Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy Prediction

Estadio Oscar C. Boero, San Francisco 05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.42
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseHighGap+5.6%
Sportivo Belgrano Rest
7 days
Independiente De Chivilcoy Rest
7 days

Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy: the result in context

Sportivo Belgrano and Independiente De Chivilcoy drew 1-1 in the Torneo Federal A on 5 Jul 2026. Sportivo Belgrano had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Independiente De Chivilcoy.

Sportivo Belgrano have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.57
X
26%3.20
2
14%6.10
Double Chance
1X
86%1.10
X2
40%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%2.63
No
65%1.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 0.62 = 2.08
Over 1.5
60%1.57
Over 2.5
31%2.60
Over 3.5
14%5.50
Under 1.5
40%2.25
Under 2.5
69%1.42
Under 3.5
86%1.11
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'G. Lesman
8'
77'F. Funes
84'

Team Comparison

Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy
1481Elo Rating 1463
0.51Attack 1.29
1.66Defense 2.54
14%Hit Rate 61%
7.7Shots per Game 13.1
2.9Shots on Target 4.2
5.3Corners per Game 4.4
1.5Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)
Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A02/05/2026
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
03
Torneo Federal A16/08/2025
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
23
Torneo Federal A12/07/2025
Sportivo BelgranoIndependiente De Chivilcoy
00
Torneo Federal A10/05/2025
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
12
Torneo Federal A23/06/2024
Sportivo BelgranoIndependiente De Chivilcoy
10
Torneo Federal A27/04/2024
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
02
Torneo Federal A19/09/2023
Sportivo BelgranoIndependiente De Chivilcoy
10
Torneo Federal A23/07/2023
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
10
Torneo Federal A28/05/2023
Sportivo BelgranoIndependiente De Chivilcoy
20
Torneo Federal A01/04/2023
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
41

Recent Form

Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
6W3D1L
28/06/2026
El LinqueñoSportivo Belgrano
11
D
20/06/2026
Douglas HaigSportivo Belgrano
00
D
15/06/2026
Sportivo BelgranoDefensores de Belgrano VR
10
W
07/06/2026
Gimnasia ConcepciónSportivo Belgrano
10
L
31/05/2026
Sportivo BelgranoGimnasia Chivilcoy
10
W
24/05/2026
9 de Julio RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
02
W
17/05/2026
Atletico EscobarSportivo Belgrano
13
W
10/05/2026
Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Las Parejas
20
W
02/05/2026
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
03
W
26/04/2026
Sportivo BelgranoEl Linqueño
11
D
Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy
1W4D5L
28/06/2026
Independiente De ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
04
L
21/06/2026
Defensores de Belgrano VRIndependiente De Chivilcoy
20
L
14/06/2026
Independiente De ChivilcoyGimnasia Concepción
00
D
07/06/2026
Gimnasia ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy
00
D
31/05/2026
Independiente De Chivilcoy9 de Julio Rafaela
22
D
24/05/2026
Atletico EscobarIndependiente De Chivilcoy
00
D
17/05/2026
Sportivo Las ParejasIndependiente De Chivilcoy
10
L
09/05/2026
Independiente De ChivilcoyEl Linqueño
10
W
02/05/2026
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
03
L
26/04/2026
Douglas HaigIndependiente De Chivilcoy
10
L

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy forecast

The forecasts for this Torneo Federal A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sportivo Belgrano and Independiente De Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd and Independiente De Chivilcoy 25th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Sportivo Belgrano 21-9, Independiente De Chivilcoy 15-22. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Independiente De Chivilcoy have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.