Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Prediction

Stal Mielec
3-3
Finished
HT 3-0
Podbeskidzie
Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec·P. Horozaniecki 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.45
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseHighGap+11.9%
Stal Mielec Rest
7 days
Podbeskidzie Rest
5 days

Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie: the result in context

Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie drew 3-3 in the I Liga on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.48
X
22%3.49
2
51%2.50
Double Chance
1X
49%1.44
X2
73%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.50
No
56%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.62
Over 3.5
19%2.54
Under 1.5
36%4.30
Under 2.5
61%2.17
Under 3.5
81%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'T. GmurAssist: P. Wlazlo
9'P. KruszelnickiAssist: M. Cebula
20'K. GetingerAssist: P. Wlazlo
22'O. Tomczyk
46'K. Gach INA. Kasperkiewicz out
46'D. Takac INW. Slomka out
46'M. Sitek IND. Pietraszkiewicz out
49'K. Getinger
56'A. KasperkiewiczAssist: L. Klisiewicz
59'O. Tomczyk INY. Shikavka out
60'M. Cebula INM. Domanski out
62'M. Urynowicz
64'I. Puerto
65'M. Biernat(Penalty)
68'M. Domanski
68'P. Kruszelnicki INS. Oure out
68'T. Gmur INN. Niedzwiedz out
73'K. Kolanko INB. Martosz out
83'F. Gerbowski INK. Koscielny out
83'K. Odolak INK. Sommerfeld out
86'L. Klisiewicz

Team Comparison

Stal MielecStal Mielec
PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie
1426Elo Rating 1523
0.74Attack 1.32
1.26Defense 1.91
44%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Stal MielecStal Mielec
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Stal MielecStal Mielec1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa15/03/2021
Stal MielecPodbeskidzie
21
Ekstraklasa03/10/2020
PodbeskidzieStal Mielec
10

Recent Form

Stal MielecStal Mielec
4W1D5L
26/07/2026
Unia SkierniewiceStal Mielec
12
W
11/07/2026
Stal MielecPuszcza Niepołomice
14
L
04/07/2026
Stal MielecSandecja Nowy Sącz
10
W
01/07/2026
Stal MielecPodhale Nowy Targ
15
L
24/05/2026
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
41
W
15/05/2026
Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec
13
W
09/05/2026
Stal MielecPuszcza Niepołomice
11
D
02/05/2026
Miedz LegnicaStal Mielec
10
L
25/04/2026
Stal MielecSlask Wroclaw
23
L
17/04/2026
Chrobry GłogówStal Mielec
21
L
PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie
6W4D0L
27/07/2026
Miedz LegnicaPodbeskidzie
11
D
18/07/2026
NiecieczaPodbeskidzie
11
D
12/07/2026
Wisla KrakowPodbeskidzie
01
W
07/07/2026
PodbeskidzieBaník Ostrava II
21
W
04/07/2026
Zaglebie SosnowiecPodbeskidzie
22
D
06/06/2026
PodbeskidzieSandecja Nowy Sącz
31
W
02/06/2026
PodbeskidzieŚląsk Wrocław II
21
W
30/05/2026
PodbeskidziePodhale Nowy Targ
21
W
23/05/2026
Resovia RzeszówPodbeskidzie
11
D
16/05/2026
PodbeskidzieSokół Kleczew
30
W

League Table

I Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1371525:21+422WLWWW
2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1363419:12+721LLLWW
3Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1263316:11+521WWWDD
4Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1263319:14+521DWWWD
5ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1263315:11+421WWLLW
6Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1356223:20+321WWWWD
7NiecieczaNieciecza1363420:18+221DLWDW
8Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1354419:12+719DDWLL
9Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1361620:17+319DLWLW
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1252516:22-617LWLWW
11Stal MielecStal Mielec1344517:27-1016WDLWL
12PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1329216:17-115DWLWD
13Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1243514:15-115WLLLW
14Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1242616:16014WLLLL
15Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1234513:15-213DLLLD
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1240813:17-412WLWLL
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole133378:16-812LLLWL
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1332815:23-811LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk1325:2122
2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1319:1221
3Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów1216:1121
4Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa1219:1421
5ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź1215:1121
6Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom1323:2021
7NiecieczaNieciecza1320:1821
8Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica1319:1219
9Warta PoznańWarta Poznań1320:1719
10Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów1216:2217
11Stal MielecStal Mielec1317:2716
12PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie1316:1715
13Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce1214:1515
14Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia1216:1614
15Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów1213:1513
16Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice1213:1712
17Odra OpoleOdra Opole138:1612
18Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice1315:2311
PromotionRelegation

About the Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie forecast

The forecasts for this I Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie in the I Liga table

Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie are close in the I Liga table, 11th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Stal Mielec 17-27, Podbeskidzie 16-17. The full standings are on the I Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.