Sirius vs Mjallby AIF Prediction

Sirius
4-4
Finished
HT 1-0
Mjallby AIF
Studenternas IP, Uppsala·A. Ladeback 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Sirius Rest
7 days
Mjallby AIF Rest
6 days

Sirius vs Mjallby AIF: the result in context

Sirius and Mjallby AIF drew 4-4 in the Allsvenskan on 3 Jul 2026. Sirius had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for Mjallby AIF.

Mjallby AIF have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Referee A. Ladeback averages 3.25 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.60
X
24%4.00
2
23%5.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.15
X2
47%2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.11 = 2.87
Over 1.5
80%1.19
Over 2.5
56%1.64
Over 3.5
29%2.55
Under 1.5
20%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
71%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.6 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.43
Over 9.5
52%1.70
Over 10.5
46%1.96
Under 8.5
35%2.66
Under 9.5
48%2.02
Under 10.5
54%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 3.2 = 4.9
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

14'R. UreAssist: M. Lindberg
46'R. UreAssist: I. Bjerkebo
49'J. Gustavsson
50'R. UreAssist: O. Adindu
57'A. SamuelsenAssist: A. Manneh
57'L. Tidstrand INL. Svanberg out
57'V. Gustafson INT. Helge out
57'V. Granath INM. Nielsen out
65'A. SamuelsenAssist: M. Nielsen
69'R. UreAssist: O. Adindu
70'V. Svensson INC. Nilden out
71'A. Iqbal INT. Pettersson out
77'J. Kjaer INB. Bang-Kittilsen out
81'L. Svanberg
87'I. Bjerkebo INM. Nartey out
90'O. Adindu INE. Eld out
90+1'T. PetterssonAssist: T. Miettinen

Match Stats

SiriusMjallby AIF
43%Ball Possession57%
8Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal8
6Blocked Shots4
6Fouls13
3Goalkeeper Saves3
13Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

SiriusSirius
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
1795Elo Rating 1614
1.54Attack 0.82
1.84Defense 2.19
50%Hit Rate 19%
13.4Shots per Game 15.3
4.4Shots on Target 4.9
7.8Corners per Game 6.2
1.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+181 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SiriusSirius
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SiriusSirius1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF8Wins · 80%
3.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan27/07/2025
Mjallby AIFSirius
21
Allsvenskan14/07/2025
SiriusMjallby AIF
12
Allsvenskan03/11/2024
SiriusMjallby AIF
11
Allsvenskan06/07/2024
Mjallby AIFSirius
32
Allsvenskan24/07/2023
SiriusMjallby AIF
23
Allsvenskan14/05/2023
Mjallby AIFSirius
30
Svenska Cupen04/03/2023
Mjallby AIFSirius
32
Allsvenskan31/07/2022
SiriusMjallby AIF
01
Allsvenskan20/04/2022
Mjallby AIFSirius
30
Allsvenskan06/11/2021
Mjallby AIFSirius
23

Recent Form

SiriusSirius
8W2D0L
26/06/2026
SiriusDjurgardens IF
11
D
30/05/2026
AIK StockholmSirius
03
W
24/05/2026
SiriusGais
21
W
18/05/2026
Djurgardens IFSirius
23
W
11/05/2026
SiriusOrgryte IS
20
W
02/05/2026
SiriusKalmar FF
32
W
27/04/2026
BK HackenSirius
22
D
23/04/2026
Malmo FFSirius
23
W
18/04/2026
SiriusVasteras SK FK
41
W
13/04/2026
SiriusHammarby FF
20
W
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
4W4D2L
27/06/2026
FC CopenhagenMjallby AIF
53
L
24/06/2026
Mjallby AIFHalmstad
33
D
25/05/2026
IFK GoteborgMjallby AIF
11
D
21/05/2026
IF ElfsborgMjallby AIF
11
D
17/05/2026
Mjallby AIFBK Hacken
01
L
14/05/2026
Mjallby AIFHammarby FF
21
W
09/05/2026
Degerfors IFMjallby AIF
14
W
03/05/2026
Malmo FFMjallby AIF
23
W
27/04/2026
Mjallby AIFHalmstad
20
W
23/04/2026
GaisMjallby AIF
00
D

Referee Profile

A. Ladeback167 matches

3.25Cards per match
3.19Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Ladeback3.25
Other referees3.75

3.25 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.75).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF26164654:21+3352WWWLW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF26154753:24+2949DDWWL
4BK HackenBK Hacken261210447:30+1746DWWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg261110539:26+1343DDDWW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK26125939:38+141WLWLW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF261241041:34+740WDLWL
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg26108836:45-938DDDWW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna26971039:43-434DWLWL
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF26551621:44-2320LLLDL
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS26471532:58-2619LDWLL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1SiriusSirius2656:3455
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF2654:2152
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2653:2449
4BK HackenBK Hacken2647:3046
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2639:2643
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2639:3841
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2641:3440
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2636:4538
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2639:4334
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2621:4420
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2632:5819
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

About the Sirius vs Mjallby AIF forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sirius and Mjallby AIF in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Sirius are 1st and Mjallby AIF 12th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: Sirius 56-34, Mjallby AIF 30-43. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.