South Melbourne vs Green Gully Prediction

28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.53
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
South Melbourne Rest
8 days
Green Gully Rest
8 days

South Melbourne vs Green Gully: result, form and history

Green Gully beat South Melbourne 2-1 in the Victoria NPL on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

South Melbourne have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.36
X
22%4.75
2
20%6.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.08
X2
42%2.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.73
No
49%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.08 = 2.61
Over 1.5
73%1.17
Over 2.5
50%1.53
Over 3.5
30%2.32
Under 1.5
27%4.50
Under 2.5
50%2.35
Under 3.5
70%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'
55'K. Kur
79'J. Swibel

Team Comparison

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
Green GullyGreen Gully
1569Elo Rating 1363
1.39Attack 1.29
2.63Defense 1.16
61%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+206 Elo
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Green GullyGreen Gully
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Green GullyGreen Gully1Wins · 10%
1.6Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL13/03/2026
Green GullySouth Melbourne
01
Victoria NPL03/08/2025
South MelbourneGreen Gully
11
Victoria NPL25/04/2025
Green GullySouth Melbourne
10
Victoria NPL13/07/2024
Green GullySouth Melbourne
01
Victoria NPL12/04/2024
South MelbourneGreen Gully
30
Victoria NPL28/05/2023
South MelbourneGreen Gully
10
Victoria NPL24/02/2023
Green GullySouth Melbourne
13
Victoria NPL04/09/2022
South MelbourneGreen Gully
10
Victoria NPL24/06/2022
South MelbourneGreen Gully
00
Victoria NPL26/03/2022
Green GullySouth Melbourne
02

Recent Form

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
3W1D6L
19/06/2026
Bentleigh GreensSouth Melbourne
15
W
07/06/2026
South MelbourneAltona Magic
23
L
30/05/2026
Hume CitySouth Melbourne
11
D
25/05/2026
South MelbourneAvondale
04
L
24/05/2026
South MelbourneAuckland FC 2
12
L
20/05/2026
South MelbourneVanuatu United
40
W
18/05/2026
South MelbourneSunshine Georgies
04
L
08/05/2026
Heidelberg UnitedSouth Melbourne
40
L
01/05/2026
South MelbourneMelbourne City II
12
L
24/04/2026
St. Albans SaintsSouth Melbourne
04
W
Green GullyGreen Gully
0W2D8L
20/06/2026
Hume CityGreen Gully
32
L
05/06/2026
Green GullyAvondale
02
L
30/05/2026
Sunshine GeorgiesGreen Gully
00
D
22/05/2026
Green GullyHeidelberg United
01
L
15/05/2026
Green GullyMelbourne City II
13
L
08/05/2026
St. Albans SaintsGreen Gully
10
L
01/05/2026
Green GullyOakleigh Cannons
05
L
24/04/2026
Green GullyPreston Lions
04
L
17/04/2026
Dandenong CityGreen Gully
21
L
11/04/2026
Dandenong ThunderGreen Gully
11
D

League Table

Victoria NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons26166456:24+3254LWWDL
2Preston LionsPreston Lions26156541:19+2251DDWDW
3Hume CityHume City26154751:36+1549LWWWL
4AvondaleAvondale26152965:34+3147WWLWW
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne261321139:36+341LLWWW
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United26117842:34+840WWLLD
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies26911635:34+138WLWDD
8Dandenong CityDandenong City26107935:31+437WDWWD
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints26971036:43-734WWDLW
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II26861242:42030LLLLL
11Altona MagicAltona Magic26771228:42-1428DLLDW
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens26661427:51-2424LWDDL
13Green GullyGreen Gully26461623:52-2918WLLDD
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder26431923:65-4215LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons2656:2454
2Preston LionsPreston Lions2641:1951
3Hume CityHume City2651:3649
4AvondaleAvondale2665:3447
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2639:3641
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United2642:3440
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies2635:3438
8Dandenong CityDandenong City2635:3137
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints2636:4334
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II2642:4230
11Altona MagicAltona Magic2628:4228
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens2627:5124
13Green GullyGreen Gully2623:5218
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder2623:6515

About the South Melbourne vs Green Gully forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

South Melbourne and Green Gully in the Victoria NPL table

In the Victoria NPL table, South Melbourne are 5th and Green Gully 13th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: South Melbourne 39-36, Green Gully 23-52. The full standings are on the Victoria NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.