Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda Prediction

Estadio Oscar C. Boero, San Francisco 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Sportivo Belgrano Rest
28 days
Sarmiento de La Banda Rest
21 days

Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda: the result in context

Sportivo Belgrano and Sarmiento de La Banda drew 1-1 in the Torneo Federal A on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.00
X
37%2.85
2
20%3.94
Double Chance
1X
80%1.20
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%2.41
No
60%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 0.85 = 1.99
Over 1.5
60%1.61
Over 2.5
34%2.92
Over 3.5
16%6.35
Under 1.5
40%2.12
Under 2.5
66%1.31
Under 3.5
84%1.06
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'
35'
51'
51'
67'
77'
90+1'

Lineups

Sportivo Belgrano
Coach: M. Vázquez
Sarmiento de La Banda

Sportivo Belgrano Starting XI

2C. Beltrán
9G. Lesman
7A. Lehmann
10E. Franceschi
4L. Ferreyra
6G. Ferrero
8S. Churchi
5J. Caviglia
11J. Bono
1L. Martina
3T. Pennesi

Sarmiento de La Banda Starting XI

1F. Acuna
9R. Bernal
4C. Díaz
7M. Díaz
10I. Garzon
6G. Guzmán
8N. Juárez
2C. Nunez
3A. Ochoa
11A. Tévez
5M. Sánchez Arriola

Sportivo Belgrano Substitutes

12Juan Carena
17M. Forlin
15M. Gancedo
16J. Giménez
20E. Mercado
13Jonathan Paiz
18A. Pastorelli
14F. Racca
19M. Sagristiani

Sarmiento de La Banda Substitutes

Match Stats

Sportivo BelgranoSarmiento de La Banda
51%Ball Possession49%
9Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal7
11Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda
1481Elo Rating 1474
0.51Attack 0.37
1.66Defense 1.32
14%Hit Rate 0%
7.7Shots per Game 13.2
2.9Shots on Target 5.5
5.3Corners per Game 5.4
1.5Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)
Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A23/08/2026
Sarmiento de La BandaSportivo Belgrano
30
Torneo Federal A07/09/2025
Sportivo BelgranoSarmiento de La Banda
41
Torneo Federal A31/08/2024
Sarmiento de La BandaSportivo Belgrano
00

Recent Form

Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
1W4D5L
13/09/2026
Sportivo BelgranoDouglas Haig
04
L
07/09/2026
Sol de AméricaSportivo Belgrano
20
L
30/08/2026
Sportivo BelgranoBartolomé Mitre
20
W
23/08/2026
Sarmiento de La BandaSportivo Belgrano
30
L
17/08/2026
Sportivo BelgranoDefensores de Belgrano VR
02
L
12/08/2026
San Martin FormosaSportivo Belgrano
20
L
08/08/2026
Sportivo Belgrano9 de Julio Rafaela
11
D
01/08/2026
Gimnasia ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
00
D
25/07/2026
Sportivo BelgranoAtletico Escobar
22
D
12/07/2026
Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Belgrano
00
D

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Seeded
Cipolletti
Seeded
San Martin Formosa
Seeded
Alvarado
Seeded
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Seeded
Cipolletti
Seeded
San Martin Formosa
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Seeded
Cipolletti
Seeded
San Martin Formosa
Seeded
Alvarado
Seeded
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Seeded

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda forecast

As a knockout tie in the Torneo Federal A, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sportivo Belgrano and Sarmiento de La Banda in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd and Sarmiento de La Banda 13th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Sportivo Belgrano 21-9, Sarmiento de La Banda 17-15. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.