Shrewsbury vs Northampton Prediction

Shrewsbury
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Northampton
The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Shrewsbury Rest
7 days
Northampton Rest
7 days

Shrewsbury vs Northampton: the result in context

Shrewsbury beat Northampton 2-0 in the League Two on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.62
X
32%3.10
2
27%2.72
Double Chance
1X
73%1.42
X2
58%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.90
No
52%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.06 = 2.30
Over 1.5
69%1.40
Over 2.5
43%2.29
Over 3.5
21%4.33
Under 1.5
31%2.70
Under 2.5
57%1.60
Under 3.5
79%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.55
Over 9.5
45%1.94
Over 10.5
39%2.50
Under 8.5
43%2.24
Under 9.5
55%1.76
Under 10.5
61%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

8'Kian McMahon-Brown
45'Kevin Berkoe
45'Logan briggs INOwen Dale out
57'Kian McMahon-BrownFoul
68'Sam Hoskins INSam Chambers out
68'Nathaniel Opoku INM. Warhurst out
69'Harvey Saunders INKamarai Simon-Swyer out
74'J. Turner-Cook INwill gray out
81'Sam ChambersFoul
85'Kevin Berkoe INLino Sousa out
88'Josh Davison INMichael Golding out
89'Kian McMahon-Brown INIsaac Fletcher out

Lineups

Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2Coach: G. Cowan
Northampton
4-4-2Coach: C. Hogg
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.23
William Michael Brook7.51W. Michael Brook
S. Stubbs7.26S. Stubbs
W. Boyle6.15W. Boyle
J. Ruffels6.63J. Ruffels
L. Hoole6.52L. Hoole
T. Sang6.410T. Sang
J. Turner-Cooke6.67J. Turner-Cooke
K. Berkoe8.011K. Berkoe
K. M. Brown8.118K. M. Brown
G. Lloyd6.49G. Lloyd
J. Davison6.713J. Davison
Z. Jeacock5.51Z. Jeacock
J. Wormleighton6.716J. Wormleighton
E. Moore6.96E. Moore
J. Guthrie6.65J. Guthrie
J. Maxwell5.93J. Maxwell
S. Hoskins5.77S. Hoskins
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh6.14J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
T. Fornah6.114T. Fornah
L. Briggs6.020L. Briggs
H. Saunders6.432H. Saunders
N. Opoku6.217N. Opoku

Shrewsbury Substitutes

8Isaac Andrew Fletcher89'for Kian McMahon-Brown7.0
27J. Gbode
20M. Golding88'for Josh Davison6.8
21will gray74'replaced by J. Turner-Cook
17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
12S. Proctor
24L. Sousa85'for Kevin Berkoe6.9

Northampton Substitutes

26S. Chambers68'for Sam Hoskins81'5.9
19O. Dale45'for Logan briggs6.5
35M. Dyche
34R. Fitzsimons
22Joshua Alan Powell
11K. Simon-Swyer69'for Harvey Saunders6.5
9Matthew Warhurst68'for Nathaniel Opoku6.3

Match Stats

ShrewsburyNorthampton
41%Ball Possession59%
1Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
16Fouls9
3Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
297Total Passes404
180Passes Accurate308
9Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

ShrewsburyShrewsbury
NorthamptonNorthampton
1457Elo Rating 1421
1.69Attack 1.24
1.29Defense 2.32
42%Hit Rate 46%
13.5Shots per Game 14.0
5.0Shots on Target 4.1
5.2Corners per Game 6.7
2.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ShrewsburyShrewsbury
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
NorthamptonNorthampton
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

ShrewsburyShrewsbury2Wins · 33%
Draws117%
NorthamptonNorthampton3Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

League One21/04/2025
NorthamptonShrewsbury
41
League One29/12/2024
ShrewsburyNorthampton
11
League One27/01/2024
NorthamptonShrewsbury
02
League One07/10/2023
ShrewsburyNorthampton
10
League One02/04/2021
NorthamptonShrewsbury
10
League One19/09/2020
ShrewsburyNorthampton
12

Recent Form

ShrewsburyShrewsbury
3W1D6L
05/09/2026
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
20
L
01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
30
L
29/08/2026
ShrewsburySalford City
10
W
25/08/2026
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
40
L
22/08/2026
ShrewsburyBarnet
13
L
15/08/2026
TranmereShrewsbury
20
L
08/08/2026
Salford CityShrewsbury
3141
W
28/07/2026
HerefordShrewsbury
11
D
25/07/2026
ShrewsburyWest Brom
14
L
21/07/2026
ShrewsburyEverton U21
10
W
NorthamptonNorthampton
3W4D3L
05/09/2026
NorthamptonNewport County
10
W
01/09/2026
NorthamptonCrawley Town
11
D
29/08/2026
GillinghamNorthampton
11
D
22/08/2026
CreweNorthampton
10
L
18/08/2026
NorthamptonBrighton U21
03
L
15/08/2026
NorthamptonSwindon Town
00
D
08/08/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
10
L
01/08/2026
Solihull MoorsNorthampton
24
W
28/07/2026
Cambridge UnitedNorthampton
00
D
22/07/2026
SouthendNorthampton
13
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Shrewsbury vs Northampton forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shrewsbury and Northampton in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Shrewsbury are 10th and Northampton 19th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Shrewsbury 16-20, Northampton 8-8. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Northampton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.