Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath Prediction

Stenhousemuir
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Arbroath
Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir·K. Clancy 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Stenhousemuir Rest
3 days
Arbroath Rest
7 days

Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: the result in context

Stenhousemuir beat Arbroath 1-0 in the Championship on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Stenhousemuir had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Arbroath.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.90
X
23%3.15
2
15%3.95
Double Chance
1X
85%1.21
X2
38%1.76
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'L. O'Donnell
46'J. Bonnar INA. Winter out
62'S. Mackie
62'L. Hodgkiss ING. Stevenson out
62'L. O'Donnell INE. O'Reilly out
63'R. Molotnikov INR. Dow out
69'A. Shinnie INH. Kargbo out
70'F. Robson INM. Gillies out
72'B. Paterson
78'S. Bright
81'M. McKenna INC. Daly out
83'R. Meechan INC. Penman out
86'C. Penman
90+5'M. Gillies

Team Comparison

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
ArbroathArbroath
1548Elo Rating 1384
0.54Attack 0.48
1.57Defense 1.24
31%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+164 Elo

Game State Tendencies

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ArbroathArbroath
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
ArbroathArbroath2Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League One12/04/2025
ArbroathStenhousemuir
40
League One22/02/2025
StenhousemuirArbroath
20
League One02/11/2024
ArbroathStenhousemuir
10
League One03/08/2024
StenhousemuirArbroath
21

Recent Form

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
8W1D1L
15/09/2026
StenhousemuirPartick
10
W
11/09/2026
StenhousemuirHeart Of Midlothian
03
L
04/09/2026
LivingstonStenhousemuir
01
W
29/08/2026
StenhousemuirInverness CT
31
W
22/08/2026
Queen's ParkStenhousemuir
02
W
16/08/2026
StenhousemuirMotherwell
1000
W
08/08/2026
StenhousemuirMorton
20
W
01/08/2026
Raith RoversStenhousemuir
11
D
25/07/2026
StenhousemuirLivingston
3010
W
21/07/2026
PartickStenhousemuir
3252
W
ArbroathArbroath
4W2D4L
12/09/2026
Raith RoversArbroath
40
L
05/09/2026
ArbroathDunfermline
11
D
29/08/2026
ArbroathLivingston
10
W
22/08/2026
MortonArbroath
12
W
08/08/2026
ArbroathInverness CT
00
D
01/08/2026
Ayr UtdArbroath
20
L
25/07/2026
ArbroathStirling Albion
10
W
21/07/2026
ArbroathMontrose
02
L
18/07/2026
Dundee UtdArbroath
30
L
11/07/2026
SpartansArbroath
12
W

Referee Profile

K. Clancy173 matches

4.13Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

K. Clancy4.13
Other referees3.97

4.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PartickPartick1274115:4+1125WDWWW
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1272313:9+423LLDLW
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1263316:9+721LDWWL
4DunfermlineDunfermline1256110:6+421WWDDD
5Inverness CTInverness CT1254316:11+519WWLWW
6LivingstonLivingston1252515:11+417WDLLW
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1133510:12-212LDWLW
8ArbroathArbroath123277:18-1111LLLLW
9MortonMorton112189:18-97WWLLL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park122196:19-137LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PartickPartick1215:425
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1213:923
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1216:921
4DunfermlineDunfermline1210:621
5Inverness CTInverness CT1216:1119
6LivingstonLivingston1215:1117
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1110:1212
8ArbroathArbroath127:1811
9MortonMorton119:187
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park126:197
PromotionRelegation

About the Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stenhousemuir and Arbroath in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Stenhousemuir are 2nd in the Championship, while Arbroath sit 8th, 12 points behind. League goal record so far: Stenhousemuir 13-9, Arbroath 7-18. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stenhousemuir have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.