs Joinville forecast

The forecasts for this Serie D match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

São Luiz and Joinville in the Serie D table

In the Serie D table, São Luiz (4th) and Joinville (5th) are level on 15 points. League goal record so far: São Luiz 11-9, Joinville 10-8. The full standings are on the Serie D Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.