Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction

Arena Lviv, Lviv·Roman Blavatskiy 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Shakhtar Donetsk Rest
2 days
Zorya Luhansk Rest
7 days

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk: result, form and history

Shakhtar Donetsk and Zorya Luhansk drew 0-0 in the Premier League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Shakhtar Donetsk have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.40
X
20%4.51
2
12%7.00
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
32%2.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.80
No
49%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 0.94 = 2.83
Over 1.5
79%1.19
Over 2.5
60%1.61
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.33
Under 2.5
40%2.23
Under 3.5
64%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'Pylyp BudkivskyiFoul
30'Lassina TraoreFoul
35'IsaqueFoul
45'Isaque INProsper Obah out
45'Dmytro Kryskiv INMarlon Gomes out
45'Bruno Braga Ramos INAlisson out
62'Pylyp Budkivskyi INIgor Gorbach out
62'Artem Slesar INGerson Rodrigues out
65'Dejan Popara INJakov Basic out
79'Maksym Boyko INGabriel Eskinja out
79'Domagoj jelavic INsallieu bah out
83'Oleksandr SaputinTime wasting
85'Alaa Ghram INKauã Elias out
85'Lassina Traore INLuca Meirelles out

Lineups

Shakhtar Donetsk
4-1-4-1Coach: A. Turan
Zorya Luhansk
4-4-2Coach: V. Skripnik
D. Riznyk31D. Riznyk
O. Karavaev20O. Karavaev
A. Ghram18A. Ghram
M. Matvienko22M. Matvienko
Pedrinho13Pedrinho
E. Nazaryna29E. Nazaryna
Bruninho99Bruninho
D. Kryskiv8D. Kryskiv
Isaque14Isaque
Newertton11Newertton
L. Traoré2L. Traoré
O. Saputin1O. Saputin
I. Perduta44I. Perduta
Jordan55Jordan
B. Kushnirenko77B. Kushnirenko
Artem Machelyuk39A. Machelyuk
A. Slesar9A. Slesar
D. Popara6D. Popara
M. Boyko18M. Boyko
D. Jelavić27D. Jelavić
P. Budkivskyi28P. Budkivskyi
I. Nesterenko30I. Nesterenko

Shakhtar Donetsk Substitutes

49Luca Meirelles85'for Lassina Traore
68P. Obah45'for Isaque
9Kauã Elias85'for Alaa Ghram
77G. Mendoza
30Alisson Santana45'for Bruno Braga Ramos
27O. Ocheretko
28A. Matturro
17Vinícius Tobias
5V. Bondar
48Denys Tvardovskyi
6Marlon Gomes45'for Dmytro Kryskiv
25Gabriel Carvalho

Zorya Luhansk Substitutes

7G. Rodrigues62'for Artem Slesar
10Juninho
4G. Eskinja79'for Maksym Boyko
3V. Kravets
5A. Janjić
40Ítalo
21J. Bašić65'for Dejan Popara
88S. Bah79'for Domagoj jelavic
80V. Yurchenko
25V. Rybak
11I. Gorbach62'for Pylyp Budkivskyi
23l. Karavashchenko

Match Stats

Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
63%Ball Possession37%
11Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots4
4Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
1797Elo Rating 1617
1.31Attack 1.18
2.41Defense 2.10
50%Hit Rate 42%
13.7Shots per Game 13.4
4.3Shots on Target 6.8
8.1Corners per Game 7.4
1.8Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+181 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk8Wins · 80%
Draws220%
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League23/04/2026
Zorya LuhanskShakhtar Donetsk
12
Premier League22/09/2025
Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
10
Premier League09/05/2025
Zorya LuhanskShakhtar Donetsk
00
Premier League10/11/2024
Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
31
Cup30/10/2024
Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
10
Premier League22/04/2024
Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
21
Premier League18/04/2024
Zorya LuhanskShakhtar Donetsk
13
Premier League24/05/2023
Zorya LuhanskShakhtar Donetsk
03
Premier League13/11/2022
Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
22
Premier League15/10/2021
Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
61

Recent Form

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
8W1D1L
21/10/2026
InterShakhtar Donetsk
10
L
17/10/2026
Shakhtar DonetskKolos Kovalivka
21
W
14/10/2026
Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC
31
W
09/10/2026
Veres RivneShakhtar Donetsk
03
W
02/10/2026
Shakhtar DonetskKryvbas KR
30
W
20/09/2026
Shakhtar DonetskLNZ Cherkasy
30
W
17/09/2026
VilkhivtsiShakhtar Donetsk
03
W
14/09/2026
Shakhtar DonetskChornomorets
20
W
10/09/2026
PSV EindhovenShakhtar Donetsk
11
D
05/09/2026
KarpatyShakhtar Donetsk
12
W
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
5W2D3L
17/10/2026
Zorya LuhanskChornomorets
21
W
12/10/2026
Livyi BerehZorya Luhansk
13
W
19/09/2026
Zorya LuhanskDynamo Kyiv
02
L
13/09/2026
BukovynaZorya Luhansk
11
D
09/09/2026
Yarud Mariupol'Zorya Luhansk
02
W
06/09/2026
Veres RivneZorya Luhansk
11
D
31/08/2026
Zorya LuhanskFC Kharkiv
03
L
22/08/2026
Skala 1911 StryiZorya Luhansk
06
W
17/08/2026
PolessyaZorya Luhansk
12
W
09/08/2026
Zorya LuhanskKryvbas KR
13
L

Referee Profile

Roman Blavatskiy42 matches

5.07Cards per match
4.86Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Roman Blavatskiy5.07
Other referees4.63

5.07 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.63).

Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PolessyaPolessya1081123:8+1525WWDWW
2Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk1081120:5+1525DWWWW
3FC KharkivFC Kharkiv970218:7+1121WWWWW
4Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv961214:9+519WLWWW
5KarpatyKarpaty1044217:8+916DDLDW
6LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy1043310:9+115DWWLW
7Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk1043312:13-115DWWLD
8Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka932412:13-111WLWWL
9Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi1023510:14-49LDLLL
10BukovynaBukovyna101637:12-59DLDLD
11Veres RivneVeres Rivne102356:13-79LLLWD
12Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh91536:8-28DLLWL
13Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar91444:15-117WWDLL
14ChornomoretsChornomorets91355:11-66DLLDL
15Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR81347:13-66LLLDL
16KudrivkaKudrivka1012711:24-135LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PolessyaPolessya1023:825
2Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk1020:525
3FC KharkivFC Kharkiv918:721
4Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv914:919
5KarpatyKarpaty1017:816
6LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy1010:915
7Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk1012:1315
8Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka912:1311
9Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi1010:149
10BukovynaBukovyna107:129
11Veres RivneVeres Rivne106:139
12Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh96:88
13Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar94:157
14ChornomoretsChornomorets95:116
15Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR87:136
16KudrivkaKudrivka1011:245
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk forecast

As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shakhtar Donetsk and Zorya Luhansk in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 2nd and Zorya Luhansk 7th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Shakhtar Donetsk 20-5, Zorya Luhansk 12-13. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.