Trans Narva vs Kuressaare Prediction

Trans Narva
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Kuressaare
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva·K. Kaivoja 14/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseHighGap-8.3%
Trans Narva Rest
4 days
Kuressaare Rest
2 days

Trans Narva vs Kuressaare: the result in context

Kuressaare beat Trans Narva 1-0 in the Meistriliiga on 14 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kuressaare had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Trans Narva.

Kuressaare have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%1.95
X
28%3.40
2
30%3.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.27
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

52'T. Berardozzi
56'N. Baljabkin INY. Betancor out
59'A. Kivi INR. Talu out
66'R. Tarkmeel ING. Roivassepp out
67'S. Prunn
73'S. Agaptsev INW. Awusi out
73'M. Velijev INA. Besigirskis out
84'E. Zuravljov IND. Poliakov out
87'A. Svedovski
90+1'Y. Betancor
90+4'J. Vahermagi INJ. Kobin out

Team Comparison

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
KuressaareKuressaare
1429Elo Rating 1522
0.97Attack 1.09
0.53Defense 1.99
0%Hit Rate 50%

Game State Tendencies

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KuressaareKuressaare
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Trans NarvaTrans Narva2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
KuressaareKuressaare6Wins · 60%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Meistriliiga05/09/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
31
Meistriliiga16/06/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
00
Meistriliiga18/04/2026
Trans NarvaKuressaare
12
Meistriliiga20/09/2025
KuressaareTrans Narva
00
Meistriliiga05/07/2025
Trans NarvaKuressaare
32
Meistriliiga27/04/2025
KuressaareTrans Narva
21
Meistriliiga08/03/2025
Trans NarvaKuressaare
02
Meistriliiga09/11/2024
Trans NarvaKuressaare
02
Meistriliiga24/08/2024
KuressaareTrans Narva
01
Meistriliiga19/06/2024
Trans NarvaKuressaare
01

Recent Form

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
2W4D4L
10/10/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
22
D
20/09/2026
Trans NarvaFC Levadia Tallinn
11
D
12/09/2026
Kalju NommeTrans Narva
20
L
08/09/2026
Trans NarvaFlora Tallinn
22
D
05/09/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
31
L
30/08/2026
Trans NarvaTammeka
02
L
26/08/2026
Trans NarvaKalju Nomme
20
W
21/08/2026
FC Levadia TallinnTrans Narva
40
L
16/08/2026
Trans NarvaPaide
11
D
11/08/2026
Trans NarvaKompanii Marjamaa
80
W
KuressaareKuressaare
5W2D3L
11/10/2026
KuressaareFlora Tallinn
20
W
03/10/2026
KuressaareSaku Sporting
42
W
18/09/2026
LaagriKuressaare
00
D
13/09/2026
KuressaareTammeka
13
L
09/09/2026
FC Levadia TallinnKuressaare
40
L
05/09/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
31
W
29/08/2026
KuressaareVaprus
22
D
22/08/2026
TammekaKuressaare
10
L
16/08/2026
Flora TallinnKuressaare
23
W
11/08/2026
Kristiine JKKuressaare
08
W

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn34276191:24+6787WWWWW
2PaidePaide341861053:41+1260LWWWL
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn341911464:49+1558LLWLL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme341761158:34+2457WWLDL
5TammekaTammeka341621648:54-650LWLLW
6LaagriLaagri341521749:50-147LWWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United341212155:76-2137WWWLL
8VaprusVaprus341071746:68-2237DLLDD
9KuressaareKuressaare341061835:53-1836DLLWW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva34552426:76-5020LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3491:2487
2PaidePaide3453:4160
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3464:4958
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3458:3457
5TammekaTammeka3448:5450
6LaagriLaagri3449:5047
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3455:7637
8VaprusVaprus3446:6837
9KuressaareKuressaare3435:5336
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3426:7620
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Trans Narva vs Kuressaare forecast

The forecasts for this Meistriliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Trans Narva and Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga table

Kuressaare and Trans Narva are close in the Meistriliiga table, 9th and 10th, with 16 points between them. League goal record so far: Trans Narva 26-76, Kuressaare 35-53. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.